Super Tuesday: Which states does Trump lose?
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  Super Tuesday: Which states does Trump lose?
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Poll
Question: In which March 1 states does Trump *not* receive the top vote share?
#1
Alabama
 
#2
Alaska
 
#3
Arkansas
 
#4
Georgia
 
#5
Massachusetts
 
#6
Minnesota
 
#7
Oklahoma
 
#8
Tenneseee
 
#9
Texas
 
#10
Vermont
 
#11
Virginia
 
#12
None of them
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 81

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Author Topic: Super Tuesday: Which states does Trump lose?  (Read 4776 times)
Erc
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« on: February 26, 2016, 12:16:31 PM »

Remember that North Dakota, Colorado, and Wyoming are not holding votes this year.
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Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2016, 12:17:42 PM »

Only Texas.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #2 on: February 26, 2016, 12:18:32 PM »

Just Minnesota
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3 on: February 26, 2016, 12:19:05 PM »

I'll say just Texas for now.  Minnesota is Rubio's best shot at a win, but we should remember that it's the state that voted for Jesse Ventura.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #4 on: February 26, 2016, 01:11:41 PM »

Texas, and Oklahoma and Arkansas, I think. Cruz has a good day, Rubio has a terrible one.

OK and AR are iffy, but I think last nights debate and today's endorsement of Trump by the corrupt RINO Obama-hugging governor of NJ will do it.

Oh, and I have no clue what happens in Alaska. In theory, it should be a bad Trump state. But in theory, Bush was a strong contender.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: February 26, 2016, 01:14:12 PM »

Only Texas. Maybe Arkanas and Oklahoma.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #6 on: February 26, 2016, 01:14:27 PM »

He will lose all of them besides Massachusetts and maybe Alabama. Rubio is headed for an extraordinary night- one that will be remembered as of the most pivotal moments in American politics for decades to come.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #7 on: February 26, 2016, 01:16:32 PM »

He will lose all of them besides Massachusetts and maybe Alabama. Rubio is headed for an extraordinary night- one that will be remembered as of the most pivotal moments in American politics for decades to come.

The GOP will be cooking the vote? Because that's the only way that happens.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #8 on: February 26, 2016, 01:18:56 PM »

Probably Texas. Maybe Minnesota and Oklahoma. Everything beyond that seems fairly unlikely.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: February 26, 2016, 01:21:45 PM »

Only Texas and he won't lose it by that much. There are a few others that could end up being close but I think Trump takes them.
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Famous Mortimer
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« Reply #10 on: February 26, 2016, 01:37:29 PM »

Texas and Vermont for sure.

Possibly Minnesota and Alaska, which could go to Cruz.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: February 26, 2016, 01:40:54 PM »


Agreed. And it'll be within single digits.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: February 26, 2016, 01:42:16 PM »

Texas and Vermont for sure.

Possibly Minnesota and Alaska, which could go to Cruz.

He's gonna win Vermont. Kasich second.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: February 26, 2016, 01:43:46 PM »

Texas, maybe Tennessee or Minnesota (decidedly not both) to El Rubs.
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trickmind
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« Reply #14 on: February 26, 2016, 01:44:49 PM »

Texas for sure, and maybe Minnesota.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #15 on: February 26, 2016, 01:56:28 PM »

-Texas: Probably
-Minnesota: Quite possibly, the state is very similar to Iowa.
-Alaska: Trump probably wins, but we don't have any recent polling so who knows?
-Vermont: Unlikely, it would be a big upset for Kasich or Rubio.
-Virginia: YUGE upset, very very unlikely.
-Everywhere else: forget about it, not happening.
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King
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« Reply #16 on: February 26, 2016, 02:01:26 PM »

What's the evidence that Rubio is going to win Minnesota?
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Holmes
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« Reply #17 on: February 26, 2016, 02:06:28 PM »

What's the evidence that Rubio is going to win Minnesota?

There was a crappy poll a long time ago. Because that matters at this point.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #18 on: February 26, 2016, 02:15:48 PM »

What's the evidence that Rubio is going to win Minnesota?
I think Cruz is more likely to win Minnesota than Rubio, especially after the savaging he got today.  Minnesota is pretty similar to Iowa, so it makes sense that Cruz might be able to pull off a win here.
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SillyAmerican
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« Reply #19 on: February 26, 2016, 02:16:39 PM »

Texas: May go to Cruz, but even if it does, Trump pulls a close second.
Vermont: Will probably go for Trump, with Kasich coming in a close second.

So basically Texas is the big prize, with 155 GOP delegates in play on Tuesday (with 108 delegates, coming from 36 congressional districts). It'll be interesting to see what Texas does; if Cruz isn't able to put up a win in his home state, I think he might be done.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #20 on: February 26, 2016, 02:20:26 PM »

Cruz is going to win Texas, and it's probably not even going to be that close. The big question is if he can get 51% or more. And that, I don't think he can.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #21 on: February 26, 2016, 02:33:32 PM »

What's the evidence that Rubio is going to win Minnesota?
I think Cruz is more likely to win Minnesota than Rubio, especially after the savaging he got today.  Minnesota is pretty similar to Iowa, so it makes sense that Cruz might be able to pull off a win here.

I'm also in the Cruz camp. PredictIt only had him at 3 cents which is a bargain. I don't know who will win, but I'm leaning towards not Trump. Horrible fit for the region.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: February 26, 2016, 02:40:20 PM »

Right now he'll only lose Texas to Cruz. Minnesota and Tennessee are outside shots (Cruz and Rubio in MN, only Rubio in TN).
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Nathan
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« Reply #23 on: February 26, 2016, 04:03:07 PM »

Guys, Trump is not going to lose Vermont.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #24 on: February 26, 2016, 04:07:05 PM »

Kasich will probably score second in Massachussets and Vermont, but it won't be particularly close.
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