538 maps Facebook likes for each candidate by county

[RI]

This is pretty cool.

You can really see Trump's strength in the Rust Belt and coal belts of Appalachia, Cajun country, the mining belt in SE Missouri, the Las Vegas area, Bakken, south Florida, and the Northeast in general. The NYC map also shows Trump's strength on Staten Island and in south Brooklyn.

The Sanders vs. Clinton map is also really interesting if you look at "Share vs. US".

[Illiniwek]

Fascinating. It's a little glitchy I think but really fun to check out.

[Mehmentum]

Trump v. Sanders is pretty interesting, since they're at equal #s of Facebook likes.

Pretty crazy looking.

But Clinton v. Rubio (who are very close in facebook likes), looks a lot more familiar.

[Boston Bread]

Top candidate in each state. Carson - I, Sanders - D, Trump - R.

[The Other Castro]

If we try to find way to use this to predict voting patterns, we can use:
Iowa: Sanders 23%-Clinton 9%, +14, actual results Clinton 50-50
New Hampshire: Sanders 33%-Clinton 8%, +25, actual results Sanders 60-38

So a Sanders+14%like lead is a tie, while 25-14=11, multiplied by 2=22, Sanders margin in NH.

This means that Sanders predicted margin of victory = 2(%like lead-14)

Nevada: Sanders 23%-8%, +15, predicted margin: 2(15-14)=2, Sanders wins 51-49
South Carolina: Sanders 11%-4%, +7, predicted margin: 2(7-14)=-14, Clinton wins 57-43

[/]

If we try to find way to use this to predict voting patterns, we can use:
Iowa: Sanders 23%-Clinton 9%, +14, actual results Clinton 50-50
New Hampshire: Sanders 33%-Clinton 8%, +25, actual results Sanders 60-38

So a Sanders+14%like lead in a tie, while 25-14=11, multiplied by 2=22, Sanders margin in NH.

This means that Sanders predicted margin of victory = 2(%like lead-14)

Nevada: Sanders 23%-8%, +15, predicted margin: 2(15-14)=2, Sanders wins 51-49
South Carolina: Sanders 11%-4%, +7, predicted margin: 2(7-14)=-14, Clinton wins 57-43

math

[Boston Bread]

BUT MUH SOLID D VIRGINIA, MUH SOLID D NEVADA

Seriously though, those look a lot like general election maps. Eerie.

Sander's awful recognition in the black belt heavily skews the south. Just look at Maryland/Delaware.

[The Other Castro]

Just for fun I ran the same equation for the Super Tuesday states:

Alabama: +5, -18, Clinton 59-41
Arkansas: +6, -16, Clinton 58-42
Colorado: +27, +26, Sanders 63-37
Georgia: +7, -14, Clinton 57-43
Massachusetts: +27, +26, Sanders 63-37
Minnesota: +22, +16, Sanders 58-42
Oklahoma: +9, -10, Clinton 55-45
Tennessee: +8, -12, Clinton 56-44
Texas: +8, -12, Clinton 56-44
Vermont: +73, NA, Sanderslide
Virginia: +11, -6, Clinton 53-47

[Ebsy]

My take away is that Sanders is very weak in the South.

[IceSpear]

Clinton vs Trump:

What a silly map. Everybody knows NH would vote Hillary before VT does.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

This is the best FiveThirtyEight analysis in YEARS.

[Mehmentum]

If we try to find way to use this to predict voting patterns, we can use:
Iowa: Sanders 23%-Clinton 9%, +14, actual results Clinton 50-50
New Hampshire: Sanders 33%-Clinton 8%, +25, actual results Sanders 60-38

So a Sanders+14%like lead is a tie, while 25-14=11, multiplied by 2=22, Sanders margin in NH.

This means that Sanders predicted margin of victory = 2(%like lead-14)

Nevada: Sanders 23%-8%, +15, predicted margin: 2(15-14)=2, Sanders wins 51-49
South Carolina: Sanders 11%-4%, +7, predicted margin: 2(7-14)=-14, Clinton wins 57-43

By that math, Sanders should be leading by 2 points nationally.

[Ebsy]

If we try to find way to use this to predict voting patterns, we can use:
Iowa: Sanders 23%-Clinton 9%, +14, actual results Clinton 50-50
New Hampshire: Sanders 33%-Clinton 8%, +25, actual results Sanders 60-38

So a Sanders+14%like lead is a tie, while 25-14=11, multiplied by 2=22, Sanders margin in NH.

This means that Sanders predicted margin of victory = 2(%like lead-14)

Nevada: Sanders 23%-8%, +15, predicted margin: 2(15-14)=2, Sanders wins 51-49
South Carolina: Sanders 11%-4%, +7, predicted margin: 2(7-14)=-14, Clinton wins 57-43

By that math, Sanders should be leading by 2 points nationally.

lmao

[The Other Castro]

If we try to find way to use this to predict voting patterns, we can use:
Iowa: Sanders 23%-Clinton 9%, +14, actual results Clinton 50-50
New Hampshire: Sanders 33%-Clinton 8%, +25, actual results Sanders 60-38

So a Sanders+14%like lead is a tie, while 25-14=11, multiplied by 2=22, Sanders margin in NH.

This means that Sanders predicted margin of victory = 2(%like lead-14)

Nevada: Sanders 23%-8%, +15, predicted margin: 2(15-14)=2, Sanders wins 51-49
South Carolina: Sanders 11%-4%, +7, predicted margin: 2(7-14)=-14, Clinton wins 57-43

By that math, Sanders should be leading by 2 points nationally.

After NH, who says he isn't?

[Boston Bread]

I noticed that Trump is ahead of Sanders in the Bronx.
Overall, I'd say Carson vs Sanders looks more like an actual general than Trump vs Sanders.

[Crumpets]

OMG I love this stuff. I don't even care who wins now.

[Crumpets]

Ooh! And it even has zip-codes for some cities. Mine's fairly predictable:

Sanders 63%
Clinton 17%
Carson 7% (Not surprising, he's really the only Republican I see signs/bumper stickers for)
Trump 5% (And I know where they live!)
Rubio 3%
Cruz 3% (I'm astounded it's even that high)
Bush 1%
Others 1%

Total Democrats: 80%
Total Republicans: 20%

[The Other Castro]

I made a full map based on the equation.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Wait, Ben Carson is the most liked candidate? WTF?

[/]

Just for fun I ran the same equation for the Super Tuesday states:

Alabama: +5, -18, Clinton 59-41
Arkansas: +6, -16, Clinton 58-42
Colorado: +27, +26, Sanders 63-37
Georgia: +7, -14, Clinton 57-43
Massachusetts: +27, +26, Sanders 63-37
Minnesota: +22, +16, Sanders 58-42
Oklahoma: +9, -10, Clinton 55-45
Tennessee: +8, -12, Clinton 56-44
Texas: +8, -12, Clinton 56-44
Vermont: +73, NA, Sanderslide
Virginia: +11, -6, Clinton 53-47

You know, Castro, you might actually be on to something...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Wait, Ben Carson is the most liked candidate? WTF?

Carson was well known in conservative evangelical circles long before his campaign, he did a lot of motivational speaking gigs at churches and had some books. Most of those "likes" probably predate his campaign.

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

Carson v Sanders

[Crumpets]

LOL. Sanders beats Clinton in zip code 10005, which is Wall Street. Also, Trump is in 3rd place in 10022, which contains Trump Tower.

[JonathanSwift]

Potential GE maps, creating using the "Share vs. US" data.

Bush/Kasich vs. Clinton

281-257

Bush/Kasich vs. Sanders

287-251

Carson vs. Clinton

271-267

Carson vs. Sanders

279-259

Cruz vs. Clinton

292-246

Cruz vs. Sanders

275-263

Rubio vs. Clinton

283-255

Rubio vs. Sanders

275-263

Trump vs. Clinton

276-262

Trump vs. Sanders

275-263

[Mike Thick]

Potential GE maps, creating using the "Share vs. US" data.

Bush/Kasich vs. Clinton

281-257

I LOVE that map. Wanna guess why?

We don't need to, we already know