Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[yankeesfan]

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Nearly half
Trump+Cruz+Carson+Fiorina=45%-50%?

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Nearly half
Trump+Cruz+Carson+Fiorina=45%-50%?

Oh come on, Fiorina is basically an Establishment candidate.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

FOX News poll of late deciders:

Kasich, Trump: 21
Rubio, Bush: 13

Independents favor Trump 29-18 with Bush and Cruz in low-to-mid double digits

Values-oriented voters moderately prefer Cruz.

[Vosem]

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The second part looks like bad news for Trump, at least from my perspective: he was expected to get 30-35% of the vote overall, but in his strongest ideological category he's not beyond that. This may signal a Trump that is only in the high 20s.

[eric82oslo]

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Bad news for Trump, since moderates only make up 24% of the electorate so far (26% with liberals included). That should probably mean that Trump's roof would be 33-34% and probably less.

[yankeesfan]

1 hour of exit poll results and we're still clueless about what's happening out there

[Mr. Morden]

Top issues on the GOP side:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/new-hampshire-exit-poll-results-republicans-prioritize-economic-issues-shared-n515046

economy/jobs 30%
government spending 27%
terrorism 25%
immigration 15%

top candidate quality:

shares your values 34%
bring change 30%
candidate who "tells it like it is" 21%
electability 11%

Which of these is more important?

candidate agrees with me on issues 60%
leadership skills / personal qualities 38%

[RI]

Independents favor Trump 29-18 with Bush and Cruz in low-to-mid double digits

Decision Desk said that Trump is doing better with Republicans than Independents.

[Zanas]

I saw on CNN that 56% of GOP primary voters were college graduates. I think that doesn't bode very well for Trump, does it ?

[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/allahpundit/status/697193919029743617

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[RI]

https://twitter.com/allahpundit/status/697193919029743617

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So Rubio's in at least 5th among indies.

[Holmes]

https://twitter.com/allahpundit/status/697193919029743617

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So Rubio's in at least 5th among indies.

I was just about to point this out. Delicious.

[yankeesfan]

Fox News
Shares my values (top candidate quality at 34%):

Cruz 23%
Kasich 18%
Bush 16%
Rubio 15%

[Mike Thick]

https://twitter.com/allahpundit/status/697193919029743617

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So Rubio's in at least 5th among indies.

Ouch...

[/]

https://twitter.com/allahpundit/status/697193919029743617

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So Rubio's in at least 5th among indies.

Ouch...

HAH

[Warren Griffin]

Could be really competetive. Not good for Bush, Rubio - only 11 percent say electability is a reason for their decision according to CNN. Some very good signs for Trump, but only 24 percent moderates in New Hampshire is strange. Kind of internally inconsistent the signs and exit polls from the broadcasters. Can Kasich catch Trump? Now I tend to say no, it seems Trump will perform well, but I think he will reach the second place with Cruz and Bush following behind.

[Mike Thick]

Watching CNN, and they said that the primary ballots are colored pink for Dems and blue for GOPers. Finally, someone off this site gets it right.

[gf20202]

<<David Catanese ‏@davecatanese 2m2 minutes ago

Source tells me Cruz's weekend internal track had Rubio nose-diving 7 points over the weekend in NH, leaving him in 5th.>>

Truly stunning if he falls behind Bush. Insane that the man responsible, Christie, is the only one who likely doesn't benefit enough to go on.

[/]

Watching CNN, and they said that the primary ballots are colored pink for Dems and blue for GOPers. Finally, someone off this site gets it right.

No, they said blue for Dems and pink for Republicans

[Mike Thick]

Watching CNN, and they said that the primary ballots are colored pink for Dems and blue for GOPers. Finally, someone off this site gets it right.

No, they said blue for Dems and pink for Republicans

I need to pay closer attention to these things, but (more importantly) they need to get their colors straight

[/]

<<David Catanese ‏@davecatanese 2m2 minutes ago

Source tells me Cruz's weekend internal track had Rubio nose-diving 7 points over the weekend in NH, leaving him in 5th.>>

Truly stunning if he falls behind Bush. Insane that the man responsible, Christie, is the only one who likely doesn't benefit enough to go on.

pleaseeeee be true

(even though that will absolutely ruin my predictions)

[Holmes]

<<David Catanese ‏@davecatanese 2m2 minutes ago

Source tells me Cruz's weekend internal track had Rubio nose-diving 7 points over the weekend in NH, leaving him in 5th.>>

Truly stunning if he falls behind Bush. Insane that the man responsible, Christie, is the only one who likely doesn't benefit enough to go on.

Damn. The narrative for the GOP primary is going to turn into Trump vs. Cruz after tonight.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Fox News
Shares my values (top candidate quality at 34%):

Cruz 23%
Kasich 18%
Bush 16%
Rubio 15%

LOL that means Trump is at least 5th amongst a 3rd of voters LOL

[Ronnie]

According to MSNBC: 2/3 of Republicans want to ban Muslims from entering US.

[Asian Nazi]

Damn. The narrative for the GOP primary is going to turn into Trump vs. Cruz after tonight.

Excellent