Who will drop out by Super Tuesday?
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  Who will drop out by Super Tuesday?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Who will drop out by Super Tuesday?  (Read 1650 times)
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darthebearnc
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« on: February 15, 2016, 10:00:00 PM »
I'm guessing just Carson.
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Vosem
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2016, 10:12:26 PM »
Carson definitely drops out after SC. Bush does if he is beaten by Kasich, which seems marginally likelier than not at the moment. Voted Bush and Carson.
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Cory
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2016, 02:33:49 AM »
Carson and either Bush or Rubio, depending on placement.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 02:45:20 AM »
Carson seems the most probable here; Bush is entirely possible if Rubio and Kasich smash him in SC Saturday.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2016, 02:45:46 AM »
« Edited: February 16, 2016, 02:47:39 AM by Ronnie »
Bush and Carson.  Kasich will get out after he gets trounced in Michigan on March 8th.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2016, 03:03:36 AM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 16, 2016, 02:45:20 AM
Carson seems the most probable here; Bush is entirely possible if Rubio and Kasich smash him in SC Saturday.

Bush still has enough money to remain viable in that scenario.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2016, 05:05:10 AM »
Likely Jeb, Carson is gone after SC.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2016, 07:07:55 AM »
If Bush gets a comparable percentage to Carson in South Carolina, as the polls suggest, expect a drop-out straight after Nevada. Otherwise, only Carson. Kasich probably should drop out but his cockiness won't let him.
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Leinad
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2016, 08:57:57 AM »
Probably Carson unless he just wants to keep going for fun, and then at least one of Rubiobot, Jeb!, and Kasich.

So either 3 or 4 by Super Tuesday--which is exactly what we've seen in the last two cycles (McCain/Romney/Huck/Paul, and then Romney/Frothy/Gingrich/Paul).
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2016, 10:59:45 AM »
Carson, Maybe Bush. Maybe Kasich if he does worse than expected.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2016, 11:06:11 AM »
Only Carson.  Bush has the money to stay in and will probably convince himself to soldier on unless he gets totally humiliated in SC.  Rubio and Kasich will almost certainly stay in based on their results in IA and NH. 
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MK
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2016, 12:26:14 PM »
Bush isnt dropping out its not about winning the nomination. Its personal with Trump now.    Which is sad Jeb is going down this way when if anybody with half a brain should have told him not to run!   His brother left office with 20's approval ratings and the worst economic crash since the great depression.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2016, 12:30:03 PM »
If in the fairly likely situation where bush gets single digits and Rubio gets over 20% in school I don't see how he rationalize the continued existence of his campaign to donors or his superpac
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Nym90
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« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2016, 12:32:52 PM »
Carson and whoever finishes fifth in South Carolina will have a tough time justifying to financial donors staying in the race.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: February 16, 2016, 02:09:11 PM »
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on February 16, 2016, 12:30:03 PM
If in the fairly likely situation where bush gets single digits and Rubio gets over 20% in school I don't see how he rationalize the continued existence of his campaign to donors or his superpac

He hasn't been able to rationalize his candidacy for quite a while now. 10% in NH should've been the final nail in his coffin, yet here he is.
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Xing
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« Reply #15 on: February 16, 2016, 02:11:00 PM »
Probably just Carson, though only two or three candidates will be left after Super Tuesday.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #16 on: February 16, 2016, 02:18:48 PM »
Jeb! should drop out if he finishes near or behind Carson in SC (which would likely mean a last place finish), but it all depends on his money situation I guess. If his SuperPAC still has $20-$30 million left, I guess he could stay in.

I imagine Carson will drop out after SC unless he's still wanting to promote his book.
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°Leprechaun
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« Reply #17 on: February 16, 2016, 02:41:01 PM »
I would guess Carson, Bush or nobody. Is it cheating to vote all three? I know it's possible, but it is sort of contradictory even though there is about a 50% chance that nobody will.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #18 on: February 17, 2016, 09:09:25 AM »
I am guessing that someone will drop out so I voted Bush & Carson.

edit: Kasich needs to come in third or fourth to remain viable, however.
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trickmind
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« Reply #19 on: February 17, 2016, 09:18:22 AM »
If you're Bush, and you saw what happened to Rubio after that debate in NH, you're thinking to yourself "I just have to land one good hit on him in a debate and his glass jaw will shatter." So I think as long as he outperforms Kasich/Carson, he will stay in until either his $$$ runs out or Trump crushes him in FL on 3/15.

As for Carson, if the $$$ is still coming in, the pyramid scheme will continue.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #20 on: February 17, 2016, 09:34:22 AM »
Carson and Bush.  Rubio is probably convinced in his weird, little mind that he is the anti-Trump.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: February 17, 2016, 09:36:15 AM »
If Bush does as badly as polling seems to suggest, he probably drops out quietly in the night.
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bigedlb
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« Reply #22 on: February 17, 2016, 09:42:42 AM »
Jebby 1% in Nevada.  Bus meet former governor.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #23 on: February 17, 2016, 10:29:08 AM »
My guess is after Super Tuesday, possibly before it, there will be three left: Trump, Rubio and Cruz.
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