Tracking Midnight Towns NH Primary (user search)
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  Tracking Midnight Towns NH Primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: Tracking Midnight Towns NH Primary  (Read 4233 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 08, 2016, 01:50:03 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 08, 2016, 01:48:55 PM
I think Kasich will do well there, he's the only candidate who actually visited these areas.

Huntsman tied for the lead in Dixville last time around, so I could see it happening. This "Trump must sweep" idea is ludicrous and not realistic.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2016, 12:11:32 AM »
Cruz and Clinton win Millsfield
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2016, 12:14:18 AM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 12:13:40 AM
So totals:

GOP:

Cruz 9
Trump 5
Kasich 4
Bush/Christie/Rubio/Carson 1

Democrats:

Sanders 5
Clinton 2

Kasich has 4
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2016, 12:15:23 AM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 12:14:43 AM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 09, 2016, 12:14:18 AM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 12:13:40 AM
So totals:

GOP:

Cruz 9
Trump 5
Kasich 4
Bush/Christie/Rubio/Carson 1

Democrats:

Sanders 5
Clinton 2

Kasich has 4

It's even in the quote of mine lol

Well, it was at 3 initially Tongue
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2016, 12:17:06 AM »
Not surprised about Cruz winning Millsfield. Paul got over 50% there in 2012.

Clinton won 4-1-1 in Millsfield in 2008.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2016, 12:19:30 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 09, 2016, 12:18:47 AM
What are the 2008 and 2012 Millsfield results? It looks like it voted Hillary in 2008.

2012: 57% Paul
2008: 60% Clinton, 38% McCain
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2016, 12:27:17 AM »
Totals:

Cruz 9
Trump 9
Kasich 9
Christie 3
Bush 2
Rubio 2
Carson 2

Democrats:

Sanders 17
Clinton 9
Greenstein 2

Looks like the real winner is Herman Cain.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: February 09, 2016, 12:31:14 AM »
Seems like the Kasich-surge narrative is beating the Jeb-surge narrative.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: February 09, 2016, 12:32:36 AM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 09, 2016, 12:31:40 AM
Mark Greenstein ran in the NH primary at least once before, in 2000. He also briefly challenged Hillary in her 2006 primary.

He got 75 votes in 2000.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: February 09, 2016, 12:41:44 AM »
Clinton did 10% better in HL than in 2008 while running even with 2008 in the other two. The main difference is she's only running against one real candidate this time as opposed to multiple who fracture the vote.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2016, 12:45:07 AM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 09, 2016, 12:42:47 AM
So for the Dem context

Compared to 2008

Obama - 75%
Clinton - 15%
Edwards - 10%
Richardson - 5%


So overall she's up 17% from 2008. Watch out Bernie.
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