Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

[RI]

Kasich leading Grafton County at the moment

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

The problem with Kasich is money; even with a 2nd place finish, he won't compete well in SC and they say he spent most of his money in NH. He'll need a big fundraising effort to be the establishment guy going forward.

[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll:

Decided in the last few days:

Kasich 21%
Trump 20%
Rubio 14%
Bush 13%
Cruz 13%

Decided earlier:

Trump 42%
Cruz 13%
Rubio 12%
Kasich 11%
Bush 10%

Urban area:

Trump 33%
Bush 15%
Cruz 13%
Christie 11%

Suburban area:

Trump 34%
Kasich 13%
Rubio 13%
Cruz 12%

Rural area:

Trump 27%
Kasich 22%
Cruz 13%
Rubio 13%

[/]

Kasich leading Grafton County at the moment

two votes

[jaichind]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

Mostly because Harkin was the favorite son for Iowa which made that a non-contest.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The post-Trump order is far from solidified.  Any of the five could still come in second.

[/]

Kasich leading Grafton County at the moment

two votes

Trump ahead again, btw.

[Niemeyerite]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

So you have to go back to 1992 to "prove" that someone can be the nominee without winning IA or NH... And it was only because no candidate took IA seriously. LoL.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

Mostly because Harkin was the favorite son for Iowa which made that a non-contest.

True, but would Clinton have won without Harkin?  Bob Kerrey was from Nebraska.

[IceSpear]

The post-Trump order is far from solidified.  Any of the five could still come in second.

Kasich looks to be a pretty solid second.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544

[/]

In all honesty, despite the small margins, it does seem that the GOP order has somewhat settled at:

1. Trump
2. Kasich
3. Bush
4. Cruz
5. Rubio
6. Christie
7. Fiorina
8. Carson

Each spread is by a few hundred votes or more. I doubt it will change.

[Ichabod]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

So you have to go back to 1992 to "prove" that someone can be the nominee without winning IA or NH... And it was only because no candidate took IA seriously. LoL.

And Paul Tsongas won on New Hampshire because he was the favorite neighbor, so the example is hardly generalizable

[Nathan Towne]

Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544

Lol.

[Zanas]

In all honesty, despite the small margins, it does seem that the GOP order has somewhat settled at:

1. Trump
2. Kasich
3. Bush
4. Cruz
5. Rubio
6. Christie
7. Fiorina
8. Carson

Each spread is by a few hundred votes or more. I doubt it will change.

Yeah except for Bush and Cruz who are really close and could switch.

[yourelection]

When the remaining GOP field consolidates around a serious candidate, Trump may start to lose his advantage.

[The Free North]

GOP turnout up 8% since 2008, Dems down 8% compared to 2008.

[/]

Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544

Lol.

ughhhhhhhh

I'm going to try to talk to him on the radio tomorrow, though. Apparently he's on in Myrtle Beach.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

So you have to go back to 1992 to "prove" that someone can be the nominee without winning IA or NH... And it was only because no candidate took IA seriously. LoL.

And Paul Tsongas won on New Hampshire because he was the favorite neighbor, so the example is hardly generalizable

You could make the same case for Bernie Sanders tonight.

[Horsemask]

Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544

Lol.

Seriously, what's the point.

[Likely Voter]

How many GOP victory speeches? Trump because he actually won. Kasich for surprise second and being top of Establishment bracket. Bush for coming back from dead to 3rd. Cruz for again beating Rubio, who was seen his main future opponent.   


And maybe Rubio will declare victory like he did in IA and channel Joe Lieberman, claiming a "three way tie for third place". 

And then Christie can claim victory for destroying Rubio.   

[/]

Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544

Lol.

Seriously, what's the point.

And it's going to be really annoying too, because until he drops out, Atlas will still consider there to be one more major candidate in the race than the major news networks will.

[DINGO Joe]

Remember, Clinton won the Dem nomination in '92 while losing in both Iowa and New Hampshire.  He got 2nd in NH.

So you have to go back to 1992 to "prove" that someone can be the nominee without winning IA or NH... And it was only because no candidate took IA seriously. LoL.

Small sample size is small.

[Holmes]

Jesus, can New Hampshire be any slower to count the votes?