Predict NH GOP results (post-debate)

[Senator Cris]

Go!

[President Johnson]

TRUMP: 31%
Kasich: 16%
Rubio: 15%
Rafael Eduardo: 14%
Christie: 9%
¿Jeb?: 9%
Carson: 4%
Fiorina: 2%
Gilmore: 0%

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

33% trump
18% christie
15% kasich
12% ¿yeb?
10% cruz
6% r2-b10
3% fiorina
2% carson

[Mehmentum]

Sanders: 56%
Clinton: 44%

Trump: 30%
Christie: 19%
Cruz: 14%
Bush: 11%
Kasich: 10%
Rubio: 9%
Fiorina: 4%
Carson: 3%

[Averroës Nix]

29% - Trump
13% - Kasich
13% - Rubio
13% - Cruz
13% - Christie
13% - Jeb
3% - Carson
2% - Fiorina FATALITY

55% - Sanders
45% - Clinton

[NHI]

Numbers, hard to say given the fluidity of the polls, but I'll give order of finishing.

1.) Trump
2.) Kasich
3.) Rubio
4.) Cruz
5.) Bush
6.) Christie
7.) Carson
8.) Fiorina

[ProgCon]

31.9% - Donald Trump
16.6% - John Kasich
12.6% - Ted Cruz
12.5% - Marco Rubio
12.2% - Jeb Bush
09.1% - Chris Christie
02.9% - Carly Fiorina
02.2% - Ben Carson

[MT Treasurer]

Trump: 27%
Kasich: 21%
Christie: 13%
Rubio: 12%
Bush: 11%
Cruz: 11%
Fiorina: 3%
Carson: 2%

[Figueira]

Trump: 30
Cruz: 13
Rubio: 12
Kasich: 12
Bush: 12
Christie: 12
Fiorina: 5
Carson: 4
Gilmore: 0

[bballrox4717]

TRUMP - 31
Kasich - 20
Cruz - 14
Rubio - 12
Jeb - 10
Christie - 7
Fiorina - 2
Carson - 2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TRUMP 30
Kasich 15
Rubio 12

[GLPman]

TRUMP: 28%
Kasich: 18%
Rubio: 17%
Cruz: 15%
Bush: 10%
Christie: 8%
Carson: 2%
Fiorina: 2%

[Tender Branson]

27% Trump
18% Kasich
14% Bush
12% Cruz
11% Rubio
10% Christie
  4% Fiorina
  3% Carson
  1% Others (big field)

Dems:

57% Sanders
42% Clinton
  1% Others (big field)

[Torie]

27% Trump
18% Kasich
14% Bush
12% Cruz
11% Rubio
10% Christie
  4% Fiorina
  3% Carson
  1% Others (big field)

Dems:

57% Sanders
42% Clinton
  1% Others (big field)

Those predictions seem quite reasonable to me.

[Maxwell]

28% Trump
18% Kasich
15% Christie
13% Bush
10% Cruz (beats Rubio by hundreds or tens of votes)
10% Rubio
4% Fiorina
2% Carson

[Xing]

Trump - 29
Kasich - 19
Cruz - 16
Rubio - 14
Christie - 11
Bush - 7
Carson - 3
Fiorina - 1

[mds32]

Dems:

Sanders 58%
Clinton 41%
Others 1%

Republican:

Trump 27%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 16%
Kasich 13%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Others 1%

I really don't think a debate on a weekend of the Superbowl is going to change much in the state of the race tbh. That is just me going out on a limb here.

[Mallow]

Trump: 30
Cruz: 17
Rubio: 13
Kasich: 12
Christie: 9
Bush: 8
Carson: 6
Fiorina: 5

[trickmind]

Dems:

Sanders 58%
Clinton 41%
Others 1%

Republican:

Trump 27%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 16%
Kasich 13%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Others 1%

I really don't think a debate on a weekend of the Superbowl is going to change much in the state of the race tbh. That is just me going out on a limb here.

A really flimsy limb that's about to snap off.

Sure the Superbowl may overshadow it a bit nationally, but New Hampshire voters are going to be talking about it, Christie and Bush are going to run last-minute ads on it, and that's what matters.

[Pandaguineapig]

Dems:

Sanders 58%
Clinton 41%
Others 1%

Republican:

Trump 27%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 16%
Kasich 13%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Others 1%

I really don't think a debate on a weekend of the Superbowl is going to change much in the state of the race tbh. That is just me going out on a limb here.

A really flimsy limb that's about to snap off.

Sure the Superbowl may overshadow it a bit nationally, but New Hampshire voters are going to be talking about it, Christie and Bush are going to run last-minute ads on it, and that's what matters.

Sure like how trump became inevitable after new york values?

[trickmind]

I never said he was, but ok.

[mds32]

Dems:

Sanders 58%
Clinton 41%
Others 1%

Republican:

Trump 27%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 16%
Kasich 13%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Others 1%

I really don't think a debate on a weekend of the Superbowl is going to change much in the state of the race tbh. That is just me going out on a limb here.

A really flimsy limb that's about to snap off.

Sure the Superbowl may overshadow it a bit nationally, but New Hampshire voters are going to be talking about it, Christie and Bush are going to run last-minute ads on it, and that's what matters.

And you are acting as if Rubio is going to sit back and do nothing and that all of his supporters are just going to suddenly evaporate and support people (Bush and Christie) who they haven't shown interest in before. We need to wait and see what happens, it doesn't seem like the energy of the Rubio campaign is going away that is important as well.

[Higgs]

Trump: 25%
Rubio: 21%
Kasich: 17%
Cruz: 16%
Christie: 11%
Bush: 7%
Fiorina: 2%
Carson: 1%

[Mehmentum]

Dems:

Sanders 58%
Clinton 41%
Others 1%

Republican:

Trump 27%
Rubio 23%
Cruz 16%
Kasich 13%
Bush 9%
Christie 6%
Fiorina 4%
Carson 2%
Others 1%

I really don't think a debate on a weekend of the Superbowl is going to change much in the state of the race tbh. That is just me going out on a limb here.

A really flimsy limb that's about to snap off.

Sure the Superbowl may overshadow it a bit nationally, but New Hampshire voters are going to be talking about it, Christie and Bush are going to run last-minute ads on it, and that's what matters.

And you are acting as if Rubio is going to sit back and do nothing and that all of his supporters are just going to suddenly evaporate and support people (Bush and Christie) who they haven't shown interest in before. We need to wait and see what happens, it doesn't seem like the energy of the Rubio campaign is going away that is important as well.

Much of Rubio's support switched to him in the past few days, in the wake of media coverage of his Iowa showing.  These are not dedicated supporters, they were only with Rubio because of the media hype, and now that the news cycle has turned against him these people will go with someone else.

Losing these people puts Rubio back at 9 or 10%, out of striking distance for 2nd, and in danger of being in 4th or 5th.  Even if none of Rubio's more dedicated supporters leave him, he's in for a disappointing finish.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

And you are acting as if Rubio is going to sit back and do nothing

he's been doubling down, so… yes?