Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 45985 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« on: February 20, 2016, 03:08:23 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 03:05:50 PM
Whites: 48-48 Clinton/Sanders
Non-White: 52-47 Clinton

WTF?

This poll either reflects a total shake-up of the electorate .... or a really shi**y poll
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:30 PM »
This poll is a trainwreck ... let's wait for results
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
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Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 03:16:39 PM »
Quote from: marty on February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far

These exit polls make no sense... AT ALL.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 03:19:14 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on February 20, 2016, 03:17:20 PM
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 03:16:39 PM
Quote from: marty on February 20, 2016, 03:15:21 PM
ABC entrance poll: first time caucsr goers make up 2/3 of voters so far

These exit polls make no sense... AT ALL.

Nevada just switched from a caucus than a primary...so yes it does.

Ugh entrance ... It's 7am on a Sunday...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 03:29:37 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 03:28:55 PM
CNN saying that Sanders is winning latinos by 11 points.

lol, what?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 03:36:21 PM »
So they're expecting turnout among women to crash?

I'm waiting for actual numbers. These polls make no sense.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 03:39:28 PM »
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on February 20, 2016, 03:37:38 PM
Hillary loses.

Congratulations, Republicans. There is no way Democrats win if Sanders is the nominee, even if he becomes president.

Lol, breathe.

The counts have only just started. Let's see how the numbers actually turn out.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 03:46:30 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 20, 2016, 03:45:14 PM
Let's keep this talk focused on results, we can discuss other stuff later.

There aren't any results yet. Only this bizarre poll...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 04:07:30 PM »

That's Reno... could this make any less sense?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 04:10:36 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on February 20, 2016, 04:09:19 PM
Quote from: Ted Bessell, Bass God of the West on February 20, 2016, 04:03:47 PM
According to MSNBC, Clinton has won "all six casino sites," whatever that means

The irony since 8 years ago Bill Clinton complained about how unfair it was how many delegates they had.

Yeah - sadly if that's the system you need to work in, you make it work.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 04:18:22 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on February 20, 2016, 04:17:19 PM
Entrance poll update

Sanders up 4% with whites
Sanders up 11% with latinos

This is insanity ...
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 04:25:58 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on February 20, 2016, 04:23:39 PM
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 04:21:56 PM
I don't see how Sanders wins this one. Clark is now 55-45 Clinton.

If that holds, he can't win. But, let's wait and see if that holds. It wouldn't surprise me if there were some shifts.

True. Decision Desk HQ has Clark at 50-50 with 21% reporting.

DDHQ is a joke.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 04:28:31 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on February 20, 2016, 04:26:28 PM
So Sanders is going to lose narrowly while carrying the Latino vote? wtf

It seems the entrance poll isn't being supported by the results at the moment.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 04:33:49 PM »

Considering this was supposed to be where he'd build his win. It's not a great result for him.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2016, 04:36:20 PM »

Sorry it makes you Sad - but it makes being awake at 8:30am on a Sunday worth it Smiley
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2016, 04:55:33 PM »
Quote from: SteveMcQueen on February 20, 2016, 04:51:33 PM
CNN with another Bernie-spinning pundit on.
I don't think they've had anyone say a nice thing about Hillary all day long.
They also have their one camera at a caucus site at a university, which of course is dramatically for Sanders, and the woman just makes fun of the Clinton camp.  "Very lonely over there"

They just need this to be more exciting.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2016, 05:03:22 PM »
Fox has called it for Clinton
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2016, 05:09:29 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 05:05:05 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on February 20, 2016, 05:03:38 PM
@Nate_Cohn 3m3 minutes ago Washington, DC

The majority Hispanic precincts in east Las Vegas generally look good for Clinton, contra exit polls.
Interesting...

I think the more I see, the more I think the entrance poll was was off, badly
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2016, 05:12:34 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 05:10:36 PM
It's over. Hillary is going to win by 6-7. What a load.

"Dance! Nothing else that you can do but dance!"
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #19 on: February 20, 2016, 05:19:54 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 05:18:28 PM
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 05:12:34 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 05:10:36 PM
It's over. Hillary is going to win by 6-7. What a load.

"Dance! Nothing else that you can do but dance!"

Come on. I wasn't being such a dick when we won NH.

Oh relax, I'm happy. Commiserations to Sanders supporters.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #20 on: February 20, 2016, 05:23:35 PM »

I think whichever side won would be insufferable.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #21 on: February 20, 2016, 05:37:17 PM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on February 20, 2016, 05:35:14 PM
Looks like Clark saved Clinton tonight. Entrance polls are pretty worthless for a caucus the way they are set up. More of a reason to get rid of caucuses.

See? we can agree on things.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #22 on: February 20, 2016, 05:43:10 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 05:39:20 PM
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 05:37:17 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on February 20, 2016, 05:35:14 PM
Looks like Clark saved Clinton tonight. Entrance polls are pretty worthless for a caucus the way they are set up. More of a reason to get rid of caucuses.

See? we can agree on things.

Well, Bernie won 100% of primaries so far and Hillary won 100% of caucuses, so maybe you should change your mind? Smiley

No, it's not about self-interest, they're a total farce and joke. Bad ideas are always a bad idea, regardless of who benefits. Caucuses and superdelegates need to go. Just give the elected delegates more flexibility to change rather than relying on SD to save the party if they go kamikaze.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #23 on: February 20, 2016, 06:41:37 PM »
Quote from: yourelection on February 20, 2016, 06:34:04 PM
Hillary's win in Nevada was not that decisive, but CNN is making is sound so. I though that she was expected to win much higher?

Most polls were very tight. You even had people predicting a Sanders win around here.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22
« Reply #24 on: February 20, 2016, 07:19:12 PM »
Quote from: yourelection on February 20, 2016, 07:16:09 PM
If turnout is down compared to the last two primary seasons, what does that tell us about the chances of a democratic win in November?

Nothing really. With two options, the Democrats aren't that enthused. The war going on in the GOP is far more intense and damaging, despite what you see here.

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