Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 43914 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: February 27, 2016, 02:46:05 AM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on February 27, 2016, 02:35:02 AM
Quote from: Holmes on February 27, 2016, 02:22:47 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 27, 2016, 02:07:05 AM
Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

What percentage of the absentee ballots returned were from African-Americans?

IIR it is around 60 to 70%

It was 73% when I checked this afternoon.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2016, 07:03:49 PM »

That's pretty good, actually.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2016, 07:18:51 PM »
Clinton won 2/3 of absentees in Pickens.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2016, 07:25:10 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 27, 2016, 07:23:39 PM
Hillary is going to win every county.

Not necessarily. The early vote should be much more black than the overall vote.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2016, 07:29:19 PM »
Aiken seems to be Sanders's best county so far.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: February 27, 2016, 07:34:16 PM »
Quote from: Castro on February 27, 2016, 07:33:41 PM
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 27, 2016, 07:31:53 PM
Yeah, I'm calling it at at least 80-20 now.

Bye, Bernie. Sad

Lol don't worry it will tighten plenty.

Yeah, this is all early vote, which was about 75% black. Election day was about 60%.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: February 27, 2016, 07:39:58 PM »
Clinton down to 62 in Oconee. Only at 55 in Anderson.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: February 27, 2016, 07:55:25 PM »
Updated exit polls have Clinton leading 53-47 among whites, 87-13 among blacks.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: February 27, 2016, 09:27:45 PM »
Well, and it's pretty difficult to accurately poll the black community in the South.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: February 27, 2016, 10:08:23 PM »
I wonder: How much, if any, of Clinton's overperformance stems from the tendency of candidates listed first on the ballot to overperform in southern Democratic primaries for the last 5-10 years?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: February 28, 2016, 01:29:07 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: February 28, 2016, 01:44:31 PM »
Quote from: nclib on February 28, 2016, 01:31:36 PM
Any chance Sanders could have won any state house/senate districts, or towns?

Very little. Sanders even lost Clemson University's precinct and most of the surrounding precincts. Things he did win: Walhalla (Oconee County), Pelzer (Anderson County), Pelion (Lexington County), Folly Beach (Charleston County), James Island (Charleston County). Possibly others.
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