Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 46029 times)
Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #225 on: February 20, 2016, 03:12:24 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:10:54 PM
I imagine that Sanders would have to do better than a tie among whites to win overall.

He needs to win them by at least NH-level numbers.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #226 on: February 20, 2016, 03:13:10 PM »
I have revised my prediction:

Clinton 57%
Sanders 43%
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Xing
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« Reply #227 on: February 20, 2016, 03:13:25 PM »
Looks like we're not learning much from the entrance poll. Big surprise.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #228 on: February 20, 2016, 03:13:49 PM »
This is such a disaster.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #229 on: February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM »
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #230 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:30 PM »
This poll is a trainwreck ... let's wait for results
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #231 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:47 PM »

Correct.

This process is painful to watch.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #232 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:49 PM »
Quote from: Violent Socialist on February 20, 2016, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:10:54 PM
I imagine that Sanders would have to do better than a tie among whites to win overall.

He needs to win them by at least NH-level numbers.
Not if he loses non-whites by 5 like in the exit poll. If so Bernie only needs to win whites by 3-4 points.
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RI
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« Reply #233 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:54 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

That would be a good number for Sanders.
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jaichind
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« Reply #234 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:10 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

Back in 2008 it was 54.5-43.6 Clinton
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cxs018
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« Reply #235 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:18 PM »
I wouldn't be surprised if this is the last primary cycle with caucuses, with the disasters in IA and NV.
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Matty
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« Reply #236 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM »
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far
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Admiral Kizaru
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« Reply #237 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:26 PM »

Post of the day.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #238 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:31 PM »
CBS is alot doing exit polls if anyones wondering:

https://twitter.com/CBSPolitics?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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The Free North
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« Reply #239 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:36 PM »
Quote from: New Canadaland on February 20, 2016, 03:14:49 PM
Quote from: Violent Socialist on February 20, 2016, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:10:54 PM
I imagine that Sanders would have to do better than a tie among whites to win overall.

He needs to win them by at least NH-level numbers.
Not if he loses non-whites by 5 like in the exit poll. If so Bernie only needs to win whites by 3-4 points.

3 points.

Moreover, if its indicative of the larger picture, 5 points is hardly a 'firewall'.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #240 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:40 PM »
This is all over the place GIVE US THOSE JUICY VOTES
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #241 on: February 20, 2016, 03:15:45 PM »
NBC rough entrance poll calculation: Clinton up 50-47.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #242 on: February 20, 2016, 03:16:39 PM »
Quote from: marty on February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far

These exit polls make no sense... AT ALL.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #243 on: February 20, 2016, 03:16:49 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 20, 2016, 03:14:54 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

That would be a great number for Sanders.

This probably results in a Sanders win or essentially a tie.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #244 on: February 20, 2016, 03:16:55 PM »

Depends. It's 70% of the total vote, so that means Bernie needs to win the rest of the State by 9-10 points to win.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #245 on: February 20, 2016, 03:17:07 PM »
CNN is showing a Lean Bernie caucus site in Vegas
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The Free North
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« Reply #246 on: February 20, 2016, 03:17:20 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 03:16:39 PM
Quote from: marty on February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far

These exit polls make no sense... AT ALL.

Nevada just switched from a caucus than a primary...so yes it does.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #247 on: February 20, 2016, 03:17:27 PM »
Quote from: marty on February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far

Since turnout has been so incredibly low since Nevada started caucusing, I'm not sure this is conclusive of anything.
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Zanas
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« Reply #248 on: February 20, 2016, 03:18:03 PM »
65% respondents of that entrance poll were first-time caucus-goers ! That's yuge !

Still, notice that the sample is 379, so 5.0 MoE.
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windjammer
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« Reply #249 on: February 20, 2016, 03:18:13 PM »
LibertarianRepublican,
Why do you bnelieve she will win by 16 points? Just curious
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