Bernie could win New York

[cinyc]

The election is not until April 19 - that's an eternity away from now in politics.  Sanders might not even be in the race at that time.

And it's all fun and games for Bernie in Brooklyn until the borough's African Americans break heavily for Clinton and the ultra-orthodox Jewish registered Democrats in the borough vote en masse for Clinton by a 95-5 margin, offsetting and outnumbering the hipster vote.  Clinton has good relations with many ultra orthodox Jewish communities, dating back from when she was a Senator from New York.

[cinyc]

Live in Brooklyn. It could happen. High hipster turn out. Low Black turnout. General opposition the Cuomo/Democratic establishment, as seen with the election of de Blasio and the strong Teachout campaign.

Cuomo won the 2014 Democratic Primary in Brooklyn 67-29.  Teachout did worse in Brooklyn than in the rest of the state.  The Democratic machine rules Brooklyn with an iron fist.

[cinyc]

It's important to remember that the New York primary is very closed. The deadline for changing your registration was something like last November. Anecdotally, a lot of the young people I know that live here are not even registered to vote here, even the ones that have "permanently" moved here and graduated from college, etc.

The deadline to change parties may have been last year, but there is still time for new voters to register for the first time and vote in the primaries.  That deadline is March 25.

But, yes, the New York primaries are ultra-closed and the machine candidate usually wins, especially on the Democratic side.