Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win?
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  Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Which Super Tuesday states will Sanders win?  (Read 5384 times)
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darthebearnc
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« on: February 07, 2016, 07:33:18 PM »
Tongue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2016, 07:34:27 PM »
VT/MN/CO
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2016, 07:35:30 PM »
Vermont and MAYBE Minnesota.
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Penelope
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2016, 07:35:43 PM »
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: February 07, 2016, 07:37:17 PM »
Vermont only.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: February 07, 2016, 07:40:07 PM »
In order of likelihood:
Vermont, Minnesota, Colorado, Massachusetts, Oklahoma

Sanders needs at least 4 states for absolute bare survival, but realistically needs to win 5 if he wants a decent chance at a path forward.
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« Reply #6 on: February 07, 2016, 07:42:52 PM »
I can't understand how anyone believes Sanders could win OK. OK Democrats are still very conservative, over 40% showed up to vote against Obama in 2012. No way does Sanders beat Clinton there.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: February 07, 2016, 07:46:03 PM »

Minnesota actually seems like a perfect Bernie state to me. Tons of white liberals, a caucus rather than a primary which should favor him, and the biggest one: it's an open caucus. Even Iowa was only semi-open. I'd be shocked if he lost it.

CO I could see going either way. In Bernie's favor is the fact that it's a caucus and the state doesn't seem too fond of the Clintons (she lost it in a landslide in 08 and polls poorly there now.) On the other hand, it's a closed caucus which is a huge blow to him, plus Hispanics will have a major presence.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: February 07, 2016, 07:47:32 PM »
Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on February 07, 2016, 07:42:52 PM
I can't understand how anyone believes Sanders could win OK. OK Democrats are still very conservative, over 40% showed up to vote against Obama in 2012. No way does Sanders beat Clinton there.

The Dixiecrats will stay home, only Clinton, O'Malley, and Sanders are on the ballot. Those who remain will lean liberal. A blowout for Sanders won't happen, but a narrow victory is possible.
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Sasquatch
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« Reply #9 on: February 07, 2016, 07:48:56 PM »
Vermont
Minnesota
Colorado
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #10 on: February 07, 2016, 08:57:17 PM »
bump

Anyway, the consensus now seems to be that Bernie will win VT, MN, and CO. Not quite MA, but close.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #11 on: February 07, 2016, 09:02:51 PM »
In order...

Vermont
Minnesota

then Colorado

Then unlikely to be much chance. Considering Clinton still won MA with everything against her there at the time, I don't see why she wouldn't hold up here.
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Pyro
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« Reply #12 on: February 07, 2016, 09:04:07 PM »
Depending on his performance in NH, as well as Nevada and SC, he certainly has the potential to win Vermont, Minnesota, Colorado, and narrowly, Massachusetts. Anything else would constitute Clinton dropping out/indictment.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: February 07, 2016, 09:05:52 PM »
Colorado
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Vermont
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cwt
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« Reply #14 on: February 07, 2016, 09:33:32 PM »
« Edited: February 07, 2016, 09:41:00 PM by cwt »
Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on February 07, 2016, 07:42:52 PM
I can't understand how anyone believes Sanders could win OK. OK Democrats are still very conservative, over 40% showed up to vote against Obama in 2012. No way does Sanders beat Clinton there.

Eugene V. Debs got 16.4% of the vote there in 1912 (his second best state). Their state motto is "labor conquers all." Socialism has a rich history there.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: February 07, 2016, 09:47:16 PM »
« Edited: February 07, 2016, 09:49:21 PM by Da-Jon »
Vt, MN, CO. If he survives beyond NH, and can competete in NV,  the email scandal has eroded Hilary support, meaning he's gonna stick around. MOVEON.ORG has already endorsed Bernie.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #16 on: February 07, 2016, 09:52:27 PM »
Quote from: cwt on February 07, 2016, 09:33:32 PM
Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on February 07, 2016, 07:42:52 PM
I can't understand how anyone believes Sanders could win OK. OK Democrats are still very conservative, over 40% showed up to vote against Obama in 2012. No way does Sanders beat Clinton there.

Eugene V. Debs got 16.4% of the vote there in 1912 (his second best state). Their state motto is "labor conquers all." Socialism has a rich history there.

History is the key word there. Because its in the past.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #17 on: February 07, 2016, 09:53:09 PM »
VT>MN>CO>MA>VA
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bigedlb
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« Reply #18 on: February 07, 2016, 09:56:03 PM »
I think Rhode Island also votes super Tuesday.  Sanders will win that as well
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: February 07, 2016, 09:58:16 PM »
Quote from: bigedlb on February 07, 2016, 09:56:03 PM
I think Rhode Island also votes super Tuesday.  Sanders will win that as well

RI is April 26th.
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NerdyBohemian
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« Reply #20 on: February 07, 2016, 10:18:15 PM »
Quote from: bigedlb on February 07, 2016, 09:56:03 PM
I think Rhode Island also votes super Tuesday.  Sanders will win that as well

No he won't. Clinton beat Obama by a significant margin in 2008. And Rhode Island isn't a liberal state.
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pho
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« Reply #21 on: February 07, 2016, 10:49:12 PM »
Sanders will win VT and MN comfortably.
Clinton will win MA and CO narrowly and everything else in a landslide.
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indysaff
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« Reply #22 on: February 07, 2016, 10:51:28 PM »

This. Maybe a slight chance in TN/OK.
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Famous Mortimer
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« Reply #23 on: February 07, 2016, 11:02:15 PM »
Working for the Bernie campaign in Minnesota cold calling registered Democrats. Based on the reactions I've heard, Bernie is going to beat Clinton 2 to 1 in Minnesota.
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Flake
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« Reply #24 on: February 07, 2016, 11:04:18 PM »
Vermont, Minnesota, Colorado, Massachusetts, and Virginia.
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