Make your final call- will the NH polls be more or less off than Iowa polls
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  Make your final call- will the NH polls be more or less off than Iowa polls
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Poll
Question: Which is it? Margin-wise, not necessarily who is in first, second, etc
#1
NH polls will prove to be more off (more wrong than iowa polls)
 
#2
Less off (more right than Iowa polls)
 
#3
About the same
 
#4
WTF IS GOING ON WITH NH.
 
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Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Make your final call- will the NH polls be more or less off than Iowa polls  (Read 447 times)
Matty
boshembechle
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« on: February 08, 2016, 07:04:12 PM »

Go!
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 07:04:48 PM »

I assume that they'll be roughly the same level of offness.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2016, 07:06:40 PM »

Less as primaries are easier to poll than caucuses.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2016, 07:08:51 PM »

More. Huge fraction of undecided plus crossover voting.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2016, 07:09:22 PM »

Much more, new hampshire has not been accurately polled since before the Reagan era
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2016, 07:35:47 PM »

More. Polling is usually less accurate than the Iowa polls were. Also, New Hampshire is a smaller state than Iowa and also has less people.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2016, 08:00:47 PM »

Less on the Republican side, since the polls were pretty bad there in Iowa.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2016, 08:02:05 PM »

I'm going to say more on the Republican side, less on the Democratic side.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2016, 09:37:12 PM »

Less on the Republican side, since the polls were pretty bad there in Iowa.

Yeah, but on the GOP side this time, the Saturday debate may have changed things somewhat, and there hasn't been time for that to be reflected in the polls.  (Or, it's been reflected in some of them, but it's hard to know what to do with polls taken on Super Bowl Sunday.)

Also, more candidates in the running for second place this time, so more possibilities for the voters to surprise with tactical voting.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2016, 10:02:56 PM »

This implies that the polls have reached any sort of consensus in New Hampshire.  So I chose the 4th option.
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2016, 10:23:18 PM »

NH is really fluid. I know as a NH voter I would be a basket case and this point if intending to vote on the Pub side. This one is a really tough call for the sane and informed. So the polls may be junk. It just depends on the mood of the voters in a few hours. I know as time goes by since Saturday, I get more and more down on Rubio as it all sinks in. And then where to go? Yikes! So that is that.
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