SC Poll Prediction
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Author Topic: SC Poll Prediction  (Read 1364 times)
Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
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« on: February 11, 2016, 08:56:46 PM »

First real SC poll is coming out tomorrow.  Make your predictions!

Trump: 36
Cruz: 18
Bush: 15
Rubio: 12
Carson:  11
Kasich:  8
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2016, 09:05:00 PM »

37% Trump
22% Cruz
15% Bush
13% Rubio
6% Carson
3% Kasich

I suspect TRUMP won't get away in the end with that kind of margin, though.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2016, 09:08:40 PM »
« Edited: February 12, 2016, 03:24:23 AM by Ronnie »

Trump 35%
Cruz 18%
Rubio 18%
Bush 16%
Carson 7%
Kasich 2%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2016, 09:11:38 PM »

Trump - 34%
Cruz - 20%
Rubio - 17%
Bush - 15%
Carson - 7%
Kasich - 4%
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2016, 03:17:29 AM »

Trump: 34%
Cruz: 28%
Rubio: 15%
Bush: 10%
Carson: 8%
Kasich: 4%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2016, 04:40:52 AM »

Trump up 5-10.

56% Hillary
40% Bernie
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2016, 06:46:24 AM »

Trump 40%
Cruz 18%
Bush 11%
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LLR
LongLiveRock
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2016, 07:16:24 AM »

Hillary 64
Bernie 27

Trump 33
Cruz 21
Rubio 20
Jeb 12
Carson 6
Kasich 5
Gilmore 0
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PresidentTRUMP
2016election
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2016, 10:14:08 AM »

Repub:

Trump - 37%
Cruz - 21%
Rubio - 15%
Bush - 15%
Carson - 8%
Kasich - 4%

Dems:

Clinton - 58%
Sanders - 42%
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Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2016, 10:44:43 AM »

Actual:

Trump: 36%
Cruz: 20%
Rubio: 15%
Bush: 11%
Kasich: 9%
Carson: 5%
Undecided: 5%

None of us got even the order right.
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Torie
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2016, 10:52:17 AM »

If Jeb comes in 5th, will he give up?
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elcorazon
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2016, 11:02:13 AM »

Trump 31
Cruz 27
Rubio 18
Bush 10
Carson 8
Kasich 5
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #12 on: February 12, 2016, 11:02:55 AM »

If Jeb comes in 5th, will he give up?

I hope so,
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2016, 11:04:34 AM »

Actual:

Trump: 36%
Cruz: 20%
Rubio: 15%
Bush: 11%
Kasich: 9%
Carson: 5%
Undecided: 5%

None of us got even the order right.

Damn, that's a legitimately impressive number from Kasich. He should put some muscle behind getting third and killing off Jeb and Rubs.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2016, 11:07:00 AM »

If Jeb comes in 5th, will he give up?

For the Republicans, Nevada's only three days after South Carolina.  Both Bush and Rubio supposedly have good organizations there.  If either of them bombs in South Carolina, I could see them waiting it out another few days just to see if there's any rebound in Nevada.  If they still do poorly there, then yeah, it's time to think about what staying in longer will accomplish.  Is Bush now sufficiently mad at Rubio that he decides to stay in the race longer, likely taking away support from Rubio, and thereby handing more delegates to Cruz and Trump on Super Tuesday?
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Torie
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« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2016, 11:20:47 AM »

If Jeb comes in 5th, will he give up?

For the Republicans, Nevada's only three days after South Carolina.  Both Bush and Rubio supposedly have good organizations there.  If either of them bombs in South Carolina, I could see them waiting it out another few days just to see if there's any rebound in Nevada.  If they still do poorly there, then yeah, it's time to think about what staying in longer will accomplish.  Is Bush now sufficiently mad at Rubio that he decides to stay in the race longer, likely taking away support from Rubio, and thereby handing more delegates to Cruz and Trump on Super Tuesday?


If he does, he will become the most hated man in the Pub party. The ultimate irony is the man who claims he hates Trump the most, has so far do more than any other man on this planet, other than Trump himself, to help Trump. It's a Shakespearian tragedy.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #16 on: February 12, 2016, 11:23:06 AM »

If Jeb comes in 5th, will he give up?

For the Republicans, Nevada's only three days after South Carolina.  Both Bush and Rubio supposedly have good organizations there.  If either of them bombs in South Carolina, I could see them waiting it out another few days just to see if there's any rebound in Nevada.  If they still do poorly there, then yeah, it's time to think about what staying in longer will accomplish.  Is Bush now sufficiently mad at Rubio that he decides to stay in the race longer, likely taking away support from Rubio, and thereby handing more delegates to Cruz and Trump on Super Tuesday?


If he does, he will become the most hated man in the Pub party. The ultimate irony is the man who claims he hates Trump the most, has so far do more than any other man on this planet, other than Trump himself, to help Trump. It's a Shakespearian tragedy.

Jeb publicly hates Trump, but privately really hates Rubio, he hates Rubio over the fact he ran AFTER Jeb had announced and he blames Rubio for Trump's continued dominance in the polls and believes he is the true center-right candidate to take out both Cruz and Trump, and Rubio gets in the way of that.
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