Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

Polls in South Carolina will be open from 7am to 7pm Eastern.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until after all the polls have closed at 7pm.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/sc/Dem
AP: link
New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/south-carolina
state election commission: http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/59277/160232/en/summary.html

[Mr. Morden]

Polls are now open.  ~10 hours to go until the first exit poll data comes out.

[Mr. Morden]

A line of voters in Columbia:

[Mr. Morden]

Here is the ballot:



The box next to the name is already black.  So how do you actually vote?  Punch a hole through the box?  Circle the name?  And what is "President District 6" supposed to mean?  Are we electing a president of the United States, or a president of only certain districts?

HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINIANS ARE BEING DISENFRANCHISED RIGHT NOW BECAUSE THIS BALLOT IS TOO CONFUSING

[Mr. Morden]

What's with all these ballots putting the names in alphabetical order?  Seems like it benefits the alphabetically gifted.

[Mr. Morden]

This is a random thought, but I wonder if there's a partisan breakdown between Kurdish Iraqi Americans, Sunni Iraqi Americans, and Shi'a Iraqi Americans. I imagine Shi'as and Kurds would be both relatively more Republican and Clinton-friendly, while Sunnis would be relatively more Democratic and Sanders-friendly. Probably just conjecture.

Which group is more economically conservative, and which is more socially conservative?

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-27/south-carolina-democratic-primary-sets-table-for-super-tuesday

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[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll info:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-south-carolina-democratic-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37241467

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[Mr. Morden]

More exits:

[Mr. Morden]

Exit poll (from CNN TV):

In recent years, race relations have:

gotten better 19%
stayed the same 34%
gotten worse 46%

Sounds like a good sign for Willie Wilson.

[Mr. Morden]

More exits:

[Mr. Morden]

SC exit (from CNN):

41% of Democratic primary voters are gun owners.

[Mr. Morden]

[Mr. Morden]

I've got a fever.  And the only prescription is more exit poll:

[Mr. Morden]

[Mr. Morden]

If my math is right, the exits have it as:

Clinton 68%
Sanders 31%

[Mr. Morden]

whites:
Sanders 58%
Clinton 42%

blacks:
Clinton 84%
Sanders 16%

[Mr. Morden]

Voters under 30:
Sanders 63%
Clinton 37%

Voters over 65:
Clinton 80%
Sanders 19%

[Mr. Morden]

Close battle for 3rd place:

Willie Wilson: 13 votes
Martin O'Malley: 11 votes

[Mr. Morden]

If my math is right, revised exit poll projects it as:

Clinton 75%
Sanders 25%

[Mr. Morden]

Couldn't the high GOP turnout be read as a straightforward consequence of the fact that the candidates (put especially Trump) are polarizing within the party?  Trump's favorability rating among Republicans who are not already supporting him for the nomination is pretty terrible.  So his fans show up in big number to back him, but his opponents show up in big numbers to stop him.  If he's the nominee, then sure, the ~35% or whatever of the party that loves him will show up big for him.  But will the rest of the party back him as overwhelmingly as the Democrats will back Clinton?