Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 29250 times)
buritobr
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« Reply #25 on: February 09, 2016, 04:46:24 PM »
I learned in this Forum that New Hampshire is an anti big government state. Why is Sanders expected to win? Do the anti big government guys vote only in the Republican primary?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #26 on: February 09, 2016, 04:47:54 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 09, 2016, 04:40:02 PM
I'd imagine that the early exits will be better for Clinton than the actual results will be. Sanders people are probably more likely to show up between 5 PM and 8 PM than Clinton people are.

Remember that the first Iowa entrance polls had Clinton up 9 before it dropping down 1 point.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #27 on: February 09, 2016, 04:48:33 PM »
Quote from: buritobr on February 09, 2016, 04:46:24 PM
I learned in this Forum that New Hampshire is an anti big government state. Why is Sanders expected to win? Do the anti big government guys vote only in the Republican primary?

Probably. Sanders is the strongest supporter of big government out of anyone running.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #28 on: February 09, 2016, 04:49:59 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 09, 2016, 04:40:02 PM
I'd imagine that the early exits will be better for Clinton than the actual results will be. Sanders people are probably more likely to show up between 5 PM and 8 PM than Clinton people are.

Case in point: Clinton up YUGE in early Iowa entrance polls.  Olds are definitely more likely to putz on over to the local school gymnasium at 1pm after they make their daily trips to the post office and bank.  Bernie's young, working class idealists are probably too busy toiling until 5pm when they are finally released to vote for their emancipator.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #29 on: February 09, 2016, 04:50:12 PM »
Quote from: buritobr on February 09, 2016, 04:46:24 PM
I learned in this Forum that New Hampshire is an anti big government state. Why is Sanders expected to win? Do the anti big government guys vote only in the Republican primary?

That's a myth.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #30 on: February 09, 2016, 04:50:41 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 09, 2016, 04:50:12 PM
Quote from: buritobr on February 09, 2016, 04:46:24 PM
I learned in this Forum that New Hampshire is an anti big government state. Why is Sanders expected to win? Do the anti big government guys vote only in the Republican primary?

That's a myth.

LIVE FREE OR DIE!!!!!!!!1!
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #31 on: February 09, 2016, 04:54:12 PM »
Final Pre-New Hampshire Democratic Primary Map:
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #32 on: February 09, 2016, 04:56:05 PM »
First wave of exit polls coming out in 5 minutes
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Holmes
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« Reply #33 on: February 09, 2016, 04:57:37 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 09, 2016, 04:54:12 PM
Final Pre-New Hampshire Democratic Primary Map:



Rhode Island won't vote for Sanders if Massachusetts and Connecticut don't.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #34 on: February 09, 2016, 04:58:51 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on February 09, 2016, 04:57:37 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 09, 2016, 04:54:12 PM
Final Pre-New Hampshire Democratic Primary Map:



Rhode Island won't vote for Sanders if Massachusetts and Connecticut don't.

Ding.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #35 on: February 09, 2016, 05:03:02 PM »
He has the best shot in Connecticut out of the three by far.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #36 on: February 09, 2016, 05:08:49 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 09, 2016, 05:03:02 PM
He has the best shot in Connecticut out of the three by far.

Why? Doesn't Connecticut have the highest black + hispanic population?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #37 on: February 09, 2016, 05:13:10 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 09, 2016, 05:08:49 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 09, 2016, 05:03:02 PM
He has the best shot in Connecticut out of the three by far.

Why? Doesn't Connecticut have the highest black + hispanic population?

Yes (NY outskirts), and Clinton will also likely focus much more on MA than RI because MA has a higher delegate count.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #38 on: February 09, 2016, 05:13:55 PM »
Exit poll info:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/new-hampshire-exit-poll-results-independent-voter-participation-n514991

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Holmes
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« Reply #39 on: February 09, 2016, 05:19:11 PM »
Well, not the best news for Sanders. Still a comfortable win.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #40 on: February 09, 2016, 05:20:18 PM »
Remember these are early exits. Those numbers will likely shift some.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #41 on: February 09, 2016, 05:20:26 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on February 09, 2016, 05:19:11 PM
Well, not the best news for Sanders. Still a comfortable win.

Hopefully. We'll also have to see where these numbers go as the exit polls are updated. Those first ones out of Iowa were pretty bad.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #42 on: February 09, 2016, 05:23:34 PM »
CNN Exits -

22% Decided in last few days
77% decided earlier

53% debate irrelevant to vote
45% debate matters to vote
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Zanas
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« Reply #43 on: February 09, 2016, 05:24:01 PM »
CNN tells that 22% of voters in the Dem primary made their mind in the last few days, 77% earlier. Good news for Sanders I guess.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #44 on: February 09, 2016, 05:29:26 PM »
Ideology Dem side:

26% Very Liberal
42% Somewhat Liberal
28% Moderate
4% Conservative
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #45 on: February 09, 2016, 05:31:37 PM »
More exits:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/new-hampshire-early-exit-poll-results-are-democrats-more-liberal-n515011

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darthebearnc
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« Reply #46 on: February 09, 2016, 05:32:32 PM »

And people think Clinton will win this...
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Holmes
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« Reply #47 on: February 09, 2016, 05:40:09 PM »

Literally who here predicted Clinton would win??
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cxs018
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« Reply #48 on: February 09, 2016, 05:41:26 PM »

IIRC, OC had something in his profile about Hillary being the 'comeback kid' in NH like Bill Clinton and Kerry. Not sure if that means a predicted win, though.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #49 on: February 09, 2016, 05:43:57 PM »
Some would spin any loss margin less than 10% for Clinton as "comeback kid"
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