Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)

[MT Treasurer]

14% in

Clinton: 50.3%
Sanders: 49.5%

Clark County (9% in) now 54-46 Clinton. Bodes well for her.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

If this ends up like Iowa, I don't think Sanders is going to get away with calling a virtual tie "a win" again. That line was lame the first time and would be even more lame a second time.

No anything better than a double digit loss is a win for Sanders.  Clinton needs a big win here.

I disagree. I think she just needs to deny him a win. If he can be denied an actual win, it will blunt the momentum a bit and allow Hillary to still march to a big victory in SC. And then that sets the tone for Super Tuesday.

But if he wins, even by a little, the whole narrative changes. Hillary will have lost two out of three contests, and according to the pundits her one win was basically a tie. It will make SC more competitive, which will be devastating for her.

Seriously, Hillary is in trouble. People are dumb.

[Adam Griffin]

Looks like 18-29 year-olds were 13% of the caucus in 2008; 19% today.

[Asian Nazi]

Weirdly it says that non-whites go for Clinton with 53%, so Hillary must be winning 100% of Blacks, Asians, and Others?

That doesn't make much sense

It's almost as if the entrance poll is literal feces or something.  WHO WOULD HAVE GUESSED?

[muon2]

Fox shows 50.3-49.5% for Clinton with 14% of the delegates called.

[Mehmentum]

CNN exit polls now have Clinton up 1, for what its worth.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Bernie underperforming in Washoe county

[politicallefty]

I just looked at 2008 and I didn't realize how irrelevant the rural counties are on the Democratic side (I know they're small, but I didn't realize it'd be that insignificant) and just how miserable turnout was. A win in Clark and Washoe should be enough, unless they're both about 50-50 or so.

[Zanas]

The entrance poll was updated to a 943 sample, with a 3.2 MoE. It now points to Clinton 48.4, Sanders 47.8, something like that.

[Blue3]

Entrance polling in Nevada is sometimes very off.

[DrScholl]

Entrance poll update

Sanders up 4% with whites
Sanders up 11% with latinos

Weirdly it says that non-whites go for Clinton with 53%, so Hillary must be winning 100% of Blacks, Asians, and Others?

That doesn't make much sense

That is what I was thinking. Something doesn't add up, because there is no way Clinton could be leading with non-whites and be losing Hispanics by 11%.

[IceSpear]

The whiplash from the junky CNN exit poll in this thread was hilarious. OMG, IT SHOWS HILLARY UP A COUPLE POINTS, SHE WINS! HOLY sh**t, NOW BERNIE IS AHEAD BY A COUPLE POINTS, HE'S INEVITABLE!!!

[Adam Griffin]

If this ends up like Iowa, I don't think Sanders is going to get away with calling a virtual tie "a win" again. That line was lame the first time and would be even more lame a second time.

No anything better than a double digit loss is a win for Sanders.  Clinton needs a big win here.

This is correct. It shows that he has taken yet another state he was supposed to lose by 20 points to a dead heat, and it also shows that he has assembled a much larger bloc of the Obama Coalition than Clinton has by likely winning a majority of whites, a majority of Latinos and a majority of Asians; all he's waiting on is 1 out of 3 black primary voters.

[Admiral Kizaru]

Politico has 21.4% reporting in with a 50.3 to 49.5% for Clinton.

[Smash255]

14% in

Clinton: 50.3%
Sanders: 49.5%

Clark County (9% in) now 54-46 Clinton. Bodes well for her.

Seems like CNN & AP had similar results up until now with AP showing more precincts in

[Asian Nazi]

I just looked at 2008 and I didn't realize how irrelevant the rural counties are on the Democratic side (I know they're small, but I didn't realize it'd be that insignificant) and just how miserable turnout was. A win in Clark and Washoe should be enough, unless they're both about 50-50 or so.

It's not just the Democrat side, the rural NV counties are basically literally irrelevant and empty.

[Mike Thick]

Okay, I'm going to stop updating you people with DDHQ. The vote totals are going up and down and all around, and I'm skeptical.

[Stockdale for Veep]

Looking at the map reminds me of how stupid it is that Iowa has 5 million counties.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Clinton is increasing her lead albeit slightly

[/]

Now it's 51.0%-48.9% Clinton (CNN)

[Maxwell]

Good news for Hillary? Clark County is less out than the rest of the state. She currently holds a 8 point advantage there.

[/]

Pershing County is all in; Sanders wins 49-48

[Joe Republic]

I guess there are a few undecideds in the other precinct in this cafeteria, so the chair just held a coin toss to decide which captain will speak first.

[muon2]

Some sites report % of precincts and some report % of delegates.

[PaperKooper]

NYT
414/1714

Clinton 1043
Sanders 1001