What's the largest state Sanders can win?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 01:44:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  What's the largest state Sanders can win?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: What's the largest state Sanders can win?  (Read 2491 times)
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,948
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 09, 2016, 11:07:27 PM »
I'm betting on Washington as the answer.

In fact I think there's only four double digit EV states he can: Washington, Indiana, Wisconsin and Minnesota.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2016, 11:08:15 PM »
« Edited: February 09, 2016, 11:10:03 PM by New Canadaland »
California
It depends on doing better with Hispanics. It's easier than most southern states because Sanders is already doing as well among Hispanics as Obama was, and equally as well among coastal whites.
Logged
madelka
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 328
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2016, 11:08:28 PM »
New Hampshire.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,711
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2016, 11:09:21 PM »
Washington if he's still in the race by then. Minnesota otherwise.
Logged
CatoMinor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2016, 11:15:29 PM »
Washington, but in an ideal scenario where he had everything fall into place then California.
Logged
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2016, 11:15:58 PM »
Michigan and Pennsylvania are states he would have to win to win the nomination, and I think he could be competitive in both of them with enough momentum behind him.

California is so late in the process that Sanders will be able to win it if he's still in the race.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,708


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2016, 11:16:31 PM »
I don't think he can win a larger state than California, so California will have to do.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 09, 2016, 11:18:08 PM »
The thought of Sanders winning Michigan is laughable.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 09, 2016, 11:19:12 PM »
If he keeps his current level of support, Washington. If he gets a boost of momentum and makes the race for the nomination closer, California is a possibility.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 09, 2016, 11:21:59 PM »
Yep, its Washington, followed by Massachusetts then Wisconsin and Minnesota.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,449
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2016, 11:22:03 PM »
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 09, 2016, 11:23:20 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 09, 2016, 11:16:31 PM
I don't think he can win a larger state than California, so California will have to do.
Logged
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 09, 2016, 11:25:24 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 09, 2016, 11:18:08 PM
The thought of Sanders winning Michigan is laughable.

I agree that it's unlikely, but if we're agreeing that Sanders has a non-zero chance of winning the nomination, it's a state that he can win, because he'd have to.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 09, 2016, 11:26:33 PM »
Coincidentally, California is also the largest state Clinton can win, since you know, it's the largest state...
Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,058
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: February 09, 2016, 11:27:52 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 09, 2016, 11:26:33 PM
Coincidentally, California is also the largest state Clinton can win, since you know, it's the largest state...

I don't think a phony like Clinton can win a state like California.
Logged
cwt
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 362


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: February 09, 2016, 11:36:12 PM »
One thing to remember for all the people saying Washington, we have a caucus for the Democratic Party. The primary counts for nothing.

Sanders would win a WA primary easy. He'd probably win the caucus, too, but it'll be closer.
Logged
This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: February 09, 2016, 11:38:16 PM »
Are we going by area? If so, Alaska, California, and Montana.
Logged
Asian Nazi
d32123
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,523
China


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: February 09, 2016, 11:40:20 PM »
Quote from: cwt on February 09, 2016, 11:36:12 PM
One thing to remember for all the people saying Washington, we have a caucus for the Democratic Party. The primary counts for nothing.

Sanders would win a WA primary easy. He'd probably win the caucus, too, but it'll be closer.

He would win either in a landslide imo.  WA is definitely Feeling the Bern.  This is the state that voted for Howard Dean.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: February 09, 2016, 11:41:35 PM »
Definitely Washington.
Logged
Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
The Obamanation
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: February 10, 2016, 12:40:45 AM »
Quote from: Ebsy on February 09, 2016, 11:26:33 PM
Coincidentally, Alaska is also the largest state Clinton can win, since you know, it's the largest state...
Fixed.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: February 10, 2016, 12:43:17 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on February 09, 2016, 11:27:52 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on February 09, 2016, 11:26:33 PM
Coincidentally, California is also the largest state Clinton can win, since you know, it's the largest state...

I don't think a phony like Clinton can win a state like California.

lol

Does 2008 ring a bell?
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,520
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: February 10, 2016, 12:46:51 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on February 10, 2016, 12:43:17 AM
Quote from: Ljube on February 09, 2016, 11:27:52 PM
Quote from: Ebsy on February 09, 2016, 11:26:33 PM
Coincidentally, California is also the largest state Clinton can win, since you know, it's the largest state...

I don't think a phony like Clinton can win a state like California.

lol

Does 2008 ring a bell?

It didn't tonight.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,137
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: February 10, 2016, 12:56:31 AM »
California.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,137
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: February 10, 2016, 01:23:49 AM »

Keep dreaming, Hillbot!
Logged
Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,737
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: February 10, 2016, 04:40:02 AM »
Definitely Alaska (haha). The one poll that we've had suggests a decent Sanders lead and it's a state that went very heavily for Obama in 2008. Not many blacks or Hispanics up there. Not sure if the Native Americans (really, Alaska Natives) make up a large enough percentage to affect the Dem caucus numbers.

California would be a tough swing. If he was still in and competitive, maybe. He needs to have a broader coalition to make it to CA. I could see him winning in Washington. Not quite sure about Arizona. There's some pretty liberal Democrats down in AZ (they've elected Sinema and Grijalva, the latter of whom endorsed Sanders).

Minnesota should also be in the win column for Sanders. Colorado, while smaller than MN, AZ, or WA, should also be a good state for Sanders.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 13 queries.