NH-WBUR: Sanders and Trump ahead (user search)
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  NH-WBUR: Sanders and Trump ahead (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-WBUR: Sanders and Trump ahead  (Read 1550 times)
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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Posts: 11,376
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« on: February 05, 2016, 04:28:04 PM »

Articles says Dem race tightened "slightly".  What was their last poll?  Atlas doesn't identify this poll as WBUR or whatever.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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Posts: 11,376
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2016, 05:39:59 PM »

For the Dems, these numbers seem to be pretty reasonable. Sadly, those ridiculous CNN polls may really make the expectation's game difficult for Sanders to win.

After a certain percentage (around 15% or so) a landslide is a landslide and any drivel about expectations games goes out the window.

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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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Posts: 11,376
United States


« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2016, 06:07:17 PM »
« Edited: February 05, 2016, 06:09:34 PM by HockeyDude »

For the Dems, these numbers seem to be pretty reasonable. Sadly, those ridiculous CNN polls may really make the expectation's game difficult for Sanders to win.

After a certain percentage (around 15% or so) a landslide is a landslide and any drivel about expectations games goes out the window.



I mean, according to some people, Hillary's 0.4-point delegate win in Iowa (which was almost certainly a Sanders victory in terms of the number of bodies that turned out to caucus) was a MASSIVE mandate that totally changed the expectations game, so I guess the narrative is fair game!

America likes a winner, dude.  Completely different.  Iowa had that narrative of nailbiter.  Clinton got the win.  NH has the narrative of a Sanders win.  So he needs to hit a solid 15% or so blowout.  15% would do it if the polls were literally anywhere, because it has that "landslide feel".  The narrative of "better than expected" doesn't work in a win that big. 
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2016, 06:12:38 PM »

For the Dems, these numbers seem to be pretty reasonable. Sadly, those ridiculous CNN polls may really make the expectation's game difficult for Sanders to win.

After a certain percentage (around 15% or so) a landslide is a landslide and any drivel about expectations games goes out the window.



I mean, according to some people, Hillary's 0.4-point delegate win in Iowa (which was almost certainly a Sanders victory in terms of the number of bodies that turned out to caucus) was a MASSIVE mandate that totally changed the expectations game, so I guess the narrative is fair game!

Yep, Sanders is more than welcome to take credit for a landslide in a state that should be in the bag for him, demographically speaking. Whether that's really worth much is another thing, but I guess it will be, since his second place finish in another state that he should have easily won was still called a victory.

How the flying F was Iowa supposed to be an easy win for a candidate who had ZERO organization, name-recognition, money, support, and poll numbers in the single digits not ONE YEAR ago against the most recognizable name in the Democratic Party who never left the state since 2008? 

Please.  I'm all ears.  Oh yea... I forgot.  Because Bernie is running a white supremacist campaign according to you PC dolts and Iowa is SUPAH-WHITE!
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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*****
Posts: 11,376
United States


« Reply #4 on: February 05, 2016, 06:26:24 PM »

To be fair, Clinton had a huge lead in Iowa at the beginning and it dwindled down to a .3% win.


WELL PUT!

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