Margins of victory
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  Margins of victory
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Author Topic: Margins of victory  (Read 393 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« on: February 08, 2016, 09:16:19 PM »

What should be the final margins of victory for both races tomorrow night?

I would say Sanders by 15 and Trump by at least 8.  I think Trump will under perform his polls, but I still think he pulls off a pretty healthy victory with Rubio claiming the silver.
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Higgs
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2016, 09:38:18 PM »

Both races will be decided than less than 10 points.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2016, 09:53:49 PM »

Sanders by 15 and Trump by 8 sounds about right.
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2016, 11:03:02 PM »

Sanders by 20. Trump by 10.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2016, 03:13:36 AM »

Both within single digits.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2016, 09:08:45 AM »

Trump   25
Kasich   17
Rubio   17
Cruz   15
Bush   10
Carson   6
Christie   6
Fiorina   3
Gilmore   1
all others   0
The point is that I think Kasich and Rubio will be close as will Carson and Christie.
I am more likely to be right that Kasich will narrowly defeat Rubio than that Carson will be in 6th.
If Rubio beats Kasich and/or Christie beats Carson, I still give myself a passing grade, other than that if this order is wrong I fail. Obvioiusly anyone who finishes fifth or worse is toast.
Also Cruz can finish a close 4th and still be viable because he is not strong in New Hampshire.
If Bush finishes second he will get a boost.
Sanders 58.5
Clinton   41.5
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PresidentTRUMP
2016election
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« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2016, 09:37:41 AM »

Sanders by 15%

Trump by 12%
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