Which will be easier for Democrats?

[ElectionsGuy]

Right now, I think retaining the presidency will be easier, especially since Trump is the likeliest Republican nominee and the Senate has strong Republican incumbents.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course presidency, but the tossup races, OH, NH, Pa are the keys to presidency, and won by Obama twice.

[Xing]

Definitely retaining the presidency, especially since they need to pick up five seats if they lose the presidential race.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems have an excellent chance of picking up 4-6 seats, including presidency. With Trump on ballot.

[This account no longer in use.]

Easily the senate. They're already favored to pick up Kirk and Johnson's seats, and all they would need to do is focus on the seats of Ayotte, Portman, Toomey, and Reid.

[smoltchanov]

Presidency. By far.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, Portman's seat will be the surprise of this election, as Hillary is favored over Trump to win in Ohio/ Va . As he polls terribly there.

[Figueira]

I could easily see Hillary winning, while Toomey, Portman, and Ayotte barely hold on. I have trouble seeing a Republican winning while the Democrats retake the Senate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ayotte isnt gonna hold on, and Portman has lost his edge over Strickland.

[Figueira]

Ayotte isnt gonna hold on, and Portman has lost his edge over Strickland.

I'm not saying I necessarily expect them to hold on. I'm just saying it's a possibility.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Im throwing conventional wisdom out the window. Certainly 4-6 pickups is in the realm of plausibility with the Dems retaining WH over Trump, because Trump is the same type of moderate conservative that McCain and Romney are, not Bush W and they were handily defeated.

[Figueira]

Im throwing conventional wisdom out the window. Certainly 4-6 pickups is in the realm of plausibility with the Dems retaining WH over Trump, because Trump is the same type of moderate conservative that McCain and Romney are, not Bush W and they were handily defeated.

Right, but that's not what the thread is asking.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You said Toomey & Ayotte & Portman will survive, but they arent assured anything in Pa or NH or FL.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Easily the senate. They're already favored to pick up Kirk and Johnson's seats, and all they would need to do is focus on the seats of Ayotte, Portman, Toomey, and Reid.

They've started to give up on Toomey already and there's roughly a 50-50 shot they'll destroy their chances in FL by nominating Grayson. Assuming they keep Reid's seat, they'd need three of NH, OH, The Presidency, IN, NC, MO, and AZ. Not Likely.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McGinty is Campaigning with,Rendell all over Pennsylvania, Dems are heavily invested in her. Toomey has a 40 % approval.

NH & FL are easier, but Murphy is nominee.

[This account no longer in use.]

Easily the senate. They're already favored to pick up Kirk and Johnson's seats, and all they would need to do is focus on the seats of Ayotte, Portman, Toomey, and Reid.

They've started to give up on Toomey already and there's roughly a 50-50 shot they'll destroy their chances in FL by nominating Grayson. Assuming they keep Reid's seat, they'd need three of NH, OH, The Presidency, IN, NC, MO, and AZ. Not Likely.

The most likely out of those are NH and OH. If McCain or Burr get primaried, those could be potential Democratic pickups as well.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would concurr with you, but concealed gun licenses, even in OH doesnt bold well for Dems. McGinty & Toomey and Hassan are on record fo expanded background checks.