What does Sanders have to do to stay competitive after Super Tuesday.

[NeverAgain]

?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Win things beforehand that he wouldn't be expected to?

[ElectionsGuy]

To stay competitive:

Win Vermont (duh), and win at least one of CO, MA, MN, come close or win narrowly in the other two. Have at least a effort-full showing in the southern states, meaning getting above 40% in most of them. Obviously it will be very hard to get above 40% in states like Georgia and Alabama, but a good 35% or so will suffice.

In order to have a shot at the nomination:

Win all four of CO, MA, MN, and VT and get >40% in all of the others, yes, all of them. He needs to come very close to winning the easier targets of the south, like Virginia and Oklahoma (or outright win them if possible), to scare Hillary. For this to be done, he needs at least 30% support with blacks.

[The Other Castro]

If Sanders doesn't win all of VT, CO, and MN, he has no business continuing his campaign. If he wins all three plus MA, he is an alright position but still not great. To be in his best realistic position and well suited for a competitive rest of the primary, he needs to win those 4 plus one of TN, VA, or OK. Anything more than 5 or 6 and he's actually probably favored to win the nomination.

[Famous Mortimer]

Going into Super Tuesday, I assume Clinton and Sanders will be tied in terms of wins: Hillary will have IA and SC. Sanders will have NH and NV.

There's 11 states on Super Tuesday. Not including Democrats Abroad and American Somoa.

I think in order to remain a serious candidate (he will probably keep running regardless) he needs to win at least 5, 6 to be the front runner.

VT, MN, CO, MA should be easy. He needs to pick off one or two more.

[Ebsy]

Have won Iowa.

[This account no longer in use.]

Super Tuesday states ranked by how likely Sanders is to win them (in my opinion):

Vermont
Colorado
Minnesota
Massachusetts
Tennessee
Oklahoma
Arkansas
Texas
Alabama
Georgia
Virginia

So I think that if Sanders can, at the very least, win VT, CO, MN, MA, and TN, he'd be able to put a dent in Clinton's 'southern firewall', and likely stay in. Winning OK, AR, or TX would just be the icing on the cake. Winning any of the last ones means Hillary was probably indicted and/or dead.

[Lief 🗽]

Have won Iowa.

[NeverAgain]

Have won Iowa.

They're still counting so... He may have. I think Bernie has a shot here in VA, I hear a lot of support from my phonebanking ventures but maybe I just am getting the libs.

[Famous Mortimer]

Have won Iowa.

They're still counting so... He may have. I think Bernie has a shot here in VA, I hear a lot of support from my phonebanking ventures but maybe I just am getting the libs.

Does Virginia keep track of party registration? What we're doing in Minnesota is just autocalling people who are registered as Democrats. I don't think there's anyway for Sanders to get the phone numbers of just self identified liberals. So if you're getting mostly Sanders supporters, that's a pretty good sign for the Democratic primary.

[Shadows]

I still think if we can win NH & Nevada & get a loss under 10-15% in SC, 4 out of 11 would be pretty decent. 5 for Sanders with 6 for Hillary would make the race completely competitive & make it seem like a close contest.

Let's remember Hillary is still the front-runner by a good margin. Ofcourse if he wins only NH out of the 1st 4, he needs 5 wins out of 11.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Have won Iowa.

They're still counting so... He may have.

No, they are done (re)counting and he lost.