NH-WBUR: Sanders and Trump ahead

[Adam Griffin]

Interesting that the margin among young people is so small. Sanders beat Clinton by about 70 points in the under 30 group in IA; here, it's just 28 points. I'm not entirely sure why it'd be so much lower in his effective home state than in a place like IA (obviously it has nothing to do with racial diversity), but we might be in for a surprise performance when compared to his margin in the poll.

Also, I'm guessing that based on the 28-point margin being so (relatively) close to the 15-point margin at-large, Sanders is winning all age groups with relative ease.

[Adam Griffin]

For the Dems, these numbers seem to be pretty reasonable. Sadly, those ridiculous CNN polls may really make the expectation's game difficult for Sanders to win.

After a certain percentage (around 15% or so) a landslide is a landslide and any drivel about expectations games goes out the window.

I mean, according to some people, Hillary's 0.4-point delegate win in Iowa (which was almost certainly a Sanders victory in terms of the number of bodies that turned out to caucus) was a MASSIVE mandate that totally changed the expectations game, so I guess the narrative is fair game!