how do you see Trump going forward?
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  how do you see Trump going forward?
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Author Topic: how do you see Trump going forward?  (Read 434 times)
jman123
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« on: February 08, 2016, 11:02:44 AM »

If Trump wins NH as expected tomorrow, will that give him momentum to carry SC?
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Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 11:08:18 AM »

I think Cruz is the only candidate who can come close to TRUMP in SC now.  It all depends on whether TRUMP's voters actually turn out or not.
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defe07
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2016, 12:17:24 PM »

I could see trump's chances increasing should he win NH, sc and NV. Then, he would need to do excellent on super tuesday. I see trump overperforming on st. And then, it gets interesting! Wink
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2016, 02:31:07 PM »

I see Trump going backward, on the issues. He is a reactionary.
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Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2016, 02:33:38 PM »

I see Trump going backward, on the issues. He is a reactionary.

TRUMP is the strongest progressive in the race.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2016, 02:36:44 PM »

I see Trump going backward, on the issues. He is a reactionary.

TRUMP is the strongest progressive in the race.
Not on all issues.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2016, 03:39:49 AM »

It will give him momentum, but it won't be enough to win the nomination. I still think he will win NH by a smaller margin than expected.

The Donald has two major problems: 1.) He can’t get enough of his people out and vote in large numbers. Because he hasn’t a traditional organization, he’s running a (social) media campaign. And most of his supporters are less educated, and these groups are less reliable voters than higher-educated people. And 2.) Almost everywhere he’s leading, he’s doing it by a plurality. In other words, when the field narrows, he’ll likely trail most opponents. If, for example, Christie and Jeb would be out in NH, Kasich and/or Rubio could easily beat him.

So I think that he wins NH below expectations (maybe by five points), maybe wins SC very close and then lose NV by coming in third after Rubio and Cruz. After Super Tuesday, he’s done and Rubio is the presumptive nominee. He might battle with Cruz until April. But by then, Cruz will also be finished.
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