Post-SC: Who wins Nevada?

[eric82oslo]

This poll and thread should be banned, because Trump is the only one in capital letters. Surely must be against the forum rules, if not it surely contradicts basic human decency of keeping it fair and not mess with fundamental democratic rules.

Relax, it's a meme on this forum that I was mocking. Clearly, I'm not a trump supporter.

Cool. I'm mocking the same memes by the way.

[Podgy the Bear]

Trump wins it--showing that he has that he can win nationally with a 30-35% show of strength against a split opposition. 

[JMT]

I'll make a bod prediction and say Rubio narrowly wins. But won't be surprised if Trump wins

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Still Trump.

[President Johnson]

TRUMP easily. He may break 40%.

[DS0816]

Donald Trump wins Nevada easily.

But the Establishment will try again with Marco Rubio to get him to carry the state's most-populous Clark County (Las Vegas). Trump will win there as well.

[Torie]

This poll and thread should be banned, because Trump is the only one in capital letters. Surely must be against the forum rules, if not it surely contradicts basic human decency of keeping it fair and not mess with fundamental democratic rules.

Ah, posters putting up push polls, silly polls, junk polls, etc., is at the core of Atlas's very being (heck BRTD sometimes puts up polls that combine all those features at once). Putting a candidate at the top that you prefer in caps, is quite mild as compared to some others. You need to chill man. Neither you nor I can stop the American voters going nutter if they choose to do so.

[Niemeyerite]

TRUMP. Not even close.

[Oakvale]

For the record, TRUMP should be TRUMP from here on out as he levels up after his South Carolina win.

[Spark]

Rubot wins NV by <5%

[defe07]

Rubot wins NV by <5%

Bold prediction!!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Rubio hasn't invested a dollar in Nevada and he doesn't exactly create Sanders-levels of enthusiasm among his voters. So how is he supposed to win a lightly attended caucus where the polls show him 20-30 points behind?
Pundits and Republican insiders might be impressed by his 3-5-2 strategy but I don't think voters will be equally impressed to create such a monstrous momentum for him.

[Xing]

I've got a bolder prediction: Rubio wins by double digits! Trump gets third! "YUGE" surprise!

[PresidentTRUMP]

Trump by 20% has anyone actually looked at the polls?! It's not even close he has OVER 40% of the vote in the polls. Rubio and Cruz are at around 20%.

[Figueira]

Yeah, just looking at the few polls that exist, it's hard to see anyone other than Trump winning Nevada at this point.

[Oakvale]

Bear in mind Nevada is heavily under Mormanic control. Rumour has it that the compound where Rubio was programmed was somewhere in the Mojave desert. Don't be surprised if their thugs steal this for the Manchurian Candidate.

[IceSpear]

I'm gonna stick with my bold prediction(tm) and say Rubio. Though I'm less confident. He's gotten plenty of media blowjobs, as always, but I would've expected a 2nd place finish to earn him WAY more than he's actually getting.

[Holmes]

Bear in mind Nevada is heavily under Mormanic control. Rumour has it that the compound where Rubio was programmed was somewhere in the Mojave desert. Don't be surprised if their thugs steal this for the Manchurian Candidate.

The Morman influence is why I think Rubio will take second. But still double digits for Trump.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

I'm going with Rubip due to organization and it being a caucus state.

[Comrade Funk]

[Landslide Lyndon]

FWIW, Rubio will spend next Tuesday campaigning at Minnesota and Michigan.

[Mr. Morden]

FWIW, Rubio will spend next Tuesday campaigning at Minnesota and Michigan.

He'll apparently still be in Nevada early on Tuesday morning though, before he heads off for the other states, as the Nevada GOP shows this event on its schedule:

http://nevadagop.org/event/las-vegas-rally-with-marco-rubio/

I'm actually not sure which, if any, of the candidates will stick around in Nevada late enough for the announcement of results.  Looks like Cruz will still be there fairly late in the day, but it's unclear if he'll be there late enough for a caucus night victory/concession speech.  We may not have much of anything in terms of results until after midnight on the east coast, so it's not exactly prime television real estate.

[ElectionsGuy]

Jon Ralston, an expert on Nevada politics, said Trump will win easily on Meet the Press. Seeing as its a caucus state, I'll trust his word over any sort of Rubio hype from the blog-sphere.

[Mike Thick]

Trump. It won't be close.

[Mr. Morden]

FWIW, Rubio will spend next Tuesday campaigning at Minnesota and Michigan.

He'll apparently still be in Nevada early on Tuesday morning though, before he heads off for the other states, as the Nevada GOP shows this event on its schedule:

http://nevadagop.org/event/las-vegas-rally-with-marco-rubio/

I'm actually not sure which, if any, of the candidates will stick around in Nevada late enough for the announcement of results.  Looks like Cruz will still be there fairly late in the day, but it's unclear if he'll be there late enough for a caucus night victory/concession speech.  We may not have much of anything in terms of results until after midnight on the east coast, so it's not exactly prime television real estate.

As a followup to the above...

As far as I can tell, Kasich isn't even bothering to travel to Nevada at all this week.  His campaign website shows him in Georgia and Virginia on Monday and Tuesday:

https://johnkasich.com/events/

The other four candidates are all spending at least two days there during this Sunday to Tuesday post-SC window.  Kasich has already visited Nevada the least of any of the remaining candidates.  Since he launched his candidacy last summer, he's only had one Nevada trip aside from the Las Vegas debate in December.