Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[ElectionsGuy]

99% in. No district won by Sanders. 73.5% to 26.0%. 37 delegates to 12.

Oh gosh, I would love to see the percentages on Clyburn's district.

[Holmes]

This results is almost like the Sanders surge in the past two months never happened.

[Skye]

This results is almost like the Sanders surge in the past two months never happened.

That died with Nevada. And if there was a remnant left, it just got destroyed.

[JerryArkansas]

99% in. No district won by Sanders. 73.5% to 26.0%. 37 delegates to 12.

Oh gosh, I would love to see the percentages on Clyburn's district.

He's at about 15% in the district.  He might not reach viability in the district, giving all 8 of its delegates to Clinton

[IceSpear]

This results is almost like the Sanders surge in the past two months never happened.

Yeah, I've noticed that as well from the recent state polls.

lol. It's almost as if Nevada has single-handedly taken us back to 2014 with regards to Hillary's polling.

If Hillary becomes president, she should transfer Yucca Mountain to NH to show her gratitude.

[/]

Final South Carolina Democratic Primary County Map:

[Mehmentum]

So how the hell did this happen?  We all thought it would be somewhere around 60-40, the margin is thirty points wider than anyone thought.  How did she swing that many people under everyone's nose?  If she'd won by 25-30 we would all have said she overperformed.  How is it even possible to surprise by winning by 50?  How did none of the polls catch this?  How did nobody see this coming?

Honestly this is one of the most impressive political performances I've ever seen.  Hillary beat her polling gap by thirty points.  When has that ever happened in an election?

The Sanders campaign basically withdrew from South Carolina after losing Nevada.  This is what happens when you let your opponent run ads unopposed. Clinton dominated the airwaves in SC, and is doing so all across the south in the run-up to Super Tuesday. That plus the momentum from winning Nevada is what caused her to surge.

None of the polls caught this because nobody bothered polling South Carolina after Nevada, my guess is that wasn't much point to doing it after the Republican primaries since everyone knew Clinton would win.  The Clemson poll was basically the only post-NV South Carolina poll we got, and it ended up being quite accurate.

[/]

Final South Carolina Democratic Primary County Map:

A more colorful version:



Red - >90%
Orange - >80%
Yellow - >70%
Green - >60%
Blue - >50%

[Panhandle Progressive]

New delegate count is: 39 Clinton --- 14 Sanders

[RI]

I wonder: How much, if any, of Clinton's overperformance stems from the tendency of candidates listed first on the ballot to overperform in southern Democratic primaries for the last 5-10 years?

[ElectionsGuy]

New delegate count is: 39 Clinton --- 14 Sanders

According to Politico its 43-14. The two remaining are uncommitted super-delegates.

[Panhandle Progressive]

New delegate count is: 39 Clinton --- 14 Sanders

According to Politico its 43-14. The two remaining are uncommitted super-delegates.

I should have specified PLEDGED delegates, i.e. those who voted today.

[yourelection]

To sum things up tonight: Dramatic win for Clinton. Clinton takes a delegate lead (pledged delegates). 3 Wins for Clinton 1 for Sanders. Maybe even a turning point for the democratic nomination. On to Super Tuesday.

http://www.yourelection.net/2016/02/south-carolina-democratic-primary-2016/

[ElectionsGuy]

New delegate count is: 39 Clinton --- 14 Sanders

According to Politico its 43-14. The two remaining are uncommitted super-delegates.

I should have specified PLEDGED delegates, i.e. those who voted today.

Oh yeah, you're right.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

[Xing]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

I mean, winning those states would mean it's not completely hopeless for him, but Jesus...

[IceSpear]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

Reminds me of the Paulbots who said his win in the Virgin Islands or something would seal the nomination for him.

[Likely Voter]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

[Oak Hills]

I wonder: How much, if any, of Clinton's overperformance stems from the tendency of candidates listed first on the ballot to overperform in southern Democratic primaries for the last 5-10 years?

None of it. That tendency only appears when the candidates are not well-known, which only happens on a large scale in states where the Democrat has no hope of winning anyway.

[Pyro]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

It'll be impossible for Sanders to match Clinton's delegate count on Super Tuesday, but Cenk would be right in saying that winning those states would keep him on the map. To be a viable contender for the nomination, he'd have to win Ohio and/or Illinois on the 15th. If he can't, it's over.

[IceSpear]

Cenk Uygur just said that if Bernie wins MA, CO & MN on ST, "I think he's the favorite". Seriously.

It'll be impossible for Sanders to match Clinton's delegate count on Super Tuesday, but Cenk would be right in saying that winning those states would keep him on the map. To be a viable contender for the nomination, he'd have to win Ohio and/or Illinois on the 15th. If he can't, it's over.

There's quite a difference between barely surviving and "being the favorite."

[ElectionsGuy]

Sanders voters: 62% White, 33% Black, 5% Other
Clinton voters: 71% Black, 26% White, 3% Other

[Admiral Kizaru]

ughhh TYT is a joke.

[Maxwell]

TYT is so embarrassing, especially this cycle.

[Nyvin]

To be fair, Cenk did say that if Sanders loses Massachusetts he's done and will probably drop out.