538 maps Facebook likes for each candidate by county (user search)
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  538 maps Facebook likes for each candidate by county (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 maps Facebook likes for each candidate by county  (Read 8264 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,734
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« on: February 11, 2016, 05:13:34 PM »

OMG I love this stuff. I don't even care who wins now.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,734
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2016, 05:27:24 PM »

Ooh! And it even has zip-codes for some cities. Mine's fairly predictable:

Sanders 63%
Clinton 17%

Carson 7% (Not surprising, he's really the only Republican I see signs/bumper stickers for)
Trump 5% (And I know where they live!)
Rubio 3%
Cruz 3% (I'm astounded it's even that high)
Bush 1%
Others 1%

Total Democrats: 80%
Total Republicans: 20%
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,734
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2016, 05:55:53 PM »

LOL. Sanders beats Clinton in zip code 10005, which is Wall Street. Also, Trump is in 3rd place in 10022, which contains Trump Tower.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,734
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2016, 08:54:33 PM »

Here's a national county map using Castro's formula. So far, it correctly predicted Sanders winning every county in New Hampshire, although it was a bit generous to him with the margins, and (excluding ties both in the model and in reality) it got 60/90 counties in Iowa, predicting 23 Sanders counties would go to Clinton, and two Clinton counties for Sanders, for a generally Clinton-favorable prediction. But of the 100 non-tie (in model and in real life) counties to vote so far, it's correctly predicted 70, which is a pretty darn good record for just a formula and Facebook likes.

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