NH - Emerson Poll

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Lol Carroll county

[Skye]

So, anything can happen, except for Trump winning, that one's a given... right?

[Pandaguineapig]

So, anything can happen, except for Trump winning, that one's a given... right?

Not necessarily, since 1988 the polls of new hampshire primaries have a average error of about 14%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Coos: 75% Sanders, 25% Clinton

Was this just 4 voters or something? Because this was Hillary's best county in 2008.

[Torie]

All this proves is that despite the debated, Rubio numbers are holding steady

12% for Rubio is the average of a decline from 17% on Friday to single digits on Sunday.  Also, Bush was at 21% (!) on Sunday.  Read the press release.

That is the most significant thing of all - the Sunday numbers. The Rubio supporters are pouring over to Jeb, not Kasich. If this holds, or continues, Jeb has a new lease on life, and Rubio is on life support. We shall see.

[RI]

Coos: 75% Sanders, 25% Clinton

Was this just 4 voters or something? Because this was Hillary's best county in 2008.

8 actually

[Landslide Lyndon]

All this proves is that despite the debated, Rubio numbers are holding steady

12% for Rubio is the average of a decline from 17% on Friday to single digits on Sunday.  Also, Bush was at 21% (!) on Sunday.  Read the press release.

That is the most significant thing of all - the Sunday numbers. The Rubio supporters are pouring over to Jeb, not Kasich. If this holds, or continues, Jeb has a new lease on life, and Rubio is on life support. We shall see.

There is an article at Political Wire about indicators showing that Rubio is in free fall.
Unfortunately it can be accessed only by members. If someone is a member maybe he can inform us what is all about.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Rubio polled in single digits on Sunday? That would be devastating if he finishes under 10%.

[Lief 🗽]

Assuming the sample had an equal number of respondents for each day, that's only about 172 people yesterday. So MOE of 7% or so. Gotta be careful drawing big conclusions from that.

[RI]

Assuming the sample had an equal number of respondents for each day, that's only about 172 people yesterday. So MOE of 7% or so. Gotta be careful drawing big conclusions from that.

You don't need to assume. There were 263 respondents yesterday.

[Torie]

Assuming the sample had an equal number of respondents for each day, that's only about 172 people yesterday. So MOE of 7% or so. Gotta be careful drawing big conclusions from that.

Sure, but suddenly the odds have shot way up that Jeb will be POTUS, and Rubio will not. The FBI confirms that it is in a full investigation against Hillary. The choices in this election are really, really awful. It's just so sad. That is my opinion.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Assuming the sample had an equal number of respondents for each day, that's only about 172 people yesterday. So MOE of 7% or so. Gotta be careful drawing big conclusions from that.

Sure, but suddenly the odds have shot way up that Jeb will be POTUS, and Rubio will not. The FBI confirms that it is in a full investigation against Hillary. The choices in this election are really, really awful. It's just so sad. That is my opinion.

Maybe Obama will cancel the elections and become dictator. Isn't that his Master Plan according to the teabaggers?

[DrScholl]

Assuming the sample had an equal number of respondents for each day, that's only about 172 people yesterday. So MOE of 7% or so. Gotta be careful drawing big conclusions from that.

Sure, but suddenly the odds have shot way up that Jeb will be POTUS, and Rubio will not. The FBI confirms that it is in a full investigation against Hillary. The choices in this election are really, really awful. It's just so sad. That is my opinion.

And if the FBI investigation doesn't pan out, you still have the National Enquirer story to cling to.

[Shadows]

Dem numbers:

Sanders - 54%
Clinton - 42%

Yowza!  Dominating.

Sanders +2
Clinton -2
 
Change from last poll. 12% is good. This is supposed to be Clinton's best poll. I am hoping it will be 20% for Sanders

[Torie]

Putting aside the sad story of Hillary, who isn't going to be POTUS absent unusual circumstances (but then everything so far has been highly unusual), I feel like the vacillating Hamlet as a hypothetical NH voter: Kasich to Rubio to Kasich to Jeb!. If that isn't "high energy," I don't know what is. I'm jumping around like those performers during the Superbowl halftime. So assuming Jeb does come in second in NH, I might take up the Dudiabides (whatever his name was) baton. You have now all been warned. Torie moves from Dr. Jekyll to Mr. Hyde.

[Higgs]

So the takeaway from all these NH polls is pretty much that Trump leads by a lot, and there is virtually a 4-way tie for 2nd place between Rubio, Kasich, Cruz, and Bush.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Again... all of this being tempered by the serious reality that NH is NOTORIOUSLY bad and highly unreliable. Hence, why I've been arguing to stop worrying about the polls and just wait for the actual votes to be counted. 

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Coos: 75% Sanders, 25% Clinton

Was this just 4 voters or something? Because this was Hillary's best county in 2008.

8 actually

Yeah, I wouldn't put too much weight into a sample size of 8 from a crappy pollster.

[IceSpear]

These NH polls are quite useless. Primary polling is already unreliable, add the schizophrenic nature of NH voters along with trying to measure the impact of a debate during Super Bowl weekend, and you get a product that isn't worth the paper its printed on.

Luckily, we already know Trump and Sanders will win. But the margins (and placement of other candidates on the GOP side) are complete crapshoots at this point.

[tpfkaw]

>The polls are useless.
>We already know who's going to win. (Based on the polls?)

[IceSpear]

>The polls are useless.
>We already know who's going to win. (Based on the polls?)

I don't believe there's any precedent for leads THAT big collapsing. My main point was that it's worthless to try to read any more into them than that.

But yeah, I should've said we 99% know. You got me. The #angryNHwomen might come out for Hillary at the last second again.