Is Senator Michael Bennet safe for reelection?
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  Is Senator Michael Bennet safe for reelection?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Is Senator Michael Bennet safe for reelection?  (Read 1636 times)
madelka
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« on: February 13, 2016, 04:53:48 PM »
« edited: February 13, 2016, 04:56:54 PM by madelka »
It seems so. He won relatively easily in 2010 and it looks like the Republican candidates are pretty awful.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2016, 04:54:52 PM »
2 points against an awful opponent is "easily"? Hell no he's not safe.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2016, 04:56:38 PM »
He isn't safe but he'd be in more danger if the GOP could recruit a better candidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2016, 05:00:27 PM »
When Coffman decided not to run, Bennett sure became the favorite  to win
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Vosem
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« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2016, 05:00:47 PM »
He did not win easily at all in 2010; he trailed in the polls right up to election day and ended up winning extremely narrowly (by 1.5%), probably due to some gaffes committed by his opponent. With that said, you're right that the field against him in 2016 looks pretty weak and that Republicans have a great deal of defense to play in 2016, and their offense will be focused on NV, where they are likelier than not to gain a seat. Bennet will probably lose only in the event of an across-the-board Democratic meltdown.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2016, 05:02:58 PM »
Too early to tell.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2016, 05:07:19 PM »
Favored? Yes. Safe? No.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2016, 05:45:37 PM »
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: February 13, 2016, 06:31:06 PM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: February 13, 2016, 07:34:39 PM »
Last Dem Corp poll had Strickland,  Bennett, Feingold & Murphy  holding up against GOP. Bennett was leading by 5 over Frazier.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #10 on: February 13, 2016, 08:52:31 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 13, 2016, 05:08:19 PM

This. He's heavily favored, but people were saying the same thing about Mark Udall in 2014. His approval numbers aren't good, either.

Udall dropped the ball though, only Braley campaigned worse.

I doubt Bennet would risk being so single-issue.

Bennet seems like Heller back in 2012, vulnerable but still favored.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: February 13, 2016, 10:38:47 PM »
Dems are concentrating less on Pa these day, they are helping Masto, Strickland, Hassan, Murphy, and Kirkpatrick  as well as IL/WI
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bronz4141
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« Reply #12 on: February 13, 2016, 11:32:15 PM »
Quote from: Da-Jon on February 13, 2016, 10:38:47 PM
Dems are concentrating less on Pa these day, they are helping Masto, Strickland, Hassan, Murphy, and Kirkpatrick  as well as IL/WI

Yea, I think that Pat Toomey probably gets reelected by 5-10 points. Sestak and McGinty aren't great candidates.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #13 on: February 18, 2016, 05:02:05 AM »
Not safe, but relatively sure. I give him a 70%chance to get reelected. But still too early to say.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: February 18, 2016, 08:58:45 AM »
Hell win by the sane margin as Hickenlooper 3-5%
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #15 on: February 18, 2016, 09:13:54 AM »
My guts say he's close to being a shoo-in, but you can't be completely sure.
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Orser67
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« Reply #16 on: February 18, 2016, 05:14:19 PM »
Like Richard Burr, he should be fine so long as he doesn't make any huge gaffes/scandals and there isn't a landslide presidential election for the opposite party. But I definitely wouldn't call him safe. Few one-term incumbents in swing states are.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: February 18, 2016, 06:36:42 PM »
Not even close to safe.  It all depends on the candidate.  He would've lost in 2010 if it weren't for the Tea Party movement.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #18 on: February 18, 2016, 08:30:47 PM »
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: February 19, 2016, 09:00:43 PM »
Obviously not. Purple state and middling approval ratings. The only reason it's not a pure toss up is the GOP's weak bench, but it's not exactly unprecedented for an anonymous or "weak" candidate to emerge from obscurity and defeat a sitting senator.
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Prince of Salem
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« Reply #20 on: February 19, 2016, 09:04:52 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 13, 2016, 05:08:19 PM

This. He's heavily favored, but people were saying the same thing about Mark Udall in 2014. His approval numbers aren't good, either.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: February 20, 2016, 01:17:27 PM »
Hes not Udall, and Frasier isnt Gardner.
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Xing
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« Reply #22 on: February 21, 2016, 03:05:56 PM »
Clearly he's not safe, as a GOP wave, and a Republican (like RUBIO!!) winning Colorado by 5% or more would probably sink him. He is clearly the favorite, though.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #23 on: February 22, 2016, 06:09:59 PM »
He will be safe if the Republicans play obstructionist games with the vacant US Senate seat.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #24 on: February 27, 2016, 12:33:08 AM »
Quote from: Da-Jon on February 20, 2016, 01:17:27 PM
Hes not Udall, and Frasier isnt Gardner.
Yes, Udall actually did stuff. I prefer Frazier, but if CO elects him, TNVol will call it racist and Safe R for Ben Carson.
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