Will Angela Merkel be the German Chancellor until 2041?

[buritobr]

Problably, the CDU will not be removed from the Kanzleramt in the near future.
SPD + Greens > 50% this is impossible
SPD + Greens + Left > 50% this is very hard, and they will not build a coalition
There is only one possibility for a SPD chancellor: SPD > CDU, SPD and CDU build a grand coalition under SPD leadership. But it is very hard that SPD > CDU

Maybe, in the future, the CDU will replace Merkel. She was born in 1954.
Adenauer was replaced by another CDU leader when he was 87...

[Middle-aged Europe]

[Middle-aged Europe]

Okay, serious answer:

I assume that Merkel is probably gonna retire by 2021 at the latest.

As for coalitions... you never know what changes will occur. 14 years ago SPD and Greens managed to win a majority, so maybe by 2030 they could that again.

Or maybe the AfD is gonna establish itself permanently and we will see CDU-Greens-FDP, SPD-Greens-FDP, CDU-SPD-FDP, and CDU-SPD-Greens coalitions as it is implied by recent polling from the March election states.

[Yeahsayyeah]

But even if the CDU/CSU lead was to be permanent, there will most likely other figures emerge to succeed her as chancellor, especially as the percieved centrist course the CDU has taken under Merkel isn't beyond dispute inside the party, but was tolerated as it deemed electorally successful, and CDU is a "party of power, at most.

Her percieved refugee policies (which is merely public statements whereas backtracking and thwarting it afterwards in every possible way) is not that popular with conservatives, either.

At the moment state CDU leader of Rheinland-Pfalz, Julia Klöckner, seems to be trying hard, to emerge as an "anti-Merkel".

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Problably, the CDU will not be removed from the Kanzleramt in the near future.
SPD + Greens > 50% this is impossible
SPD + Greens + Left > 50% this is very hard, and they will not build a coalition
There is only one possibility for a SPD chancellor: SPD > CDU, SPD and CDU build a grand coalition under SPD leadership. But it is very hard that SPD > CDU

Maybe, in the future, the CDU will replace Merkel. She was born in 1954.
Adenauer was replaced by another CDU leader when he was 87...

Of course.

On a related note: every presidential election until 2040 is already a lock for the Democrats.

[Simfan34]

Problably, the CDU will not be removed from the Kanzleramt in the near future.
SPD + Greens > 50% this is impossible
SPD + Greens + Left > 50% this is very hard, and they will not build a coalition
There is only one possibility for a SPD chancellor: SPD > CDU, SPD and CDU build a grand coalition under SPD leadership. But it is very hard that SPD > CDU

Maybe, in the future, the CDU will replace Merkel. She was born in 1954.
Adenauer was replaced by another CDU leader when he was 87...

Of course.

On a related note: every presidential election until 2040 is already a lock for the Democrats.

But we already knew that.