NH - Emerson Poll
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Author Topic: NH - Emerson Poll  (Read 3123 times)
Torie
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« on: February 08, 2016, 04:24:26 PM »
The poll is coming out in about 90 minutes at 6 pm EST.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 04:34:02 PM »
For reference, here's the last NH poll from Emerson (Pre-Iowa, Jan 26)

Trump 35
Jeb 18
Kasich 14
Rubio 9
Cruz 8

Sanders 52
Clinton 44
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2016, 04:40:23 PM »
CLINTON has already conceded NH, but she got the split she needed heading for NV & SC
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2016, 05:14:50 PM »
While Emerson was way off in predicting an 8 point win for Clinton in Iowa, they were the closest in picking up the Rubio surge and closeness of the top 3 on the Republican side. I'll give their GOP numbers some consideration.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2016, 06:02:00 PM »
It's up:

Trump 31%
Bush 16%
Kasich 13%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 11%

http://www.theecps.com
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indysaff
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:03 PM »
Bush 2nd? Hah!
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:29 PM »
New Hampshire polls are LITERALLY all over the place
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Volrath50
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:35 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 08, 2016, 06:02:00 PM
It's up:

Trump 31%
Bush 16%
Kasich 13%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 11%

http://www.theecps.com

If a result like this holds, it will be very interesting to see what happens. Will the GOP establishment try to force Bush down voters throats again?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:43 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 08, 2016, 06:02:00 PM
It's up:

Trump 31%
Bush 16%
Kasich 13%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 11%

http://www.theecps.com

Lol, a Bush 2nd place would be HIL-AR-IOUS
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RI
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:52 PM »

They had Bush at 18% last time.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2016, 06:03:57 PM »
Trump -4
Bush -2
Kasich -1
Cruz +3
Rubio +3

No real shocking momentum swing like Rubio in IA
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2016, 06:04:43 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on February 08, 2016, 06:02:00 PM
It's up:

Trump 31%
Bush 16%
Kasich 13%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 11%

http://www.theecps.com

Weirdly close to my prediction...
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #12 on: February 08, 2016, 06:04:56 PM »
CNN shows Rubio in 2nd.  
Gravis shows Kasich in 2nd.  
Emerson shows Bush in 2nd.

New Hampshire polling for you.
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Holmes
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« Reply #13 on: February 08, 2016, 06:05:08 PM »
I love it.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: February 08, 2016, 06:05:23 PM »
4 point swing to Sanders since their last poll.
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indysaff
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« Reply #15 on: February 08, 2016, 06:06:51 PM »

I still don't think Bush will be that strong, but tomorrow is going to be interesting nonetheless.
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RI
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« Reply #16 on: February 08, 2016, 06:07:07 PM »
New Poll: New Hampshire President by Emerson College on 2016-02-07

Summary:
Trump:
31%
Bush:
16%
Kasich:
13%
Rubio:
12%
Cruz:
11%
Fiorina:
7%
Christie:
6%
Other:
3%
Undecided:
1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #17 on: February 08, 2016, 06:09:00 PM »
Dem numbers:

Sanders - 54%
Clinton - 42%
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #18 on: February 08, 2016, 06:09:54 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 08, 2016, 06:09:00 PM
Dem numbers:

Sanders - 54%
Clinton - 42%

Yowza!  Dominating.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #19 on: February 08, 2016, 06:10:08 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 08, 2016, 06:05:23 PM
4 point swing to Sanders since their last poll.

Wasn't Sanders much weaker in the previous Emerson poll in comparison to the consensus?

54-42 is pretty close to the polling average at the moment.
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RI
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« Reply #20 on: February 08, 2016, 06:10:17 PM »
Both this poll and CNN/WMUR have Fiorina ahead of Christie.
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Vern
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« Reply #21 on: February 08, 2016, 06:10:36 PM »
All this proves is that despite the debated, Rubio numbers are holding steady
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #22 on: February 08, 2016, 06:13:15 PM »
"On Friday, following the Democratic debate, Sanders had a significant bump in his daily numbers to 61%, while Clinton fell to 34%. However, Clinton bounced back by Sunday, closing the gap."

"Trump skidded from 37% on Thursday to 22% on Saturday. However, he surged to 33% on Sunday, following his GOP debate performance. Overall, Bush trended upward, from 12% on Thursday to 19% on Saturday and 21% on Sunday. His gain seemed to be at Rubio’s expense. Rubio fell from a high of 17% on Friday to single digits on Sunday."
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #23 on: February 08, 2016, 06:21:14 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 08, 2016, 06:10:08 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 08, 2016, 06:05:23 PM
4 point swing to Sanders since their last poll.

Wasn't Sanders much weaker in the previous Emerson poll in comparison to the consensus?

54-42 is pretty close to the polling average at the moment.

He was at +8 while most had him pushing or above 20.

Even this Shrillary-tastic poll has the Berninator killin' it.  It's gonna be a bloodbath, folks.
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RI
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« Reply #24 on: February 08, 2016, 06:25:18 PM »
This poll gives a breakdown for every county (very high MoEs, obv):

Belknap: 24% Trump, 20% Bush
Carroll: 39% Rubio, 17% Bush
Cheshire: 46% Trump, 21% Bush
Coos: 35% Trump, 25% Cruz
Grafton: 29% Bush, 16% Trump
Hillsborough: 31% Trump, 16% Bush
Merrimack: 22% Kasich, 21% Trump
Rockingham: 34% Trump, 15% Bush
Strafford: 43% Trump, 24% Cruz
Sullivan: 38% Trump, 24% Bush

Belknap: 62% Sanders, 38% Clinton
Carroll: 53% Sanders, 37% Clinton
Cheshire: 67% Sanders, 27% Clinton
Coos: 75% Sanders, 25% Clinton
Grafton: 62% Sanders, 38% Clinton
Hillsborough: 53% Sanders, 47% Clinton
Merrimack: 53% Sanders, 47% Clinton
Rockingham: 54% Sanders, 38% Clinton
Strafford: 51% Clinton, 47% Sanders
Sullivan: 45% Clinton, 43% Sanders
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