Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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  Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 29242 times)
Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #225 on: February 09, 2016, 08:57:04 PM »

16 point lead... This is beautiful. Cheesy
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cxs018
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« Reply #226 on: February 09, 2016, 08:58:37 PM »

Bernie Sanders is looking at a margin that could win him a 5-3 delegate ratio in some if not all counties. He needs around 57% in each county for that, and he's around that in all of them right now, though it's still very early.

The counties are irrelevant, it's whether he gets 56.25% of the 2 candidate vote in each congressional district that matters.
Ah my bad. Is there somewhere where the votes are reported by CD ? Or do the CDs regroup entire counties, in which case : which ones ? Or I can google that...

This page is tracking them by congressional district

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-D

More importantly, VERMIN SUPREME coming in fourth place.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #227 on: February 09, 2016, 08:58:55 PM »

Sanders will probably maintain a lead in all of the counties by the time the night is over.
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Zanas
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« Reply #228 on: February 09, 2016, 08:59:55 PM »

Bernie Sanders is looking at a margin that could win him a 5-3 delegate ratio in some if not all counties. He needs around 57% in each county for that, and he's around that in all of them right now, though it's still very early.

The counties are irrelevant, it's whether he gets 56.25% of the 2 candidate vote in each congressional district that matters.
Ah my bad. Is there somewhere where the votes are reported by CD ? Or do the CDs regroup entire counties, in which case : which ones ? Or I can google that...

This page is tracking them by congressional district

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-D
Thanks mate.

So Bernie is now winning both CDs with a 5-3 count, and At-large 3-2.
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Panhandle Progressive
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« Reply #229 on: February 09, 2016, 09:01:03 PM »


It's okay. Sanders will be doing this far more in the future. Wink
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« Reply #230 on: February 09, 2016, 09:01:57 PM »

Bernie Sanders is looking at a margin that could win him a 5-3 delegate ratio in some if not all counties. He needs around 57% in each county for that, and he's around that in all of them right now, though it's still very early.

The counties are irrelevant, it's whether he gets 56.25% of the 2 candidate vote in each congressional district that matters.
Ah my bad. Is there somewhere where the votes are reported by CD ? Or do the CDs regroup entire counties, in which case : which ones ? Or I can google that...

This page is tracking them by congressional district

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-D
Thanks mate.

So Bernie is now winning both CDs with a 5-3 count, and At-large 3-2.

Also winning PLEO 2-1. Winning statewide is worth 2 delegates in this case.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #231 on: February 09, 2016, 09:02:28 PM »

Hillary getting creamed so far

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Boston Bread
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« Reply #232 on: February 09, 2016, 09:03:30 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #233 on: February 09, 2016, 09:05:09 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

He won rural voters 64-35 per exit polls.  He very well might.  This is a whuppin. 
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MaxQue
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« Reply #234 on: February 09, 2016, 09:05:57 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #235 on: February 09, 2016, 09:06:40 PM »


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darthebearnc
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« Reply #236 on: February 09, 2016, 09:08:39 PM »

Sanders' lowest county win margin is now all the way up at 55-43 (Hillsborough). His best margin is 77-22 (Sullivan).
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #237 on: February 09, 2016, 09:09:21 PM »

Looking ahead to Nevada and South Carolina, here are the 2008 demographics:

NEVADA
Men 41% / Women 59%

18-44 32% / 45 and up 68%

Party ID: DEM 81% / IND 15% / REP 4%

White 65% / Black 15% / Hispanic 15% / Asian 3%


SOUTH CAROLINA
Men 39% / Women 61%

18-24 8%
25-29 6%
30-39 16%
40-49 19%
50-64 35%
65 and up 17%

Party ID: DEM 73% / IND 23% / REP 4%

White 43% / Black 55%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #238 on: February 09, 2016, 09:10:04 PM »

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/697237015050514434

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Gass3268
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« Reply #239 on: February 09, 2016, 09:10:52 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

There are a lot of townships that are Boston suburbs with results already in. Manchester is almost done.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #240 on: February 09, 2016, 09:11:43 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

Eh... probably gonna keep him under 60 if that's the case.
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #241 on: February 09, 2016, 09:12:35 PM »

A bit of a thrashing tbh. Hope she can get it down to 15 but regardless Bernie's got a great shot of eating into Clinton's margins in South Carolina and Nevada with the incoming momentum.

She needs to give a good speech tonight that doesn't sound too defeatist.
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jfern
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« Reply #242 on: February 09, 2016, 09:13:08 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

Eh... probably gonna keep him under 60 if that's the case.

It should still be interesting to see if he can win 5 of the 8 NH-01 delegates.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #243 on: February 09, 2016, 09:13:33 PM »

Now CNN is saying that Hillary Clinton is the "real winner" of the New Hampshire primary because she's a female and she got second.

This is just sad.

Anyway, here comes her concession speech. I look forward to it.
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jfern
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« Reply #244 on: February 09, 2016, 09:14:16 PM »

Now CNN is saying that Hillary Clinton is the "real winner" of the New Hampshire primary because she's a female and she got second.

This is just sad.

Anyway, here comes her concession speech. I look forward to it.

I guess the Clinton News Network didn't bother to check their own exit poll for who NH females voted for?
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cxs018
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« Reply #245 on: February 09, 2016, 09:14:47 PM »

Now CNN is saying that Hillary Clinton is the "real winner" of the New Hampshire primary because she's a female and she got second.

I am now resisting several different urges.
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cinyc
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« Reply #246 on: February 09, 2016, 09:14:49 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

There are a lot of townships that are Boston suburbs with results already in. Manchester is almost done.

Manchester is a city in its own right.  Parts of it are suburban, but it's not really a suburb.  We're talking about the towns near the Massachusetts border like Hudson, Pelham, Salem and Derry.
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #247 on: February 09, 2016, 09:15:41 PM »

Good speech from her so far. Very high energy.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #248 on: February 09, 2016, 09:16:18 PM »

Good speech from her so far. Very high energy.

I agree. Solid speech.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #249 on: February 09, 2016, 09:16:58 PM »

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

There are a lot of townships that are Boston suburbs with results already in. Manchester is almost done.

I'm talking of more populated places than townships and closer to the border.

Nashua, Merrimack, Salem, Windham, Pelham and the Derries.
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