Democratic South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)

[JerryArkansas]

Number of absentee ballots returned so far in the Dem. primary: 52.000

In the GOP primary, it was 62.000 and overall turnout was 750.000

So, 650K turnout is likely today (up more than 100K from 2008).

What percentage of the absentee ballots returned were from African-Americans?

IIR it is around 60 to 70%

[JerryArkansas]

I have a feeling this is going to be a bigger Clinton drubbing than I predicted.

I'm still predicting 59-38-3, but this low turnout is sounding really bad for Sanders.

[JerryArkansas]

I have a feeling this is going to be a bigger Clinton drubbing than I predicted.

I'm still predicting 59-38-3, but this low turnout is sounding really bad for Sanders.

At this rate I'm just hoping he comes within 30 points. Also, exit polls should be coming in 10-20 minutes but CNN says their coverage starts in 1 hour and 10 minutes.

-Those exit polls will only give us a breakdown of how many AA and white are voting, as well as what voters ideology and most important issues are.  They won't release the most important numbers till 7.

[JerryArkansas]

There is something else that I had for some reason not taken into account.  In 2008, there still were a lot of white Democrats who were conservative in SC.  There won't be as many tonight.  We could see Blacks make up upwards of 60% of voters.

[JerryArkansas]

There is something else that I had for some reason not taken into account.  In 2008, there still were a lot of white Democrats who were conservative in SC.  There won't be as many tonight.  We could see Blacks make up upwards of 60% of voters.

I think we are heading towards a 60-65% black electorate. The conservative whites that came out for Edwards and Clinton in 2008 are either dead or voting in the GOP primary now.

Most people I see are assuming that they only makeup 55% of the electorate. 

[JerryArkansas]

Of course all of this needs to be taken with huge grains of salt, due to what happened last time in Nevada.  Of course I would rather be in Clinton camp tonight than in Bernie's.  It is telling though that Bernie is not even in South Carolina tonight, but in Texas. 

[JerryArkansas]

harry enten saying hillary will get 75% of the vote based on the exit poll data/

Holy sh**t, she can't do that.  Maybe 65 at best, but that.  I can't see it.

[JerryArkansas]

Doing math with updated exit poll, she might get 75%

[JerryArkansas]

99% in. No district won by Sanders. 73.5% to 26.0%. 37 delegates to 12.

Oh gosh, I would love to see the percentages on Clyburn's district.

He's at about 15% in the district.  He might not reach viability in the district, giving all 8 of its delegates to Clinton