Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 46005 times)
DrScholl
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« Reply #325 on: February 20, 2016, 03:33:26 PM »
Ok, so the entrance polls are now suddenly supposed to be accurate when Sanders is in the lead? Ok....
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #326 on: February 20, 2016, 03:33:50 PM »
Updated numbers:

Whites: 52-44 Sanders
Non-Whites: 52-46 Clinton
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The Free North
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« Reply #327 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:02 PM »
CNN Entrance poll update!

Sanders wins men 57-40 (47% of electorate)
Clinton wins women 54-43 (53% of electorate)


For those doing the math, Sanders is leading 49.5 to 47.4

This will be IA part 2.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #328 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:11 PM »

Not gonna bother with the Democrat caucus since I know Sanders will win in a landslide anyway, but I hope my voting address gets updated in time for the GOP primary.
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danny
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« Reply #329 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:15 PM »
Quote from: Joe Republic on February 20, 2016, 03:29:42 PM
One of the "organizers" (lol) realized that the cafeteria had two precincts jumbled together, so just made both groups split into four (not including the three undecided people at the back of the room).

We should probably call this the Nevada Democratic electoral type event.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #330 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:21 PM »
I really, really hope Bernie will win this. Would be amazing.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #331 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:25 PM »
MSNBC is coming out with some new numbers after this commercial.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #332 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:29 PM »
Yes, Sanders can win Latinos. Why are people in disbelief?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #333 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:37 PM »
Quote from: Torie on February 20, 2016, 03:32:49 PM
It looks like Hillary is headed for a thumping. High turnout, low black turnout, losing Hispanics, liberals up from 45% last time to 70% this time, lots of young people, you name it. She might be lucky to lose by only 10 points.

lol
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KingSweden
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« Reply #334 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:41 PM »
Quote from: muon2 on February 20, 2016, 03:33:14 PM
Fox reports women 56-41% for Clinton in their entrance poll, union 56-43% for Clinton, first-timers 54-43% Sanders, under 45 76-20% Sanders.

Curious that unions are that much stronger for Clinton than Sanders.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #335 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:46 PM »
Anyone expecting an Iowa Redux right now?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #336 on: February 20, 2016, 03:34:50 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:33:26 PM
Ok, so the entrance polls are now suddenly supposed to be accurate when Sanders is in the lead? Ok....

Entrance polls get better as time passes. It's just the way things go.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #337 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:01 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on February 20, 2016, 03:31:44 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 20, 2016, 03:28:15 PM
These entrance polls have a margin of error of like 10%.
Well, no actually. First sample was 379, 5.0 MoE. Now they have a larger sample of 627, MoE of 3.9. It could be a little more trustworthy, though not much.

MoE is not all though, these early polls are also likely to be biased in some way or another.
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Asian Nazi
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« Reply #338 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:07 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:33:26 PM
Ok, so the entrance polls are now suddenly supposed to be accurate when Sanders is in the lead? Ok....

This forum is full of Sanders hacks, what's new?
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #339 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:13 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on February 20, 2016, 03:34:02 PM
CNN Entrance poll update!

Sanders up 17 amongst men (47% of electorate)
Sanders down 11 amongst women (53% of electorate)


For those doing the math, thats 49.58% of the total vote.


This will be IA part 2.

Hey, at least this time we don't have to stay up all night to see the result, probably Tongue
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Zanas
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« Reply #340 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:44 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 03:33:26 PM
Ok, so the entrance polls are now suddenly supposed to be accurate when Sanders is in the lead? Ok....
Novody said that. They just have a larger sample. That doesn't mean they are not off.
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Xing
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« Reply #341 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:47 PM »
I have a hard time believing that Sanders is winning Latinos by 11 percent. I could buy him being close to even with Clinton...
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #342 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:05 PM »
CNN:
Sanders 49%
Clinton 47%
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #343 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:07 PM »
Blitzer reporting it as 49-47-3 Sanders.
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The Free North
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« Reply #344 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:09 PM »
Yup, CNN did the math I just did.

Sanders up 49-47 folks.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #345 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:21 PM »
So they're expecting turnout among women to crash?

I'm waiting for actual numbers. These polls make no sense.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #346 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:31 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 03:33:50 PM
Updated numbers:

Whites: 52-44 Sanders
Non-Whites: 52-46 Clinton

HOLY MOLY CANNOLI!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #347 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:42 PM »
Quote from: pepper11 on February 20, 2016, 03:26:28 PM
SO Clinton 49.8 and Bern 47.2 according to CNN entrance...

The Bern is not being felt

Sanders always beats the early polls. Plus, that'd actually be a very nice result for him in NV imo.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #348 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:48 PM »
My god...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #349 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:56 PM »
MSNBC White Voters:

52% Sanders
44% Clinton
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