Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)

[jaichind]

Clark being only 18% in make this still a big unknown.  If the enterance polls are to be believed then the remaining count there should be pro-Sanders.

[Antonio the Sixth]

WTF? Hillary is pulling away now.

[Asian Nazi]

Clinton's going to win this.

[Gass3268]

I'd love to see a precinct map.  

[PaperKooper]

NYT

548/1714

Clinton   1552  51.7%
Sanders 1449  48.2%
Other           3    0.1%

182/1022 in Clark County
210/422 in Washoe County

[muon2]

Fox entrance poll - Latinos (20% of the vote) 54-43% Sanders
Independents 75-20% Sanders

[Landslide Lyndon]

WTF? Hillary is pulling away now.

More Clark coming in.

[ElectionsGuy]

Prediction markets now 60-40 for Clinton, was 50-50 an hour ago.

[Mike Thick]

I think DDHQ is about to call it.

ugh

Doubt it. In their thing Sanders is up by a vote.

[Mehmentum]

CNN just put Reno in Sanders color

Considering this was supposed to be where he'd build his win. It's not a great result for him.

He's currently leading the county by 0.4%.

[RI]

How on earth is Bernie not running away with Storey County?

[defe07]

Clark being only 18% in make this still a big unknown.  If the enterance polls are to be believed then the remaining count there should be pro-Sanders.

That's the only thing that could help Bernie come close to Hillary. No pro-Bernie mo here, it's for Hillary.

[DavidB.]

please let sanders have this

[IceSpear]

Fox entrance poll - Latinos (20% of the vote) 54-43% Sanders
Independents 75-20% Sanders

Independents? Isn't this a closed caucus?

[/]

Clinton seems to be slightly improving her lead on NYT (51.8%-48.1%)

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

WTF? Hillary is pulling away now.

Sorry it makes you - but it makes being awake at 8:30am on a Sunday worth it

[The Other Castro]

Looks like Sanders just doesn't have the remaining numbers he needs.

[JerryArkansas]

Fox entrance poll - Latinos (20% of the vote) 54-43% Sanders
Independents 75-20% Sanders

Independents? Isn't this a closed caucus?

Same day registration.

[/]

WTF? Hillary is pulling away now.

Sorry it makes you - but it makes being awake at 8:30am on a Sunday worth it

lucky future person

[Smash255]

Fox entrance poll - Latinos (20% of the vote) 54-43% Sanders
Independents 75-20% Sanders

Independents? Isn't this a closed caucus?

Party ID, is a bit different than Registration.

[Fusionmunster]

Election night always makes me feel like I need to vomit, this cant be good for my health.

[Adam Griffin]

So Sanders is going to lose narrowly while carrying the Latino vote? wtf

I've made posts about it recent days: he could win 50-55% of the white and Latino vote and still lose the overall vote by something like 54-46. However, I had projected a much larger black turnout (closer to 20%, instead of 12%) in those figures. This is probably what we're looking at, but with lower black turnout, it's a lot closer.

So Sanders is going to lose narrowly while carrying the Latino vote? wtf

Goes to show that the Adam Griffin method of extrapolating demographic results from one state to other states that are months away might not make the most sense. Whoddathunk?

What exactly did I get wrong outside of what's an acceptable estimate/MoE, other than black turnout FLOPPING?

Furthermore, she needs to win this caucus in NV by double-digits if she doesn't want the sinking narrative to continue. If Bernie loses in NV by 10 points, then that'll mean that he got a majority of whites, a majority of Latinos, an overwhelmingly majority of those under 30 (and a healthy majority of those under 45) and received 30% of the black vote. If Bernie is winning a massive majority of young people, males, whites and Latinos, then that says a lot about where the bulk of the Democratic blocs that we need to win in November are currently resting.

AAD:

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Oh wow, my margin is off by a whole 3 points right now, and that's only because black voters FLOPPED.

[Xing]

OMFG! Numbers changed in Bernie's favor! SANDERSMENTUM!

[/]

54.8-45.2 in Clark now (NYT)

[Zanas]

Fox entrance poll - Latinos (20% of the vote) 54-43% Sanders
Independents 75-20% Sanders

I think there's only one entrance poll and everyone is using it.