Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 45990 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 20, 2016, 01:40:41 PM »
Quote from: Violent Socialist on February 20, 2016, 01:00:02 PM
Apparently there were 76,300 Jews in Nevada as of 2014.  That's nothing to sneeze at.

ARDA says that there are 1,760 Orthodox Jews in Nevada as of 2010.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 02:13:23 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 20, 2016, 02:12:06 PM
Grain of salt, but Overtime says: "Caesar's Palace caucus room empty 55 minutes before doors close"

All the casino workers are waiting to vote for Trump.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 02:32:21 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 20, 2016, 02:30:43 PM
Las Vegas will go for Clinton, seems everyone in the Vegas caucus areas is for Hillary lol

It better, otherwise she's toast.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 02:39:21 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 20, 2016, 02:36:03 PM
Quote from: MikeWells12 on February 20, 2016, 02:35:41 PM
I'm calling Nevada for Sanders right now.

If Vegas and Reno go for Clinton, it's over.

No reason to think Reno will vote for Clinton. Hillary lost it in 2008, Bill lost it in 1992.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 02:41:39 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on February 20, 2016, 02:40:36 PM
A strong Hillary showing in Vegas will counterbalance a strong Sanders showing in Reno just saying.

Duh. The real question is how the non-Vegas portion of Clark County votes.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 02:42:35 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 02:40:13 PM
My understanding from 2008 is that Vegas alone has like over 70% of the delegates, with Reno being another 15%.

Clark County, not Vegas itself.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 03:00:34 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on February 20, 2016, 02:58:40 PM
I fail to see why caucuses still exist as opposed to just going all-primaries. Seems inefficient, outdated and a poor read on the actual feelings of the electorate.

Caucuses are party-funded, which means eliminating primaries helps state budgets.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 03:04:48 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2016, 03:06:40 PM by realisticidealist »
Fewer blacks than 08, more Hispanics.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 03:14:54 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

That would be a good number for Sanders.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 03:23:00 PM »
Quote from: Mehmentum on February 20, 2016, 03:22:23 PM
Quote from: SteveMcQueen on February 20, 2016, 03:21:27 PM
Angry old ladies turning out in force, says CNN.  2/3rds over 45.
Wait, is this the revenge of TNVolunteer's angry women?

They're absolutely FURIOUS in Nevada.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 03:28:01 PM »
CNN's Latino and Asian vote proportions revised up slightly.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 03:32:54 PM »
Quote from: Violent Socialist on February 20, 2016, 03:31:41 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on February 20, 2016, 03:30:02 PM
Quote from: Comrade Funk on February 20, 2016, 03:27:38 PM
I'm glad I live in a primary state. Don't have to waste my time caucusing!

Fun story - my dad went to the GOP caucus across the street from his house in 2012 and somehow got roped into being a delegate to the King County GOP convention a few weeks later, which took eight hours to decide... nothing.

His reaction? "The whole experience definitely impressed upon me the efficiency of a primary system."

Didn't the WA GOP switch from caucus to primary for determining delegates this year?

Yes they did.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 04:03:56 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 04:02:25 PM
Why aren't we getting any results from the rural areas yet?

Lincoln County currently 100% Sanders.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 04:35:35 PM »
How on earth is Bernie not running away with Storey County?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: February 21, 2016, 11:24:30 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 21, 2016, 11:10:19 PM
Could Clinton still win Carson City with the 4% of precincts remaining?

There's only one Carson City precinct outstanding. It would have to break 6-1 for Clinton to overtake Sanders in the county.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: February 21, 2016, 11:56:21 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2016, 11:57:59 PM by realisticidealist »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 21, 2016, 11:50:50 PM
I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.

Clinton cleaned up in the southern suburbs of Las Vegas (Henderson and further). Sanders probably won a higher percentage of precincts in NV-02 than anywhere else, but I'd need to calculate out the actual numbers to know for sure.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: February 21, 2016, 11:59:36 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 21, 2016, 11:57:42 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 21, 2016, 11:56:21 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on February 21, 2016, 11:50:50 PM
I haven't seen a precinct breakdown or anything, but based on demographics the 3rd might be pretty close.

Clinton cleaned up in the southern suburbs of Las Vegas (Henderson and further).

Interesting... what was Sanders' best areas of Clark?

I haven't calculated it out yet (hopefully tomorrow), but it looks like Sanders won a large number of precincts in Paradise and the western side of the county (Spring Valley area).
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2016, 10:27:54 AM »
Carson City finished. Last precinct went 4-3 Clinton, meaning Sanders held the county. Just waiting on Washoe (one precinct) and Clark (14) to finish now.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2016, 12:18:45 PM »
Results aren't final yet, but my CD tabulation is

NV-01: Clinton 53.0/47.0
NV-02: Sanders 54.3/45.6
NV-03: Clinton 52.7/47.2
NV-04: Clinton 58.9/41.3

Las Vegas: Clinton 53.2/46.8
North Las Vegas: Clinton 60.5/39.4
Henderson: Clinton 55.6/44.4
Mesquite: Clinton 66.0/34.0
Boulder City: Tie 50.0/50.0
Goodsprings: Sanders 62.5/37.5
Laughlin: Clinton 69.6/30.4
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: February 22, 2016, 01:50:52 PM »
Washoe's finally done. Just waiting on 11 more Clark County precincts.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2016, 08:28:28 PM »
Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: February 22, 2016, 08:35:35 PM »
I should have a statewide precinct map up tomorrow.

Quote from: IceSpear on February 22, 2016, 08:31:36 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on February 22, 2016, 08:28:28 PM
Nevada's finally done. Final count: Clinton 6440 (52.64%), Sanders 5785 (47.29%), Uncommitted 8 (0.07%)

Where did you get the results from?

https://nvcaucuses.com
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