Atlas Predicts Republican NV 2016: Now with 100% less Jeb! (And old results)
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  Atlas Predicts Republican NV 2016: Now with 100% less Jeb! (And old results)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Atlas Predicts Republican NV 2016: Now with 100% less Jeb! (And old results)  (Read 3922 times)
The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« on: February 22, 2016, 11:41:20 AM »
« edited: February 22, 2016, 11:45:25 AM by (CT) The Free North »
Begin

**********************************************************************************

Previous Threads

IA Predictions: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=227811.0
IA Results: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228187.0
NH Predictions: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228669
NH Results: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=228912.0
Dem NV/'Pub SC Predictions: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=229750.0

**********************************************************************************



Full analysis of the results in SC and NV will be released once both parties have voted in each state.

The NV Dem race saw a 5 way tie for first with Ronnie, pho, Talleyrand, Adam Griffin, and TNvolunteer all within 0.5% of the actual result.

The SC GOP race was won by Damar who was within 5% of the actual results.

Damar is the overall winner of the elections on Saturday with only a 6.5% (!!) combined error in both the NV caucus and SC primary.

I plan on releasing some extended analysis of the predictions thus far before Super Tuesday

**********************************************************************************

Please submit your picks using the following format for the NV Caucus on Tuesday.

Republicans
Trump:
Rubio:
Cruz:
Kasich:
Carson:
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2016, 11:43:36 AM »
Full Weekend Results

NV Dem Error

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SC GOP Error

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Total Error

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Maxwell
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E: -6.45, S: -6.96

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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2016, 11:44:52 AM »
45% Trump
23% Cruz
22% Rubio
4% Kasich
3% Carson
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2016, 11:51:37 AM »
Would it be possible to share the predictions, say on something like Google Drive?  I'm interested in monkeying around with some performance metrics.
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Bismarck
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« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2016, 11:52:02 AM »
Trump: 40%
Rubio: 25%
Cruz: 23%
Kasich: 8%
Carson: 4%

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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2016, 11:53:03 AM »
Trump-46
Rubio-26
Cruz-19
Kasich-7
Carson-2



Of course, the media will try to spin a 20 point Rubio loss as a big win...
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The Free North
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2016, 11:53:09 AM »
Quote from: ilikeverin on February 22, 2016, 11:51:37 AM
Would it be possible to share the predictions, say on something like Google Drive?  I'm interested in monkeying around with some performance metrics.

I can share the results certainly. Or I can send you the excel spreadsheet if you would like.

I was contemplating having a doc open to place predictions in but I fear that some people might mess around with other peoples #s and screw things up a bit.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2016, 11:57:56 AM »
Republicans
Trump: 42%
Rubio: 24%
Cruz: 20%
Kasich: 9%
Carson: 5%
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The Free North
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2016, 11:58:01 AM »
As a general point, if anyone would like access to all of the spreadsheets, just ask and I can send them your way.
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Dorko Julio
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« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2016, 12:02:56 PM »
Trump: 38%
Cruz: 27%
Rubio: 23%
Kasich: 7%
Carson: 5%
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Asian Nazi
d32123
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« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2016, 12:04:22 PM »
46% Trump
25% Rubio
21% Cruz
5% Kasich
3% Carson
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tinman64
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E: -4.13, S: -1.57

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« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2016, 12:08:31 PM »
Trump 42%
Rubio 26%
Cruz 21%
Kasich 6%
Carson 5%
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RCRFan3
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E: 2.45, S: -1.74

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« Reply #12 on: February 22, 2016, 12:22:38 PM »
Trump: 41.4%
Rubio: 24.7%
Cruz: 21.8%
Kasich: 7.8%
Carson: 4.0%
No Vote: 0.3%
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2016, 12:23:16 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2016, 05:00:52 PM by Castro »
Republicans
Trump: 42
Cruz: 23
Rubio: 22
Kasich: 7
Carson: 6
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Holmes
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E: -6.45, S: -5.74

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« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2016, 12:24:23 PM »
Damn, I missed Nevada and South Carolina a few days ago. :/

Nevada
Trump 44%
Rubio 22%
Cruz 20%
Kasich 6%
Carson 5%
Other 3%
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2016, 12:28:10 PM »
KING TRUMP 43
Cruz 23
Haley's robot 20
Kasich 10
Zzzzzzz 4
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sportydude
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2016, 12:32:45 PM »
Correct results:

Trump: 45%
Cruz:   21%
Rubio:  19%
Kasich: 10%
Carson:  5%
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PeteB
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« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2016, 12:38:48 PM »
Nevada GOP

Trump 40%
Rubio 28%
Cruz 19%
Kasich 9%
Carson 4%
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PPT Spiral
Spiral
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2016, 01:23:16 PM »
Trump - 44%
Cruz - 24%
Rubio - 21%
Carson - 7%
Kasich - 4%
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jaichind
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« Reply #19 on: February 22, 2016, 01:42:17 PM »
Trump: 36%
Rubio: 31%
Cruz: 23%
Kasich: 6%
Carson: 4%
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Helsinkian
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« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2016, 01:48:38 PM »
Republicans
Trump: 43%
Rubio: 26%
Cruz: 17%
Kasich: 8%
Carson: 6%
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #21 on: February 22, 2016, 01:53:51 PM »
Sorry I didn't get around to SC/NV on the other side... Sad

Trump-38%
Rubio-29%
Cruz-20%
Kasich-11%
Carson-2%
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #22 on: February 22, 2016, 01:56:23 PM »
Trump 46
Cruz 26
Rubio 18
Kasich 7
Carson 3
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #23 on: February 22, 2016, 02:21:39 PM »
Republicans

Trump: 44
Rubio: 25
Cruz: 19
Kasich: 8
Carson: 3
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bigedlb
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« Reply #24 on: February 22, 2016, 02:52:11 PM »
Republicans
Trump: 45
Rubio: 25
Cruz: 20
Kasich: 5
Carson: 5
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