Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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  Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 29257 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #50 on: February 09, 2016, 05:44:32 PM »


IIRC, OC had something in his profile about Hillary being the 'comeback kid' in NH like Bill Clinton and Kerry. Not sure if that means a predicted win, though.

Well Bill didn't win NH, so I don't think he meant that she'd win... but Hillary's not behind so there's no way she can get a "comeback kid" narrative from the media even if she performs better than expected. Another dumb OC post.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #51 on: February 09, 2016, 05:46:00 PM »


d32123 and Marokai.
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cxs018
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« Reply #52 on: February 09, 2016, 05:46:44 PM »


Ten bucks d32123 wasn't serious.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #53 on: February 09, 2016, 05:47:43 PM »

More Dem. exit data:

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/voted-live-hampshire-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=36805930

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HillOfANight
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« Reply #54 on: February 09, 2016, 05:48:14 PM »

https://twitter.com/meetthepress/status/697187881907957761
https://twitter.com/meetthepress/status/697185753965658113

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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #55 on: February 09, 2016, 05:52:08 PM »

This looks like an 8-12% win to Sanders.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #56 on: February 09, 2016, 05:52:17 PM »
« Edited: February 09, 2016, 05:54:07 PM by Castro »

30% viewing honesty/trustworthiness as the top quality does not bode well for Clinton at all.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #57 on: February 09, 2016, 05:52:26 PM »

Ouch
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #58 on: February 09, 2016, 05:53:11 PM »

Income inequality was the top issue for Democrats. Wow...
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #59 on: February 09, 2016, 05:54:03 PM »

According to the CNN website, Coos County will likely have less than 100 Democratic voters Tongue

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #60 on: February 09, 2016, 05:55:08 PM »


IIRC, OC had something in his profile about Hillary being the 'comeback kid' in NH like Bill Clinton and Kerry. Not sure if that means a predicted win, though.

OC?
Really?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #61 on: February 09, 2016, 05:55:38 PM »


Which in all likelihood means a 12-12 split in the delegates. Sanders will need more than 56.3% of the vote in one or both of the CDs to win a majority of delegates.
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Holmes
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« Reply #62 on: February 09, 2016, 05:56:28 PM »

According to the CNN website, Coos County will likely have less than 100 Democratic voters Tongue



% of precincts, not total votes.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #63 on: February 09, 2016, 05:56:49 PM »

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Warren Griffin
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« Reply #64 on: February 09, 2016, 05:58:12 PM »
« Edited: February 09, 2016, 06:03:55 PM by Warren Griffin »

Looks very good for Sanders according to CNN. 41 percent Independents.

I think he will overperform the polls.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #65 on: February 09, 2016, 05:59:50 PM »

It would be so funny if these exits were wrong and this ended being the complete reverse.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #66 on: February 09, 2016, 05:59:53 PM »

According to the CNN website, Coos County will likely have less than 100 Democratic voters Tongue



% of precincts, not total votes.

ahhhh
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #67 on: February 09, 2016, 06:01:01 PM »

I think the danger is confusing personal policy positions with their voting intentions.
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Holmes
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« Reply #68 on: February 09, 2016, 06:13:20 PM »

If the 30-64 numbers are close to 50-50, it's a single digit win for Sanders. I think he'll probably win that age demographic by about 10%, so I'm guessing he'll win the state by 10-12%.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #69 on: February 09, 2016, 06:13:59 PM »

I'm sticking to my 57-42 Sanders win.  Early polling suggest 13-14% win for Bernie, and I'm going to suggest he overperforms them a little.  
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #70 on: February 09, 2016, 06:26:37 PM »

John King: The Clinton campaign "misunderestimated" Sanders
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Torie
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« Reply #71 on: February 09, 2016, 06:27:51 PM »

I'm sticking to my 57-42 Sanders win.  Early polling suggest 13-14% win for Bernie, and I'm going to suggest he overperforms them a little.  

I think you are very close to right, maybe a couple of points high, maybe a point low.
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #72 on: February 09, 2016, 06:29:37 PM »

John King: The Clinton campaign "misunderestimated" Sanders

Really? Even after President Bush screwed up by using that one?

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=misunderestimate
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #73 on: February 09, 2016, 06:30:17 PM »


He was quoting Dubya
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #74 on: February 09, 2016, 06:30:19 PM »


To all the people who say the Democratic Party isn't moving left. THAT definitely would not have been the case 10-20 years ago.
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