Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[The Other Castro]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

Wow, numbers like that could mean that she wins every county.

She probably only needs about 65% to win every county.

[Ebsy]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

God bless.

[DrScholl]

Seriously, just 2 in 10 want someone more liberal than the guy who decided that NAFTA didn't do a good enough job of destroying South Carolina textile jobs and decided to have TPP? Damn.

Well,
You need to stop thinking white progressives are the core of the democratic party base, especially in South Carolina

Only white progressives care about jobs?

Not everyone in the party thinks like an activist on the internet.

[trickmind]

Seriously, just 2 in 10 want someone more liberal than the guy who decided that NAFTA didn't do a good enough job of destroying South Carolina textile jobs and decided to have TPP? Damn.

At a cursory glance, it looked like Trump won all the old mill towns.

[Mr. Morden]

More exits:

[Dr. Arch]

If Bernie loses by more than -30 today and doesn't win at least VT, MA, MN and CO on Super Tuesday, it might be good game.

[Likely Voter]

Here is the crazy thing about the core of the Democratic base, they are Democrats (as in registered self-identity as "Democrats").  My predfiction: the candidate that wins with Democrats is going to win the nomination. It's an insane off the wall outside the box notion, I know.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

61% Black?!?

 >exit polls, but still.....

[The Other Castro]

With an exit poll like that, it's hard to see Sanders breaking 35%.

[JerryArkansas]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

Holy sh**t, she can't do that.  Maybe 65 at best, but that.  I can't see it.

[psychprofessor]

This could be an epic 70/30 split tonight

[Mehmentum]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

Don't get my hopes up like that!

[The Other Castro]

This could be an epic 70/30 split tonight

Honestly that seems more likely than a 60/40 split at this point.

[Likely Voter]

Apparently the Clinton Team's goal is to beat Sanders NH margin which was 22.4, so they need her to do more than just 60

[Mike Thick]

These are exit polls, folks. Nothing more, and nothing less.

That being said, I would be pretty entertained if Clinton won 75%-25%.

[The Free North]

Based on the exit dems....

If we assume they split whites and Clinton wins blacks 75-25, you're looking at around 66-33 split overall.

[Ebsy]

Based on the exit dems....

If we assume they split whites and Clinton wins blacks 75-25, you're looking at around 66-33 split overall.

I have a feeling it is going to be quite a bit worse than that for Sanders.

[Xing]

SC was always going to be a great state for Clinton, so of course it'll be a good night for Clinton supporters. However, unless she really does win with more than 70%, I don't think this race alone is going to be a game-changer.

[The Free North]

Based on the exit dems....

If we assume they split whites and Clinton wins blacks 75-25, you're looking at around 66-33 split overall.

I have a feeling it is going to be quite a bit worse than that for Sanders.

Exactly. I think those numbers are a bit generous to Sanders. He may lose both demographics by slightly more in which case Hillary could really make a push for 70%.

Exits for primaries are far better than entrances for caucuses, but there is still that disclaimer. Either way, if they are to be taken verbatim, I dont see how Bernie gets out of the mid 30s tonight.

[HillOfANight]

61% Black?!?

 >exit polls, but still.....

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/27/upshot/margin-of-victory-will-matter-as-clinton-counts-on-black-voters-in-south-carolina.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fupshot

Upshot predicted this like 2 days ago. Obama ran a lot of white Democrats off to GOP/Trumpville.

[Wells]

These are exit polls, folks. Nothing more, and nothing less.

That being said, I would be pretty entertained if Clinton won 75%-25%.

I wouldn't. I'd be entertained if these exit polls were wrong and Clinton won 58-42.

[Figueira]

If Bernie loses by more than -30 today and doesn't win at least VT, MA, MN and CO on Super Tuesday, it might be good game.

I don't think he needs to win MN, seeing as he's down in the polls there.

[ElectionsGuy]

There's no way she's winning more than 75%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

[The Free North]

There's no way she's winning more than 70%. That exists only in IceSpear's dreams.

Look at the demographics.

If they split whites and she wins 75-25 with blacks (which is close to what she got in NV I believe) she will get to 66%.

[Crumpets]

If Bernie loses by more than -30 today and doesn't win at least VT, MA, MN and CO on Super Tuesday, it might be good game.

I don't think he needs to win MN, seeing as he's down in the polls there.

Like Rubio, though, he really needs to actually win states and get delegates if he wants to go all the way. Not winning Minnesota just means he's going to have to win another, likely less favorable state down the line.