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Author Topic: Random internal poll thread  (Read 9680 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: February 12, 2016, 01:51:19 PM »
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2016, 01:53:22 PM »
If that's not a Jeb or Trump internal, that's really not good for whoever's campaign it's from.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2016, 01:54:00 PM »
If Trump doubles up his nearest competitor again, this race is over.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2016, 01:54:08 PM »
This looks like most accurate poll by far though Cruz looks just a tad low. Trump doesn't waste money on polls so this must be bad for whoever took it.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2016, 01:55:31 PM »
I want to say this is probably from Rubio's campaign.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2016, 01:56:57 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:55:31 PM
I want to say this is probably from Rubio's campaign.

If he's at fourth with 10% in his own internals, he's in big trouble.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2016, 01:58:32 PM »
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 12, 2016, 01:56:57 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:55:31 PM
I want to say this is probably from Rubio's campaign.

If he's at fourth with 10% in his own internals, he's in big trouble.

If it's not Jeb or Trump, then it's either Kasich, Rubio or Carson and out of those options, Rubio's campaign seems more likely here.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2016, 01:59:19 PM »
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 12, 2016, 01:56:57 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 12, 2016, 01:55:31 PM
I want to say this is probably from Rubio's campaign.

If he's at fourth with 10% in his own internals, he's in big trouble.

Maybe he's trying to lower expectations again.
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The Free North
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2016, 02:04:46 PM »
Could see Cruz 5 points higher, but this seems about right.

This race is over on Super Tuesday.
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Torie
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2016, 03:06:10 PM »
Is this a purloined internal? Why would a candidate leak an internal that does not have good numbers for him?
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2016, 03:15:11 PM »
Quote from: Sprouts Farmers Market on February 12, 2016, 01:54:08 PM
This looks like most accurate poll by far though Cruz looks just a tad low. Trump doesn't waste money on polls so this must be bad for whoever took it.

Because Bush is the only non Trump candidate for whom these numbers look relatively okay, leakage. Otherwise why would any of the other campaigns I don't buy the lowering expectations argument simply because that is the last thing on earth that either Rubio or Kasich need at this point in the campaign.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2016, 03:52:09 PM »
Uh, the guy who tweeted this runs the Jeb? SuperPAC. Why would he have access to non-Jeb internals??
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Torie
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« Reply #12 on: February 12, 2016, 03:56:47 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on February 12, 2016, 03:52:09 PM
Uh, the guy who tweeted this runs the Jeb? SuperPAC. Why would he have access to non-Jeb internals??

Good question, and from whose campaign would it come from? Does Murphy hava a mole. Rubio certainly would not release such suck numbers. Maybe Murphy is saying it is not Jeb when it really is.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2016, 03:58:29 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on February 12, 2016, 03:52:09 PM
Uh, the guy who tweeted this runs the Jeb? SuperPAC. Why would he have access to non-Jeb internals??

"Uh, can you leak these internal numbers? And for the record, they didn't come from Jeb."
"So, who's campaign took this?"
"Uhhh, not Jeb."
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2016, 05:17:04 PM »
Guys, someone I trust just gave me some internal poll numbers from South Carolina:

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^^^^
This is roughly as trustworthy as numbers "leaked" by Mike Murphy.  Why are now posting fake numbers on this board that came directly from one of the campaigns, with no evidence whatsoever that they represent anything real?
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2016, 05:30:39 PM »
http://schousegop.org/sc-poll-results/

February 11th -12th

Bush 13%

Carson 5%

Cruz 15.5%

Kasich 8.5%

Rubio 12.5%

Trump 34.5%

Undecided 11%

Will be a tracker next week.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: February 12, 2016, 05:38:46 PM »
Congratulations President TRUMP!
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #17 on: February 12, 2016, 05:39:14 PM »
PDF
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #18 on: February 12, 2016, 05:41:19 PM »
The Bush campaign will spin this as good news lol.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: February 12, 2016, 05:50:16 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 12, 2016, 05:41:19 PM
The Bush campaign will spin this as good news lol.

Well they're tied for second place. YUGE improvement from their NH tie for 3rd place!
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #20 on: February 12, 2016, 06:18:43 PM »
This looks about like what I would expect honestly. Trump way ahead with Cruz, Bush, Rubio all in the 10-18% range. I don't buy that Rubio is at 20%, nor do I think there are enough evangelicals for Trump, Cruz and Carson to split for Carson to get over 10%.
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #21 on: February 12, 2016, 06:30:14 PM »
Not sure that I'd put much evidential weight on a pollster that posts its crosstabs as f**king pie charts.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: February 14, 2016, 12:06:34 AM »
Can we have a "supposed internal poll gotten from a tweet" megathread? This is getting pretty silly.
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mds32
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« Reply #23 on: February 14, 2016, 07:19:41 PM »
Trying to find the actual poll. It may just be an internal poll that was leaked. Either way that is good news for anyone in the GOP other than Trump.


https://twitter.com/murphymike/status/699011352577253377
 
mike murphy
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Prob last SC poll done pre-debate, finished on Sat aftrn. (500 PRVs).  Trump 26, Cruz 24, Jeb 12, Marco 11, Carson 8, Kasich 6.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #24 on: February 14, 2016, 07:20:26 PM »
This actually seems about right I think.
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