Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

*insert snide comment about Hillary here*

Even the decrepit old farts of Dixville Notch are feelin' the Bern!

Great news!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Ground reports suggest a Record turnout. Confirmed by the Dem & GOP & every possible source.

Apparently in some counties independents have gone so much to Dems that they are running out of ballot - Looks good for Sanders so far!!!!

Link? (I believe you, but I want to see where this is coming from)

Believe me, Hillary's big buttcheeks are gonna be a deep, socialist red after tonight's whuppin'

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'd imagine that the early exits will be better for Clinton than the actual results will be. Sanders people are probably more likely to show up between 5 PM and 8 PM than Clinton people are.

Case in point: Clinton up YUGE in early Iowa entrance polls.  Olds are definitely more likely to putz on over to the local school gymnasium at 1pm after they make their daily trips to the post office and bank.  Bernie's young, working class idealists are probably too busy toiling until 5pm when they are finally released to vote for their emancipator.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'm sticking to my 57-42 Sanders win.  Early polling suggest 13-14% win for Bernie, and I'm going to suggest he overperforms them a little.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'm sticking to my 57-42 Sanders win.  Early polling suggest 13-14% win for Bernie, and I'm going to suggest he overperforms them a little.  

Early exit is 58-42. Very nice, HD.

I'm happy with how I'm doing in the Dem primary.  A little optimistic with 51-47 in Iowa, but I was being bullish.  

My wildly off Iowa GOP prediction irks me, though.  I thought Trump had sufficiently beat Cruz down.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Sanders didn't write a concession speech. Remind me again who is supposed to want a coronation?

I cannot wait until Nevada and South Carolina. This man needs a major ego check

He would've probably had to give his campaign suspension speech if he lost tonight, man.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

This was a Clinton township in 2008.

This is going to be a nice night for Bernie.  I just hope momentum can be all that it can be going forward, because he's got serious inroads he has to make.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Vermin Supreme is leading Martin O'Malley on AP 5-4!

VERMINTUM!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

He won rural voters 64-35 per exit polls.  He very well might.  This is a whuppin. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The remaining areas seem mostly rural. Could Sanders get to 60% with them?

We still have no results from Boston suburbs.

Eh... probably gonna keep him under 60 if that's the case.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

A bit of a thrashing tbh. Hope she can get it down to 15 but regardless Bernie's got a great shot of eating into Clinton's margins in South Carolina and Nevada with the incoming momentum.

She needs to give a good speech tonight that doesn't sound too defeatist.

Well, this is not a good speech, that's for sure. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The rest of America has just started tuning in.  A long speech is the best thing he could do.  It makes him look viable that the networks are covering him for a half an hour and that he is hitting all his talking points. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The Hillbots in this thread are.... not taking it well, that's for sure.  What Stage are they in at this point?  

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Kinda surprised at this result. Most excellent.

Yawn. It does nothing to change the course in a significant way.

Sanders got a significant win IN ONE OF THE WHITEST STATES IN THE COUNTRY, this is fact.

Fixed.

Yep!

Even so, Clinton only won non whites by 4%.

Clinton 51, Sanders 49 as per the latest, literally tied now.

When will Slick Willy get to making things worse for his dear wife by telling them to behave and tow the party line?  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

IceSpear was literally the original Hillary hack who was convinced that Hillary would win with >70% of the primary vote, carry every state, would win the general by 20 points and planned on coming back to laugh at everybody else here who doubted that come primary time!

"Inevitable" was always the word, but it's so bad that he must now cling to the word "inevitable" in the context of "hey, she's inevitably going to slide by by the skin of her teeth because one quarter of the Democratic primary electorate doesn't know the name of the other candidate and so she'll run up the board with them"!

You have quite feverish delusions, my friend. I was predicting Sanders would emerge as the main alternative to Hillary and start polling in the 30s before they were even candidates. This was back when the "expert pundits" were opining about how O'Malley (or Warren!) would be the main alternative against Hillary. During early 2015, I had Bernie winning both Iowa AND New Hampshire in "Bernie Sanders' ceiling?" threads. I was predicting she'd win the general by 5 points back when polls showed her up 20+ points. I can find evidence to substantiate all these claims if you wish. Something tells me you have absolutely nothing to substantiate yours.

And yes, she's still inevitable, just like she always was. "Inevitable" doesn't mean winning with >70% of the vote, or sweeping every state, or even winning easily. It just means you're going to win. Will Bernie winning in his own backyard help him narrow the enormous gap among minorities? Will it help him not lose the superdelegates 355-14? Will it help stop the inevitable Obama endorsement if Hillary really looks to be in danger? Will it stop the primary calendar after tonight being absolutely dreadful for him?

Do you really think it's going to look good for her campaign if things aren't going well and all the sudden the sitting President goes back on his word by endorsing before the convention?  There are already reports that the administration is furious.  Why doesn't Obama just step up and end this now? 

Or you could just be engaging in wishful thinking after your candidate took a good whuppin'. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The Hillbots in this thread are.... not taking it well, that's for sure.  What Stage are they in at this point?  

Get a life, Berniebot.

Why is it so hard to understand that I don't want my party to nominate an unelectable loon when we are guaranteed to retake the White House for another 8 years with Hillary? Look, the Republican party has become a joke. No matter what happens, Hillary Clinton is guaranteed to win at least 270 electoral votes against Trump and Cruz:

Let's not put states like PA and VA into play by nominating an angry old man who talks about a political revolution that's not going to happen anyway.

Yikes.  You're really clueless.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The Hillbots in this thread are.... not taking it well, that's for sure.  What Stage are they in at this point?  

Get a life, Berniebot.

Why is it so hard to understand that I don't want my party to nominate an unelectable loon when we are guaranteed to retake the White House for another 8 years with Hillary? Look, the Republican party has become a joke. No matter what happens, Hillary Clinton is guaranteed to win at least 270 electoral votes against Trump and Cruz:

Let's not put states like PA and VA into play by nominating an angry old man who talks about a political revolution that's not going to happen anyway.

Last general election PA polls:

Trump 45, Hillary 43
Rubio 45, Hillary 42

Virginia:
Clinton leads by 17 over Trump, 4 over Cruz, 3 over Rubio
Sanders leads by 22 over Trump, 12 over Cruz, 10 over Rubio

So, what is your point now, Lief?

We don't need current polls.  Virginia, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania are not set-in-stone Democratic states.  Especially for a candidate like Hillary who is simply not very popular with swing voters in a national election and doesn't do much to energize constituencies that propelled Obama.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Sanders even won among voters who picked "terrorism" as their top issue.

I think his 40 pt win with gun owners might actually explain that one.

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Sanders, we get it already, you're the best thing since sliced bread.  Now, shut up!!

Naturally you would hate Sanders for no reason.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Really don't know what is taking these last 12 precincts so long to return their totals.

That being said, Sanders is currently up 60.1% to 38.2% with 12 precincts. It is likely that Sanders will see his lead grow as these last places come in as 9 of the 12 are in Western New Hampshire were Sanders routinely got between 60-80% of the vote and 1 of the reaming 3 is Durham, New Hampshire home of the University of New Hampshire.

Smashing results to say the least.

A heartfelt congratulations to Senator Sanders!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Hillary currently has a 15 to 13 delegate lead over Sanders, when including most delegates (4 still unallocated) from NH. I bet you won't hear the media speak of this.

Rightly so because that's superdelegates that weren't "won" last night.

The nomination is still ultimately a math game. You have to win those supers or your going down, hard.

If Sanders ends up winning elected delegates and the superdelegates give Clinton the nomination, there will be protests equaling 1968 Chicago.

Lets not get ahead of ourselves.  Much still needs to happen.