Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)
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  Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 43645 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: February 27, 2016, 02:05:17 AM »

Polls in South Carolina will be open from 7am to 7pm Eastern.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until after all the polls have closed at 7pm.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/sc/Dem
AP: link
New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/south-carolina
state election commission: http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/59277/160232/en/summary.html


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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2016, 02:07:05 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2016, 02:22:47 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

What percentage of the absentee ballots returned were from African-Americans?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2016, 02:23:39 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

I would be extremely surprised if turnout was that high. I was thinking more along the lines of 400K.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2016, 02:35:02 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

What percentage of the absentee ballots returned were from African-Americans?

IIR it is around 60 to 70%
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RI
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« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2016, 02:46:05 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

What percentage of the absentee ballots returned were from African-Americans?

IIR it is around 60 to 70%

It was 73% when I checked this afternoon.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2016, 04:42:35 AM »

There's no way in hell that the turnout will match let alone exceed 2008 turnout when Barry friggin' Obama was on the ballot here. Gimme a break.

This race is a giant "who care" - Clinton will win by about 30 points. Wake me up for Super Tuesday.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2016, 07:06:00 AM »

Polls are now open.  ~10 hours to go until the first exit poll data comes out.

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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2016, 07:15:47 AM »

I think turnout is going to be low
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2016, 07:19:36 AM »

A line of voters in Columbia:


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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #10 on: February 27, 2016, 07:48:54 AM »


Where all the white people at? Oh......yeah, I forgot, Southern White Democrats are becoming a myth now.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2016, 07:51:33 AM »

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

I would be extremely surprised if turnout was that high. I was thinking more along the lines of 400K.
Yeah, it would be very surprising if SC has a higher turnout this year than it did for Obama in 2008.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2016, 08:34:39 AM »

On the other hand, SC is a state with strong population growth - which means turnout could be up mainly because the population and # of RV grew strongly since 2008.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2016, 08:36:11 AM »

I'm predicting maybe a 400K turnout
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2016, 08:36:14 AM »


It could also be a 90-100% black precinct ... so, never trust some picture about what actual turnout is like.

Wink
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #15 on: February 27, 2016, 08:37:51 AM »


It could also be a 90-100% black precinct ... so, never trust some picture about what actual turnout is like.

Wink

Clinton will get 90+ in that precinct
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: February 27, 2016, 08:43:15 AM »

Here is the ballot:



The box next to the name is already black.  So how do you actually vote?  Punch a hole through the box?  Circle the name?  And what is "President District 6" supposed to mean?  Are we electing a president of the United States, or a president of only certain districts?

HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINIANS ARE BEING DISENFRANCHISED RIGHT NOW BECAUSE THIS BALLOT IS TOO CONFUSING
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: February 27, 2016, 08:46:48 AM »

Joke ballot.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #18 on: February 27, 2016, 08:48:24 AM »

If you live in South Carolina and you are a Democrat please vote for Willie Wilson.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #19 on: February 27, 2016, 08:50:35 AM »
« Edited: February 27, 2016, 08:53:46 AM by #TheShadowyAbyss »

Florida's looks so much better (obvious since we're closes both Dems and Reps wont be on the same ballot)

Well at least my County's ballot, apparently it has one city on the entire ballot cause I don't live there lol

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #20 on: February 27, 2016, 09:00:36 AM »

What's with all these ballots putting the names in alphabetical order?  Seems like it benefits the alphabetically gifted.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: February 27, 2016, 11:39:43 AM »

What's with all these ballots putting the names in alphabetical order?  Seems like it benefits the alphabetically gifted.


Yeah, that's junk. As if Bernie wasn't buried enough as it is!
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Torie
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« Reply #22 on: February 27, 2016, 11:41:47 AM »

In CA and NY, different groups of ballots have the names in different orders, so the alphabetical advantages and disadvantages go away. I guess SC does not. Odd.
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Harry
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« Reply #23 on: February 27, 2016, 12:22:37 PM »

I, like, totally forgot this was today. Nobody's even talking about the Democratic race anymore. I guess it's become a foregone conclusion.
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Hydera
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« Reply #24 on: February 27, 2016, 12:35:27 PM »
« Edited: February 27, 2016, 12:37:44 PM by ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) »

What's with all these ballots putting the names in alphabetical order?  Seems like it benefits the alphabetically gifted.


Yeah, that's junk. As if Bernie wasn't buried enough as it is!

First on the ballot effect means that Hillary might do 1-2% better than had her name not been first. Hopefully this stops Clinton from going below 60%.

Media coverage has been very favorable for sanders since they want to sell headlines like they did back in 2008, if its 59-41 then they will scream about How "Bernie won anyway". Which is why below 60% is unacceptable.
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