February 10, drop out poll, who is next?

[cinyc]

Carson only had $6.5 million cash on hand as of December 31, and has a much higher burn rate than any of the other candidates.  He won't have the money to continue unless he does very well in South Carolina.  Carson will be out next.

Of the remaining major Republican candidates, only Kasich is in a worse cash position, but at least he came in second in New Hampshire.

[cinyc]

It's interesting to watch how quickly candidates are dropping out after Iowa and New Hampshire.
Since Carson and Gilmore won't be in the debates it isn't that important, but it will be newsworthy none the less when they finally go, although who knows if Gilmore stays in til the bitter end.
Rubio isn't likely to drop out before SC, nor are any of the others.

Carson will be in the next debate if he places fifth or better in an average of national and South Carolina polls.  That's perfectly possible.  He already received more than 3% in Iowa, so he doesn't even have to worry about the second prong of that test - getting over 3% in the South Carolina or national polls.