Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Fox News
Shares my values (top candidate quality at 34%):

Cruz 23%
Kasich 18%
Bush 16%
Rubio 15%

LOL that means Trump is at least 5th amongst a 3rd of voters LOL

Trump was 5% for "shares my values" in Iowa!

[Torie]

Well my read of these numbers, is that Bernie is about at 56%-58%, and Trump is around the 27% I predicted, Kasich in second, below 20%. But it appears that Jeb may be in third, and Cruz and Rubio are tight for fourth and fifth. So bad for Rubio, and pretty good for Jeb. Kasich needed for Jeb to do worse than that. If Jeb is in third, NH isn't going to slow him down at all. In fact, it will energize him. And Jeb is getting better as a campaigner and debater. He's about up to a "C" now.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

GILMORE IS SPOTTED ON MSNBC

[Zanas]

According to MSNBC: 2/3 of Republicans want to ban Muslims from entering US.

I'm pretty sure that for the average GOP voter these days, "Muslim" is literally a synonym of "terrorist", so of course they would answer that.

[Mike Thick]

GILMORE IS SPOTTED ON MSNBC

But of course. He's putting his resources into New Hampshire, as he so eloquently stated in the last debate.

[ElectionsGuy]

I think I may have overestimated Rubs big time. I was probably wrong in saying the debate wouldn't have that much of an impact on the results.

[Matty]

60% OF GOP VOTERS SAY THEY HAVE A DEGREE

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I think I may have overestimated Rubs big time. I was probably wrong in saying the debate wouldn't have that much of an impact on the results.

According to other candidates internals he sunk like a rock after that debate.

[Classic Conservative]

GILMORE IS SPOTTED ON MSNBC

I saw him too and I was OMG!!!!

[IceSpear]

I think I may have overestimated Rubs big time. I was probably wrong in saying the debate wouldn't have that much of an impact on the results.

According to other candidates internals he sunk like a rock after that debate.

b-b-b-ut I thought atlas is full of dumb hacks and that nobody would care about the debate. The Rubio hacks told me so!

[Joe Biden 2020]

If the exit polls are accurate about the Rubik's Cube, I will join the crowd and start counting him out.  I still don't think he'll drop out, yet, but he'll be behind the 8 ball for sure.

[ElectionsGuy]

I think I may have overestimated Rubs big time. I was probably wrong in saying the debate wouldn't have that much of an impact on the results.

According to other candidates internals he sunk like a rock after that debate.

b-b-b-ut I thought atlas is full of dumb hacks and that nobody would care about the debate. The Rubio hacks told me so!

I was never a Rubio hack. I just thought that debate performances didn't really matter since perceptions of who won the debate in the past just mirrored who the people supported already.

[rob in cal]

  Trumps share of indy voters matches pretty well with the UMass tracking poll, which is good news for the Donald.

[Mike Thick]

Wow. I had a feeling Rubio would dip after that gaffe, but I had no idea he would fall to fourth or even fifth...

[RI]

Important to remember early exit polls may vary from later ones...

[ElectionsGuy]

Based on the data I would think Trump will under perform the polls significantly but still win, but who knows since this could be wrong.

[Thomas D]

Does it matter these exit polls don't include working folks who are voting right now?

[RI]

Does it matter these exit polls don't include working folks who are voting right now?

Yes

[Why]

Does it matter these exit polls don't include working folks who are voting right now?

Probably, they will change.

[Classic Conservative]

My mom who is from Grafton County was saying that all of her republican and independent friends and families are voting for Trump including three gay men who are democrats.

[Mr. Morden]

The UMass/Lowell tracking poll had this as the topline #s:

http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-8%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230870.pdf

Trump 34%
Cruz 13%
Rubio 13%
Kasich 10%
Bush 10%

Among Indies, it was:

Trump 29%
Cruz 15%
Kasich 15%
Bush 10%
Rubio 9%

The early exit poll today has, among Indies:

Trump 29%
Kasich 18%
Bush 14%
Cruz 13%

So, the pre-election polling had Trump actually stronger among Republicans than among Indies, meaning that 29% for him among Indies could still translate into more than 30% overall.

[Alcon]

It also kind of matters that even final exit polls methodologically, y'know, suck horribly.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

This is gonna be a bloodbath for Rubio I can feel it.

[Lief 🗽]

Does anyone have a good live town-by-town results map? Not seeing one on New York Times.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Does anyone have a good live town-by-town results map? Not seeing one on New York Times.

http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/counties/nh/Rep

Is one, someone posted the AP town page but I can't seem to find it.