Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[IceSpear]

For some reason, CNN has Rick Santorum on its front page montage.

But no Gilmore. What an outrage.

[IceSpear]

All the CNN interviews I've seen indicate there are a lot of potential Sanders supporters who have switched to supporting Kasich in the end.

"Hmmm... do I want to go with the democratic socialist who is running a campaign solely on a platform of breaking up the banks and reforming Wall Street or the guy who was on the board at Lehman? I guess I'll go with the Lehman guy."

Not as bad as the Iowa voters who switched from Sanders to Trump. lol

[IceSpear]

Republican primary voters today identify as notably more conservative than the 2012 voters…

2012 GOP exit poll:
very conservative 21%
somewhat conservative 32%
moderate 47%

2016 GOP exit poll:
very conservative 29%
somewhat conservative 45%
moderate 24%

Good news for Cruz, bad for the establishments. Not even gonna try to characterize Trump here.

[IceSpear]

Time of decision:

"Last week" would be Rubio's most favorable timeframe. Awful news for him.

[IceSpear]

I think I may have overestimated Rubs big time. I was probably wrong in saying the debate wouldn't have that much of an impact on the results.

According to other candidates internals he sunk like a rock after that debate.

b-b-b-ut I thought atlas is full of dumb hacks and that nobody would care about the debate. The Rubio hacks told me so!

[IceSpear]

Maybe Rubio can change his 3-2-1 strategy into a 3-4-5 strategy. I'm sure the media will oblige.

[IceSpear]

The post-Trump order is far from solidified.  Any of the five could still come in second.

Kasich looks to be a pretty solid second.

[IceSpear]

According to MSNBC, Rubio actually got 2nd among Republicans (though only by a point.) Independents killed him.

[IceSpear]

CBS currently predicts Rubio will make it to third. 

Lol he's in 5th right now

Wait what?

I'd imagine it's just another (final?) shill for their golden boy. There's no way they can project that with any degree of certainty.

[IceSpear]

Jindal has the least votes of any former candidate (12), below Pataki's 20 and Graham's 24.

[IceSpear]

lol at Trump using the Shadowstats.

I can't wait to see Lubio's 5th place concession speech.

[IceSpear]

"They said we couldn't win"

-Guy who didn't win.

At least he got second. Let's not forget Rubio's "coronate me!" 3rd place speech.

[IceSpear]

I like all the coverage fox is giving Rubio for his 5th place speech.

Wonderful win by him!

Fox is the only channel covering it. Ha.

Is there a link? I want to bask in his misery.

[IceSpear]

Rubio puts full blame for his loss on the debate performance, says it will not happen again. Dang.

b-b-b-ut he said the next day he wished the media would repeat it and doubled down!

[IceSpear]

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^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?