Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 45696 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #75 on: February 09, 2016, 05:13:08 PM »
More exit info:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/new-hampshire-exit-poll-results-independent-voter-participation-n514991

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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #76 on: February 09, 2016, 05:14:02 PM »

Good news for KASICH
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #77 on: February 09, 2016, 05:15:22 PM »

Wow.
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Zanas
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« Reply #78 on: February 09, 2016, 05:15:58 PM »
Quote from: Nathan Towne on February 09, 2016, 05:00:56 PM
Is everyone here of the opinion that Trump is almost certainly going to win the New Hampshire primary? Does anyone here believe that another candidate has a reasonable chance to beat him tonight?

Almost everyone seems to be of the perception that this is essentially a fight for second place in New Hampshire tonight.
Frankly, from what we've seen in Iowa, I think it's possible that a lot of people turn out eventually to just stop Trump. Now what would be their choice ? I'd say Kasich, because I'd guess those people would be Independents just disgusted by the very thought of Donald Trump, so I'd say Kasich has a 25% chance of winning, Rubio a 5% chance, and Trump's got the rest.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #79 on: February 09, 2016, 05:16:14 PM »
Per CNN: 2/3rd of late deciders said debate impacted their vote greatly
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #80 on: February 09, 2016, 05:16:29 PM »
Shadow:

Have you changed your mind with Ted Cruz? I see that you pulled your endorsement for his campaign.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #81 on: February 09, 2016, 05:16:40 PM »
Should we expect much closer GOP race tonight then?
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #82 on: February 09, 2016, 05:17:44 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on February 09, 2016, 05:16:14 PM
Per CNN: 2/3rd of late deciders said debate impacted their vote greatly



Wow. That is horrendous news for Rubio.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #83 on: February 09, 2016, 05:17:58 PM »
ABC News Politics ‏@ABCPolitics  14m14 minutes ago

#NHPrimary: Per @GoogleTrends, @JohnKasich is the most searched candidate today in New Hampshire.


Quote from: Nathan Towne on February 09, 2016, 05:16:29 PM
Shadow:

Have you changed your mind with Ted Cruz? I see that you pulled your endorsement for his campaign.

Right now I'm neutral.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #84 on: February 09, 2016, 05:18:32 PM »
Wow, there is actually a chance Kasich could win.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #85 on: February 09, 2016, 05:18:59 PM »
More exit poll #s:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/new-hampshire-exit-poll-results-new-hampshire-republicans-look-very-n515006

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RI
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« Reply #86 on: February 09, 2016, 05:20:17 PM »
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Holmes
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« Reply #87 on: February 09, 2016, 05:20:37 PM »
Looking good for a Kasich 2nd place, bad news for establishment Republicans.
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #88 on: February 09, 2016, 05:20:59 PM »
I haven't been able to see the debate in full yet, I only saw highlights on YouTube of Rubio's "gaffes." How well did Kasich perform in the debate? Well enough to draw voters due solely to his debate performance?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #89 on: February 09, 2016, 05:21:32 PM »
Independents as a share of GOP electorate:

2008: 37%
2012: 47%
2016: 42% (according to early exits)
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #90 on: February 09, 2016, 05:22:05 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 05:17:58 PM
ABC News Politics ‏@ABCPolitics  14m14 minutes ago

#NHPrimary: Per @GoogleTrends, @JohnKasich is the most searched candidate today in New Hampshire.


Quote from: Nathan Towne on February 09, 2016, 05:16:29 PM
Shadow:

Have you changed your mind with Ted Cruz? I see that you pulled your endorsement for his campaign.

Right now I'm neutral.


Alright. I just noticed that you had pulled your endorsement.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #91 on: February 09, 2016, 05:22:48 PM »
So half of Republicans or Republican-leaning Independents decided in the last few days....GOOD NEWS FOR KASICH
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #92 on: February 09, 2016, 05:23:02 PM »
CNN Exit Poll -

43% decided in last few days

53% before last few days

65% debate had large affect on vote

32% debate is irrelevant
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #93 on: February 09, 2016, 05:23:17 PM »
The % of evangelicals seems to be higher this year.  22% in 2012 versus 25% (so far) in 2016.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #94 on: February 09, 2016, 05:24:33 PM »
27% of Republican voters are under the age of 45 hmmm really?

On the Dem side it's 36%
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #95 on: February 09, 2016, 05:25:02 PM »
I'm now only seeing a 4th place finish for Rubio.  Not good, not good.
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YPestis25
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« Reply #96 on: February 09, 2016, 05:25:59 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 05:24:33 PM
27% of Republican voters are under the age of 45 hmmm really?

On the Dem side it's 36%

I bet it will be revised up as more numbers come in. Don't older voters generally vote earlier?
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #97 on: February 09, 2016, 05:26:20 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on February 09, 2016, 05:25:02 PM
I'm now only seeing a 4th place finish for Rubio.  Not good, not good.

Very good, very good. Tongue
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Amazingduckman
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« Reply #98 on: February 09, 2016, 05:26:47 PM »
Quote from: Nathan Towne on February 09, 2016, 05:20:59 PM
I haven't been able to see the debate in full yet, I only saw highlights on YouTube of Rubio's "gaffes." How well did Kasich perform in the debate? Well enough to draw voters due solely to his debate performance?

Kasich didn't really perform phenomenally, but he didn't hurt himself either. It was just a Kasich performance, but he's likely drawing voters because of his presence in the state for the last year.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #99 on: February 09, 2016, 05:27:39 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 09, 2016, 05:26:20 PM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on February 09, 2016, 05:25:02 PM
I'm now only seeing a 4th place finish for Rubio.  Not good, not good.

Very good, very good. Tongue
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