Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)  (Read 45866 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« on: February 09, 2016, 05:02:03 PM »
Quote from: Nathan Towne on February 09, 2016, 05:00:56 PM
Is everyone here of the opinion that Trump is almost certainly going to win the New Hampshire primary? Does anyone here believe that another candidate has a reasonable chance to beat him tonight?

Almost everyone seems to be of the perception that this is essentially a fight for second place in New Hampshire tonight.

Off chance for either Kasich or Rubio in the event of a pile-up in the low-20s.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2016, 05:25:02 PM »
I'm now only seeing a 4th place finish for Rubio.  Not good, not good.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2016, 05:34:32 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on February 09, 2016, 05:30:58 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 09, 2016, 05:27:54 PM
Republican primary voters today identify as notably more conservative than the 2012 voters…

2012 GOP exit poll:
very conservative 21%
somewhat conservative 32%
moderate 47%

2016 GOP exit poll:
very conservative 29%
somewhat conservative 45%
moderate 24%

Good news for Cruz, bad for the establishments. Not even gonna try to characterize Trump here.

That could be because moderates now have the option to vote in a contested Democratic primary, unlike in 2012.  But, we probably are more truly polarized nationwide even than 4 years ago.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2016, 06:02:51 PM »
FOX News poll of late deciders:

Kasich, Trump: 21
Rubio, Bush: 13

Independents favor Trump 29-18 with Bush and Cruz in low-to-mid double digits

Values-oriented voters moderately prefer Cruz.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2016, 06:25:38 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 09, 2016, 06:24:12 PM
Quote from: yankeesfan on February 09, 2016, 06:09:56 PM
Fox News
Shares my values (top candidate quality at 34%):

Cruz 23%
Kasich 18%
Bush 16%
Rubio 15%

LOL that means Trump is at least 5th amongst a 3rd of voters LOL

Trump was 5% for "shares my values" in Iowa!
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2016, 08:28:48 PM »
The post-Trump order is far from solidified.  Any of the five could still come in second.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2016, 08:34:42 PM »
Gilmore is not dropping out:

https://www.facebook.com/GovernorJimGilmore/posts/220460821634544
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #7 on: February 09, 2016, 09:22:08 PM »
Serious question:

Could the surge in turnout for GOP races and dip in Democratic ones be the first signs of a Republican landslide nine months from now?
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
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*****
Posts: 11,718


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2016, 12:20:16 AM »
How far is Rubio behind Bush?  FOX lists them both as 11% with 88% in.
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