Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 45982 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: February 20, 2016, 02:09:00 PM »
It's 11am right now... Where's the poll?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 03:00:44 PM »
Here we go!
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 03:03:04 PM »
What the f**k? Are we getting this goddamn poll or not?
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 03:08:52 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on February 20, 2016, 03:05:50 PM
Whites: 48-48 Clinton/Sanders
Non-White: 52-47 Clinton

WTF?

Quote from: Tender Branson on February 20, 2016, 03:06:50 PM
Another quick calculation of the crosstabs based on race brings us to

49.5 Clinton
47.5 Sanders

overall.

WHERE ARE YOU GETTING THIS
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 03:16:55 PM »

Depends. It's 70% of the total vote, so that means Bernie needs to win the rest of the State by 9-10 points to win.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:01 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on February 20, 2016, 03:31:44 PM
Quote from: Castro on February 20, 2016, 03:28:15 PM
These entrance polls have a margin of error of like 10%.
Well, no actually. First sample was 379, 5.0 MoE. Now they have a larger sample of 627, MoE of 3.9. It could be a little more trustworthy, though not much.

MoE is not all though, these early polls are also likely to be biased in some way or another.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 03:58:26 PM »
Let's wait and see please.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 04:04:00 PM »
50-50 with 7% in.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 04:16:43 PM »
CNN is awfully slow to report this time around.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 04:18:35 PM »
Wait, CNN and AP both have 14% reporting but different numbers... Huh
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 04:34:20 PM »
WTF? Hillary is pulling away now. Sad
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 04:42:43 PM »
F**king entrance poll giving me false hopes. F**k it.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 04:47:58 PM »
Quote from: Watermelon sin Jamón on February 20, 2016, 04:43:34 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 04:42:43 PM
F**king entrance poll giving me false hopes. F**k it.
You should know better by now. In general, and particularly in 2016. Wink

I know. I was trying hard to temper my optimism and tell myself it's just a dumbass entrance poll...
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 05:10:36 PM »
It's over. Hillary is going to win by 6-7. What a load.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2016, 05:18:28 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 05:12:34 PM
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on February 20, 2016, 05:10:36 PM
It's over. Hillary is going to win by 6-7. What a load.

"Dance! Nothing else that you can do but dance!"

Come on. I wasn't being such a dick when we won NH.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2016, 05:24:27 PM »
Quote from:  Comrade Bernard  on February 20, 2016, 05:20:42 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on February 20, 2016, 05:18:48 PM
Can we all agree to ignore entrance polls from now on? They had Sanders ahead here and Hillary comfortably ahead in Iowa.

Yes.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2016, 05:39:20 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on February 20, 2016, 05:37:17 PM
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on February 20, 2016, 05:35:14 PM
Looks like Clark saved Clinton tonight. Entrance polls are pretty worthless for a caucus the way they are set up. More of a reason to get rid of caucuses.

See? we can agree on things.

Well, Bernie won 100% of primaries so far and Hillary won 100% of caucuses, so maybe you should change your mind? Smiley
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2016, 05:48:20 PM »
Jesus Chris csx trim down your horrendous sig.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,191
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2016, 06:20:13 PM »
Well, congrats to Hillary. Her chances of winning the nomination are now overwhelming.

Hopefully she won't forget all her wonderful bold progressive rhetoric once she gets into the White House.
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