Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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  Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 45419 times)
anvi
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« Reply #550 on: February 10, 2016, 12:00:57 AM »


Heard her give an interview on NPR, I think this morning, and she was in stratospheric denial mode.  Or, what CT said is likely too.

I still take the view, maybe it's more of a hope, that once the Pub field thins out to three or two people, the majority that are voting against Trump now will consolidate behind the other(s) and sink Trump's candidacy.  But I look at Trump's numbers in South Carolina and Nevada and the balance of Super Tuesday states, and I really wonder.  Even the fact that he has already done this well in Iowa and New Hampshire...wow, it's sad.
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RI
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« Reply #551 on: February 10, 2016, 12:03:38 AM »

With what's out, Trump might break 40% in Rockingham County.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #552 on: February 10, 2016, 12:17:56 AM »

I thought the threshold was 10%.  Why then are the various election sites not showing Rubio as having any delegates?  Are they just being cautious about the possibility he could go below 10% or is it something else?
Rubio has been very steady at 10.5% all night. He would be a bit higher, except I found a source for the other candidates (there are 23 of them). Cruz and Bush have been slipping some, and Trump gaining. This is presumably from cities, which had a later poll closing time.

Bush is now closer to losing a 3rd delegate due to rounding, than Rubio is to gaining a 3rd.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #553 on: February 10, 2016, 12:18:56 AM »

Man, as if the news for him wasn't good enough, Trump is surging even more as the night winds on.  35.8 and climbing.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #554 on: February 10, 2016, 12:20:16 AM »

How far is Rubio behind Bush?  FOX lists them both as 11% with 88% in.
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Lyin' Steve
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« Reply #555 on: February 10, 2016, 12:21:32 AM »

How far is Rubio behind Bush?  FOX lists them both as 11% with 88% in.

According to RCP, Rubio is about 1400 votes behind Bush.  1.3 - 10.7
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Leinad
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« Reply #556 on: February 10, 2016, 12:25:18 AM »

I really hope Cruz Jeb! gets the 3rd spot. Jeb! needs to be crushed stay in so he can split the establishment vote from Rubiobot.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #557 on: February 10, 2016, 12:25:58 AM »

well it looks like the top 3 will be Trump, Kasich and Cruz
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RI
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« Reply #558 on: February 10, 2016, 12:49:18 AM »

Trump closing in on a +20% margin
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jimrtex
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« Reply #559 on: February 10, 2016, 12:50:23 AM »

How far is Rubio behind Bush?  FOX lists them both as 11% with 88% in.
With 85% (on WMUR site)

Cruz 11.5%
Bush 11.1%
Rubio 10.5%

Bush is down to 2.54 delegates.

It is conceivable that other candidates are being under-reported (there are 31 on the ballot), including

Paul, Rand         1,634
Huckabee, Mike      187
Santorum, Rick      140
Gilmore, Jim      119
Pataki, George      72
Graham, Lindsey   63
Jindal, Bobby      42
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #560 on: February 10, 2016, 12:51:31 AM »

I really hope Cruz Jeb! gets the 3rd spot. Jeb! needs to be crushed stay in so he can split the establishment vote from Rubiobot.

Kasich would be a better Establishment last stand than either Jeb! or Marcobot (not saying much, of course).
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cinyc
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« Reply #561 on: February 10, 2016, 12:58:25 AM »

There's enough of a gap in the AP data between Cruz and Bush (about 1,200) and Bush and Rubio (about 1,300) and so little of the vote still out (most of what's out is small towns) to project 3-4-5 will be Cruz, Bush, Rubio.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #562 on: February 10, 2016, 01:01:38 AM »

If Jeb weren't so... Jeb, he'd probably have a shot in South Carolina even after his dreadful performances in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
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BM
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« Reply #563 on: February 10, 2016, 01:34:08 AM »

A glorious result! Rubio's political career is finished after merely one week of glory and Trump has secured his spot as the face of the Republican Party going forward. So proud to be an American tonight.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #564 on: February 10, 2016, 01:35:37 AM »

A glorious result! Rubio's political career is finished after merely one week of glory and Trump has secured his spot as the face of the Republican Party going forward. So proud to be an American tonight.

K.
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BM
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« Reply #565 on: February 10, 2016, 01:38:19 AM »

A glorious result! Rubio's political career is finished after merely one week of glory and Trump has secured his spot as the face of the Republican Party going forward. So proud to be an American tonight.

K.


Like it or not, when most people think of Republicans, they think of TRUMP now.
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Bigby
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« Reply #566 on: February 10, 2016, 01:39:05 AM »

Looks like Trump slightly went above the polls this time, and like in Iowa, Jeb slightly underperformed. Unluckily for Jeb, a better debate meant jack. Luckily for Jeb, I think Kasich is too regional of a candidate.
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pikachu
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« Reply #567 on: February 10, 2016, 02:01:02 AM »

Is there a Kasich vs Huntsman map anywhere? Seems like it could be interesting.
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MK
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« Reply #568 on: February 10, 2016, 03:06:22 AM »

Serious question:

Could the surge in turnout for GOP races and dip in Democratic ones be the first signs of a Republican landslide nine months from now?
Its possible, if the GOP can harness that energy positively rather than being torn apart by it.


No because the stupid rhino voters wont back Trump. Compared to 08 were Hillary's supporters flocked to Obama.  The Republicans are the CUT OFF YOUR NOSE IN SPITE OF YOUR FACE PARTY
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IceSpear
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« Reply #569 on: February 10, 2016, 03:17:00 AM »

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^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?
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Alcon
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« Reply #570 on: February 10, 2016, 03:27:04 AM »

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^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?

Exactly how is that "moving the goalposts"?
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jfern
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« Reply #571 on: February 10, 2016, 03:27:21 AM »

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^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?

Who cares? This site is like 538 without as much idiocy.

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/
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Senator Cris
Cris
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« Reply #572 on: February 10, 2016, 06:55:32 AM »

Both republican and democratic votes count are at 89% of precints reported.
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #573 on: February 10, 2016, 07:12:16 AM »

Are we going to compare the predictions soon?
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #574 on: February 10, 2016, 07:36:51 AM »

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^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?

As tiresome it is to keep seeing LiefSpear bash Nate all the time, he has been unreserved in saying how good this night was for him: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-need-to-treat-donald-trump-as-the-front-runner/

When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?
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