Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET)

[Leinad]

According to MSNBC: 2/3 of Republicans want to ban Muslims from entering US.

Yay for third parties!


Anyway, Rubio and Hillary getting pummeled will be some good TV tonight! #ShadenfreudePrimaries

[Leinad]

lol @ 8,700 being a "pretty big town"

For several years I lived in a small town in Texas. The "downtown" had an old empty bank and a building that said "barley."

It was larger than Seabrook, NH.

Trump Big Brother just got 100% in Laconia Ward Airstrip 5 One...

FTFY

[Leinad]

lol what if bush actually gets second

Jebmentum would be real.

If Jeb! gets 2nd and Rubio falls as far as he's projected too, honestly, it could be a Trump-Cruz-Jeb! race. (Ditto for Kasich if he gets a good second--although less so because Jeb! has more money and probably is a better-positioned national candidate).

[Leinad]

Alright, now get ready for threads about "is Trump inevitable" and "when will Rubio drop out?"

[Leinad]

Let's dispel once and for all with this fiction that Marco Rubio knows what he's doing. Marco Rubio has no idea what he's doing.

[Leinad]

Any chance Christie drops out tonight?

My prediction is yes. Coming in 4th in the establishment lane (behind Kasich, Jeb!, and Rubio) in a state he focused on is a loss as big as Christie himself.

[Leinad]

Any chance Christie drops out tonight?

My prediction is yes. Coming in 4th in the establishment lane (behind Kasich, Jeb!, and Rubio) in a state he focused on is a loss as big as Christie himself.

He's not that far behind Bush and Rubio however, and since Kasich is going nowhere nationally, I don't see why Christie should be dropping out after tonight.

But he's still behind them. The best he can do is just split the vote and give it to Cruz/Trump.

[Leinad]

In a month things might look completely different.

Of course, but these early scenes will decide what characters survive to the next act.

[Leinad]

How many GOP victory speeches? Trump because he actually won. Kasich for surprise second and being top of Establishment bracket. Bush for coming back from dead to 3rd. Cruz for again beating Rubio, who was seen his main future opponent.   


And maybe Rubio will declare victory like he did in IA and channel Joe Lieberman, claiming a "three way tie for third place". 

And then Christie can claim victory for destroying Rubio.

Don't forget Gilmore! He's won several times this primary.

[Leinad]

Looks like the more libertarian areas are starting to lift Cruz up.

Most of the libertarians are supporting TRUMP

Not to be that guy, but real libertarians would never support Trump.

[Leinad]

MSNBC is projection #2 for Kasich

KASICH WINS!!!

[Leinad]

Trump is basically saying "We are gonna solve everything, it will be so great. I'm the best person ever created by god." How is that a political agenda ? I never really listened to him up until now, but it's really appalling.

I think that's the idea. An actual political agenda would alienate too many people. If you can convince people that you're great by simply saying it, you'll probably win.

"Show don't tell" isn't always true in politics, sadly.

[Leinad]

For all this talk about who or who isn't a "true" Libertarian voter, I wonder how Trump might have done had Rand Paul stayed in the race (probably somewhere around the quarter-of-the-vote "Keyes constant"--not unlike Iowa, in fact)

All this talk? Wasn't that just me, or did I miss something?

I'm guessing Rand's vote is why Cruz is in third instead of fifth. I suppose a small amount probably went to other guys, too, or just stayed home.

If I was in New Hampshire I probably would've been one of the guys dressed as a robot following Rubio. Or would've just done a protest vote for Rand anyway--I believe he was on the ballot.

[Leinad]

I really hope Cruz Jeb! gets the 3rd spot. Jeb! needs to be crushed stay in so he can split the establishment vote from Rubiobot.